NYSE$VIST

Vista Energy SAB de CV · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Vista Energy reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025 with solid growth in production and profitability.

Vista Energy delivered a solid quarter with 38% revenue growth year-over-year and a 25% increase in Adjusted EBITDA, supported by increased oil production and cost efficiencies from new infrastructure.

  • Total revenue reached $438,500,000, driven by a 47% increase in oil production year-over-year.
  • EPS came in at $0.86, while Adjusted EPS was $0.79.
  • Net income was $82,800,000, boosted by higher EBITDA and reduced financial expenses.
  • Free cash flow was negative due to significant capex and midstream investments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$439M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

$0.79

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$275M

No prior period
Capital expenditures

$269M

No prior period
Average daily production (boe/d)

80.9K

No prior period
Net Income

$82.8M

No prior period
Operating Income

$142M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$212M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Vista Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$439M

Q1 2025
Beat estimate in 6 of 11 quarters(55%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Vista's outlook is supported by the recent acquisition of Petronas E&P Argentina and strong midstream infrastructure positioning.

Tailwinds

  • Acquisition of 50% interest in La Amarga Chica adds scale in Vaca Muerta.
  • Oldelval Duplicar pipeline is reducing trucking costs.
  • Strong crude oil export exposure at parity pricing.
  • Up to 400 new well locations estimated in LACh.
  • High Adj. EBITDA margin sustained at 62%.

Headwinds

  • Negative free cash flow due to high capex and working capital build.
  • Natural gas prices remain under pressure in export markets.
  • Increased selling expenses year-over-year.
  • Higher depreciation and tax expenses reduced net margins.
  • Inventory build-up impacted revenue recognition.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

+2.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.3%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

13 / 26 earnings

Positive

+30.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-8.5%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025-0.7%-0.0%+1.3%
Q3 2025+11.5%+33.2%+35.2%
Q2 2025-5.8%-9.4%-13.3%
Q1 2025+2.7%-4.1%+4.6%
Q4 2024-5.4%-10.4%-7.7%
Q3 2024+2.3%+6.1%+18.4%
Q2 2024+1.0%+0.8%-2.8%
Q4 2023+7.2%+6.2%+28.7%
Q3 2023-0.7%-3.5%-4.0%
Q2 2023-6.2%+1.1%-3.1%
Q1 2023-5.7%-2.0%-1.1%
Q4 2022+0.9%+4.6%-2.6%
Q3 2022+1.9%+2.3%+7.4%
Q2 2022+25.1%+33.6%+58.1%
Q1 2022+6.1%+4.6%+19.6%
Q4 2021+14.5%+15.9%+30.4%
Q3 2021-6.4%-7.7%-23.0%
Q2 2021+7.6%+10.2%+4.2%
Q1 2021+0.0%-1.8%+32.5%
Q4 2020-2.9%-5.4%-5.8%
Q3 2020-1.0%+7.0%+34.3%
Q2 2020-4.6%-1.9%-19.2%
Q1 2020+30.0%+29.1%+33.6%
Q4 2019-8.5%-11.0%-67.3%
Q3 2019-4.4%-2.7%+14.4%
Q2 2019+8.1%-11.4%-36.5%
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q3 2017
Q2 2017

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