NYSE$VMI

Valmont Industries Inc. · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a strong first quarter with revenue and profitability exceeding expectations.

Valmont Industries reported a decrease in net sales by 2.6% to $674.2 million, but an increase in operating income by 22.5% to $66.9 million. Diluted earnings per share grew by 21.3% to $1.99. The company is withdrawing its 2020 financial outlook due to COVID-19 uncertainties.

  • Net Sales declined 2.6% to $674.2 million due to lower sales in the Utility Support Structures segment and unfavorable currency translation.
  • Operating income increased 22.5% to $66.9 million, representing 9.9% of sales.
  • Diluted Earnings per Share grew 21.3% to $1.99.
  • Utility Support Structures global backlog increased 12.0% from last quarter to a record $689.0 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$674M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

$1.99

No prior period
Operating Income as % of Net Sales

9.9%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$23.6M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$19.1M

No prior period
Net Income

$42.7M

No prior period
Operating Income

$66.9M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$186M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$295M

No prior period
Total Assets

$2.76B

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$3.33M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Valmont · Revenue · Quarterly

$674M

Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Valmont has withdrawn its full year 2020 guidance due to the evolving impact of COVID-19 on the global economy. The company is anticipating and planning for slowdown in customer demand and increased business disruption, primarily beginning in the second quarter. They provided key assumptions and indications for the second quarter and second half of 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipate positive operating cash flows
  • Balance sheet that reflects strong financial and operational position, with ample liquidity and room under debt covenants
  • Prepared to execute additional cost management measures, as appropriate
  • Assuming no additional closures of large manufacturing facilities globally due to COVID-19
  • Long-term, enduring market drivers for all our businesses are strong, and we remain confident in our long-term growth strategy.

Headwinds

  • Net sales estimated to be between $645 million and $665 million for Q2
  • Operating margins estimated to be in the range of 7.0% to 8.5% of net sales for Q2
  • Irrigation segment revenue expected to be down 5.0% to 10.0% from prior year for Q2, due to recent disruptions to food supply chains, ethanol demand and unfavorable currency translation impacts
  • Coatings segment revenue expected to be down 20.0% to 25.0% from prior year for Q2, as a result of recent industrial production levels and GDP trends
  • Planning and anticipating for recessionary forces to potentially impact global demand and revenues due to volatile market demand profiles for the second half of the year

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

36 / 68 earnings

Positive

+19.4%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-13.5%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.9%+21.7%+23.4%
Q4 2025-6.6%-0.9%-16.6%
Q3 2025+1.6%+2.2%-7.3%
Q2 2025+3.1%+1.6%+5.1%
Q1 2025+3.2%+8.7%+16.0%
Q4 2024+17.5%+8.8%+1.8%
Q3 2024+7.8%+5.0%+12.2%
Q2 2024+8.3%+8.0%+4.5%
Q1 2024+19.4%+21.0%+22.8%
Q4 2023-3.0%-4.9%-2.4%
Q3 2023-13.5%-16.1%-7.9%
Q2 2023-8.0%-6.4%-12.7%
Q1 2023+3.3%-0.7%-3.4%
Q4 2022-6.7%-2.8%-3.7%
Q3 2022+1.9%+4.1%+11.0%
Q2 2022+7.9%+8.2%+22.8%
Q1 2022+7.5%+7.1%+0.7%
Q4 2021-1.2%-3.4%+8.3%
Q3 2021-5.3%-4.9%+4.5%
Q2 2021+0.8%+1.0%+4.5%
Q1 2021+1.1%+5.7%+6.1%
Q4 2020-1.0%+1.6%+5.9%
Q3 2020+6.8%+6.4%+16.6%
Q2 2020+6.1%+6.7%+6.2%
Q1 2020+11.5%+12.1%+1.2%
Q4 2019-11.1%-20.9%-40.4%
Q3 2019-4.4%-2.1%+0.8%
Q2 2019+8.7%+8.2%+6.1%
Q4 2018-0.8%-1.2%-6.3%
Q3 2018-10.8%-9.8%-2.7%
Q2 2018-0.6%-1.7%+0.5%
Q1 2018+1.7%+0.9%+0.8%
Q4 2017-3.4%-4.5%-9.2%
Q3 2017+1.5%+0.0%+2.4%
Q2 2017+4.7%+2.6%-1.6%
Q1 2017+2.3%-0.6%-1.6%
Q4 2016+8.8%+10.2%+5.5%
Q3 2016-1.0%+0.7%+9.2%
Q2 2016-3.5%-5.2%-3.1%
Q1 2016+11.1%
Q4 2015+1.7%
Q3 2015+11.8%
Q2 2015-3.0%
Q1 2015+4.0%
Q4 2014-2.1%
Q3 2014-1.8%
Q2 2014-1.0%
Q1 2014-5.8%
Q4 2013-3.6%
Q3 2013+1.3%
Q2 2013+1.9%
Q1 2013+2.5%
Q4 2011+3.1%
Q4 2012+5.7%
Q3 2012+2.3%
Q2 2012-5.8%
Q1 2012+0.6%
Q3 2011+3.4%
Q2 2011-1.0%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q4 2008-2.9%
Q4 2010-2.9%
Q3 2009-1.3%
Q3 2010-1.3%
Q2 2010-1.6%
Q2 2009-1.6%
Q4 2009-1.6%

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