NYSE$TGI

Triumph Group Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Triumph Group's financial performance reflected an upswing in Q4 2023, exceeding net sales and adjusted EPS guidance, and successfully extending debt maturities.

Triumph Group reported Q4 2023 results with net sales of $393.3 million, operating income of $56.2 million, and a net loss of $17.5 million. The company exceeded net sales and adjusted EPS guidance, extending debt maturities to enhance liquidity. They anticipate organic growth of 7 - 10% as well as continued margin expansion and positive free cash flow generation in fiscal 2024.

  • Net sales reached $393.3 million.
  • Operating income was $56.2 million with a 14% margin.
  • Net loss amounted to ($17.5) million, or ($0.27) per share.
  • Free cash flow was $51.8 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$393M

Previous: $387M+1.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.39

Previous: $0.39+0.0%
Adj. EBITDAP Margin

17.3%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$51.8M

Previous: $29.1M+78.0%
Net Income

-$17.5M

Previous: -$10.6M-65.5%
Operating Income

$56.2M

Previous: $38.8M+44.7%
Gross Profit

$122M

Previous: $102M+20.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$227M

Previous: $241M-5.6%
Total Assets

$1.71B

Previous: $1.76B-2.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.49M

Previous: $2.12M+17.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Triumph Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$393M

Q4 2023+1.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Triumph Group · $39.9M total across 1 segment · Q4 2023

  • Interiors
    $39.9M

Forward guidance

The Company expects net sales for fiscal 2024 will be $1.39 billion to $1.43 billion, reflecting an organic growth rate of 7% - 10%, after excluding approximately $77.9 million in fiscal 2023 revenues from exited businesses. The Company expects fiscal 2024 operating income of $165.0 million to $180.0 million, and Adjusted EBITDAP of $210.0 million to $225.0 million. The Company expects fiscal 2024 cash flow from operations of $60.0 million to $80.0 million and approximately $25.0 million to $30.0 million for capital expenditures, resulting in expected free cash flow of $35.0 million to $50.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales of $1.39 billion to $1.43 billion, reflecting 7 - 10% organic growth
  • Operating income of $165.0 million to $180.0 million, reflecting operating income margin of 12 - 16%
  • Adjusted EBITDAP of $210.0 million to $225.0 million, reflecting Adjusted EBITDAP margin of 15 - 16%
  • Cash flow from operations of $60.0 million to $80.0 million
  • Free cash flow of $35.0 million to $50.0 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 6 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

31 / 65 earnings

Positive

+39.8%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-34.9%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025+0.5%+0.4%+0.2%
Q3 2025+0.0%+0.7%+0.6%
Q2 2025+12.5%+10.8%+14.7%
Q1 2025-11.7%-15.5%-15.3%
Q4 2024-6.8%-6.5%+0.8%
Q3 2024-8.7%-8.9%-10.8%
Q2 2024+16.3%
Q1 2024-26.3%
Q4 2023+15.5%
Q3 2023+7.3%
Q2 2023+20.6%
Q1 2023-11.4%
Q4 2022-34.9%
Q3 2022+2.7%
Q2 2022-2.6%
Q1 2022-8.0%
Q4 2021-8.1%
Q3 2021+17.1%
Q2 2021+4.3%
Q1 2021+5.4%
Q4 2020-8.4%
Q3 2020+5.3%
Q2 2020+21.7%
Q1 2020+13.3%
Q4 2019-2.2%
Q3 2019+9.7%
Q2 2019+1.2%
Q1 2019+18.2%
Q4 2018-8.5%
Q3 2018-11.3%
Q2 2018-0.2%
Q1 2018-25.1%
Q4 2017+39.8%
Q3 2017+5.5%
Q2 2017+4.8%
Q1 2017-21.6%
Q4 2016+3.8%
Q3 2016-16.0%
Q2 2016+4.6%
Q1 2016-9.3%
Q4 2015+13.9%
Q3 2015-7.1%
Q2 2015+6.7%
Q1 2015-0.5%
Q4 2014-0.6%
Q3 2014-11.8%
Q2 2014-1.2%
Q1 2014-7.4%
Q4 2013-7.4%
Q3 2013-1.7%
Q2 2013+6.2%
Q1 2013-2.8%
Q4 2012+4.6%
Q3 2012+2.3%
Q2 2012-2.7%
Q1 2012+2.2%
Q4 2009+0.8%
Q4 2011+0.8%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q3 2011+0.3%
Q2 2010-0.9%
Q2 2011-0.9%
Q4 2010-2.1%
Q1 2010-2.1%
Q1 2011-2.1%

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