NYSE$UNP

Union Pacific Corp · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Union Pacific reported Q4 2025 operating revenue of $6.1B with diluted EPS of $3.11 and adjusted EPS of $2.86.

Fourth-quarter operating revenue declined 1% to $6.1 billion on lower volume, partially offset by core pricing. Operating ratio was 60.5% (60.0% adjusted). Full-year diluted EPS was $11.98 and adjusted EPS was $11.66 with record safety and service metrics. Return on invested capital was 16.3% for the year.

  • Q4 operating revenue $6.1B; OR 60.5%.
  • Q4 diluted EPS $3.11; adjusted EPS $2.86.
  • FY25 ROIC 16.3%; record safety and service.
  • Core pricing partially offset volume decline.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.09B

No prior period
EPS (adj)

$2.86

No prior period
Gross Ton-Miles

217.6B

No prior period
Avg Revenue per Car

$2.78K

No prior period
Grain Avg Rev/Car

$4.41K

No prior period
Fertilizer Avg Rev/Car

$4.1K

No prior period
Food Avg Rev/Car

$6.35K

No prior period
Coal Avg Rev/Car

$2.26K

No prior period
Chemicals Avg Rev/Car

$3.48K

No prior period
Metals Avg Rev/Car

$2.86K

No prior period
Forest Prod Avg Rev/Car

$6.39K

No prior period
Energy Avg Rev/Car

$4.45K

No prior period
Automotive Avg Rev/Car

$3.07K

No prior period
Intermodal Avg Rev/Car

$1.42K

No prior period
Premium Avg Rev/Car

$1.73K

No prior period
Net Income

$1.85B

No prior period
Operating Income

$2.4B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Union Pacific · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.09B

Q4 2025
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Union Pacific · $5.55B total across 10 segments · Q3 2023

  • Intermodal
    $1.11B-17.9%
  • Grain & Grain Products
    $825M-6.3%
  • Energy & Spec. Markets
    $611M-2.1%
  • Automotive
    $609M+1.3%
  • Chemicals & Plastics
    $557M-3.8%
  • Metals & Minerals
    $556M-7.5%
  • Coal & Renewables
    $488M-20.1%
  • Forest Products
    $333M-14.6%
  • Food & Refrigerated
    $259M-10.7%
  • Fertilizer
    $194M+9.0%

Forward guidance

The release discusses UNP's outlook for upcoming periods, including capital allocation, operating priorities, and market risks.

Tailwinds

  • UNP cites operational execution and demand trends supporting the outlook.
  • Balance sheet and capital actions aim to fund growth and shareholder returns.

Headwinds

  • Macro, pricing, and input-cost volatility could pressure margins.
  • Segment mix and one-time items may affect quarter-to-quarter comparability.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

39 / 72 earnings

Positive

+7.7%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-8.2%

Q3 2009

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+7.4%+7.4%+6.5%
Q4 2025+0.4%+1.8%+15.0%
Q3 2025-2.3%-3.4%+0.4%
Q2 2025-0.7%+0.3%-3.7%
Q1 2025-2.0%-2.4%+1.1%
Q3 2024-4.6%-3.9%+0.4%
Q2 2024+1.3%+3.4%+4.0%
Q1 2024+4.7%+2.2%+0.0%
Q4 2023-0.8%+1.8%+6.0%
Q3 2023+2.6%-0.2%+6.5%
Q2 2023+7.7%+7.6%+4.0%
Q1 2023-1.6%-3.6%-1.5%
Q4 2022-4.8%-3.7%-8.0%
Q3 2022-4.8%-2.7%+5.3%
Q2 2022-0.5%+0.7%+11.2%
Q1 2022-5.2%-5.5%-13.6%
Q4 2021+2.9%+1.9%+4.9%
Q3 2021+4.2%+5.6%+5.8%
Q2 2021+1.4%+0.4%+3.0%
Q1 2021+0.0%+1.0%-0.9%
Q4 2020-5.1%+1.8%-4.0%
Q3 2020-5.7%-10.0%+2.0%
Q2 2020-1.8%-2.8%+6.8%
Q1 2020+6.1%+9.7%+12.3%
Q4 2019+2.6%-0.7%+0.4%
Q3 2019-1.1%+4.6%+7.9%
Q2 2019+6.5%+5.3%+1.0%
Q1 2019+5.0%+4.4%+3.2%
Q4 2018+4.3%+3.8%+10.2%
Q3 2018+1.6%+4.2%+2.2%
Q2 2018+0.1%+0.8%+5.8%
Q1 2018-0.6%-2.4%+6.6%
Q4 2017-4.9%-4.1%-4.4%
Q3 2017+6.2%+5.0%+7.2%
Q2 2017-2.8%-2.7%-3.7%
Q1 2017+1.6%+0.8%+0.4%
Q4 2016+4.7%+4.8%+5.8%
Q3 2016-7.0%-7.3%+2.8%
Q2 2016-1.3%-1.2%+1.7%
Q1 2016+6.9%
Q4 2015-4.9%
Q3 2015+3.8%
Q2 2015-5.2%
Q1 2015-2.9%
Q4 2014+5.0%
Q3 2014+7.2%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014+1.8%
Q4 2013+1.9%
Q3 2013-3.2%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013+6.5%
Q4 2012-0.4%
Q3 2012+0.0%
Q2 2012+0.8%
Q1 2012-2.2%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q3 2011+3.0%
Q2 2011+0.4%
Q1 2011+0.4%
Q4 2010+1.1%
Q3 2010+2.3%
Q2 2010+4.2%
Q1 2009+1.1%
Q1 2010+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%
Q4 2007+0.0%
Q3 2008-8.2%
Q3 2009-8.2%
Q2 2009-2.2%
Q4 2008-2.2%
Q2 2008-2.2%

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