NYSE$TNL

Travel + Leisure Co · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Travel + Leisure reported strong revenue growth but faced pressure on net income and margins.

Travel + Leisure Co. saw a 4% YoY increase in revenue, driven by strong Vacation Ownership sales. However, net income declined by 8% YoY due to higher provision rates and cost pressures.

  • Revenue increased 4% YoY to $971M, driven by Vacation Ownership.
  • Net income fell 8% YoY to $119M due to higher loan loss provisions.
  • Vacation Ownership revenue grew 5%, with an 11% rise in net VOI sales.
  • Operating margin declined slightly to 21.2%, down 0.5 percentage points.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$971M

Previous: $935M+3.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.72

Previous: $1.98-13.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$23M

Previous: $32M-171.9%
Free Cash Flow

$75M

No prior period
Net Income

$119M

Previous: $129M-7.8%
Operating Income

$206M

Previous: $191M+7.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Travel + Leisure · Revenue · Quarterly

$971M

Q4 2024+3.9%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Travel + Leisure · $986M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Vacation Ownership
    $812M+7.7%
  • Travel and Membership
    $174M-4.9%

Forward guidance

The company expects continued growth in Vacation Ownership, driving higher earnings and cash flow in 2025.

Tailwinds

  • Full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA expected between $955M and $985M.
  • Gross VOI sales projected to reach $2.4B to $2.5B.
  • Vacation ownership VPG expected to range from $3,050 to $3,150.
  • Travel & Membership Adjusted EBITDA growth forecasted to be flat to up 2%.
  • Dividend increase proposal to $0.56 per share in Q1 2025.

Headwinds

  • Net income margin pressure from higher provision rates.
  • Subscription revenue decline impacting Travel & Membership segment.
  • Higher interest expense may weigh on profitability.
  • Lower cash balance compared to the previous year.
  • Macroeconomic uncertainties could impact discretionary travel spending.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

32 / 69 earnings

Positive

+20.3%

Q3 2018

Best reaction

-13.7%

Q1 2026

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-13.7%-14.2%-14.5%
Q4 2025+3.5%+2.2%-5.9%
Q3 2025+15.3%+8.5%+6.6%
Q2 2025-1.4%-1.8%+0.4%
Q1 2025+1.0%+3.2%+12.0%
Q4 2024+0.7%-2.7%-17.9%
Q3 2024+4.8%+6.8%+21.0%
Q2 2024-8.3%-6.4%-10.9%
Q1 2024-0.8%-1.5%-4.1%
Q4 2023+10.6%+8.1%+14.6%
Q3 2023-1.7%+0.6%+12.1%
Q2 2023-3.8%-1.3%-3.6%
Q1 2023-3.7%-2.8%-3.5%
Q4 2022+3.7%+3.4%-11.9%
Q3 2022-6.5%-5.5%-5.0%
Q2 2022-5.2%-5.9%-4.2%
Q1 2022+1.9%+0.4%-5.9%
Q4 2021-4.9%-4.3%-0.2%
Q3 2021+3.0%+7.4%-4.6%
Q2 2021-5.6%-9.3%-1.4%
Q1 2021-1.1%-1.5%-0.7%
Q4 2020-0.1%+2.3%+7.9%
Q3 2020-3.9%-0.7%+33.7%
Q2 2020-9.2%-7.0%+6.7%
Q1 2020-3.2%+4.2%+55.5%
Q4 2019-6.5%-4.9%-42.0%
Q3 2019+0.1%+3.1%+4.6%
Q2 2019-0.4%-10.3%-6.7%
Q1 2019+0.3%+2.3%-8.7%
Q4 2018-0.8%-4.6%-14.1%
Q3 2018+20.3%+20.8%+15.6%
Q2 2018-3.0%-4.7%-9.5%
Q1 2018-8.2%-7.0%-6.2%
Q4 2017+4.0%+2.7%-1.4%
Q3 2017-1.9%-2.6%+0.5%
Q2 2017-0.7%-2.1%-2.7%
Q1 2017+4.0%+3.8%+8.0%
Q4 2016+4.9%+3.7%+3.0%
Q3 2016-5.4%-3.0%+9.3%
Q2 2016-7.5%-9.7%-8.2%
Q1 2016-4.6%
Q4 2015+4.9%
Q3 2015+6.0%
Q2 2015+0.9%
Q1 2015-4.4%
Q4 2014+9.8%
Q3 2014-2.5%
Q2 2014+2.1%
Q1 2014-0.6%
Q4 2013-2.9%
Q3 2013+2.6%
Q2 2013+2.5%
Q1 2013-2.8%
Q4 2012+5.8%
Q3 2012-3.3%
Q2 2012+4.7%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2011+1.1%
Q3 2011+11.4%
Q2 2011-6.5%
Q1 2010+2.0%
Q1 2011+0.6%
Q4 2008-4.4%
Q4 2010-4.4%
Q3 2010-0.5%
Q3 2009-0.5%
Q4 2009+3.1%
Q2 2009+3.1%
Q2 2010+3.1%

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