NYSE$VALE

Vale SA-ADR · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Vale nine-month net income $6.2B as iron ore volumes rise but realized prices fall

Vale reported interim results for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, with net operating revenue of $27.3 billion, down 2.1% year over year as a 6% drop in iron ore fines prices and a 15% decline in pellet prices weighed on the top line despite higher sales volumes. Net income was $6.2 billion versus $6.8 billion in the prior-year period, while Adjusted EBITDA totaled $10.9 billion compared with $11.0 billion. Gross profit fell 7.6% to $9.2 billion and operating income declined 34% to $6.6 billion, partly reflecting a $755 million net impairment loss versus a $2.1 billion gain on disposals a year earlier. Iron Solutions revenue was $21.8 billion (-6.6%) and Energy Transition Metals revenue rose 20.3% to $5.6 billion on higher nickel and copper volumes and prices.

  • Nine-month net operating revenue was $27.3B (-2.1% YoY); net income $6.2B (-9.1%) and Adjusted EBITDA $10.9B.
  • Iron ore fines sales volumes rose 4.8% to 199.5M tons but average realized fines price fell 6% to $90/ton.
  • Iron Solutions segment revenue $21.8B (-6.6%); Energy Transition Metals revenue $5.6B (+20.3%).
  • Operating cash flow was $6.1B; cash, equivalents and short-term investments totaled $6.1B at September 30.
  • China accounted for 50.9% of net operating revenue; net income attributable to Vale shareholders was $6.2B.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$27.3B

Previous: $8.46B+223.2%
EPS

$0.33

Previous: $0.39-16.2%
Adjusted EBITDA (nine months)

$10.9B

No prior period
Iron ore fines sold (metric tons)

199.5M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$1.26B

Previous: -$1.39B+9.8%
Free Cash Flow

$424M

Previous: $2.21B-80.8%
Net Income

$6.23B

Previous: $1.67B+271.8%
Operating Income

$6.59B

Previous: $2.57B+156.1%
Gross Profit

$9.18B

Previous: $2.99B+206.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$6.09B

No prior period
R&D Expense

$123M

Previous: $156M-21.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Vale · Revenue · Quarterly

$27.3B

Q1 2025+223.2%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.1%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

29 / 56 earnings

Positive

+11.6%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-6.4%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2025-0.6%-0.7%-1.1%
Q2 2024+1.8%+0.2%-2.2%
Q1 2024-0.7%-1.6%+1.9%
Q2 2023-5.7%-6.3%-15.6%
Q1 2023+4.1%+3.2%-3.6%
Q4 2022-0.2%-0.1%-7.4%
Q2 2022-0.1%-0.7%-0.2%
Q1 2022+8.9%+5.0%+15.9%
Q4 2021+3.2%+9.2%+15.5%
Q3 2020-2.4%+5.0%+21.8%
Q3 2021-5.5%-8.6%-8.2%
Q2 2021+3.2%-4.3%-12.3%
Q1 2021+3.3%+2.3%+5.3%
Q4 2020-1.9%-1.6%+14.3%
Q2 2020+0.9%+4.4%+39.9%
Q4 2019-0.5%+0.5%+24.5%
Q1 2020+11.2%+1.3%+18.1%
Q3 2019+3.3%+4.2%+2.1%
Q2 2019-4.9%-12.2%-16.4%
Q1 2019-1.9%+4.8%-13.5%
Q4 2018-1.6%+2.1%+14.0%
Q3 2018-3.3%-6.3%-12.9%
Q2 2018+2.5%+5.7%-4.0%
Q4 2017-6.3%-1.0%+2.6%
Q1 2018+0.4%-0.8%+0.6%
Q3 2017-3.1%-5.2%+6.3%
Q2 2017+3.0%-5.3%-2.7%
Q1 2017-1.7%+1.0%-2.3%
Q4 2016-6.4%-7.9%-17.3%
Q3 2016-0.1%-0.1%+21.9%
Q2 2016-0.3%-3.5%+22.1%
Q1 2016+1.4%+13.3%+24.9%
Q4 2015+1.9%
Q3 2015+5.7%
Q2 2015-5.9%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014+11.6%
Q3 2014-0.1%
Q2 2014+1.3%
Q4 2013+3.6%
Q1 2014+0.8%
Q3 2013-0.3%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013-3.2%
Q4 2012-1.2%
Q3 2012+2.4%
Q2 2012+3.1%
Q1 2012+2.1%
Q4 2011+2.2%
Q3 2011+3.3%
Q1 2011+0.3%
Q2 2011+0.3%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q3 2010+0.2%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q1 2010-1.2%

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