NYSE$SHW

Sherwin-Williams Co · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Sherwin-Williams' Q4 2024 financial performance showed sales growth driven by the Paint Stores Group, offset by declines in Consumer Brands and Performance Coatings, with diluted net income per share increasing by 36.7%.

Sherwin-Williams reported a 0.9% increase in consolidated net sales, driven by the Paint Stores Group, while the Consumer Brands and Performance Coatings Groups experienced lower sales. Diluted net income per share increased by 36.7% to $1.90, and adjusted diluted net income per share increased by 15.5% to $2.09.

  • Consolidated Net sales increased primarily due to higher sales in the Paint Stores Group.
  • Income before income taxes increased primarily due to higher Net sales, lower provisions for environmental matters and higher other income.
  • Residential repaint significantly outgrew the market and increased by a high-single digit percentage.
  • Sales in industrial businesses were led by double-digit percentage growth in Packaging and low-single digit percentage growth in Coil.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.3B

Previous: $5.25B+0.9%
EPS (adj)

$2.09

Previous: $1.81+15.5%
Same-store sales change

2.0%

No prior period
Gross Profit % of Net Sales

48.6%

No prior period
PSG Reported Segment Margin

19.9%

No prior period
CBG Reported Segment Margin

10.1%

No prior period
CBG Adjusted Segment Margin

12.4%

No prior period
PCG Reported Segment Margin

14.4%

No prior period
PCG Adjusted Segment Margin

17.5%

No prior period
Net Income

$480M

Previous: $356M+34.8%
Operating Income

$616M

Previous: $474M+29.9%
Gross Profit

$2.57B

Previous: $2.55B+1.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Sherwin-Williams · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.3B

Q4 2024+0.9%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sherwin-Williams · $2.16B total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Performance Coatings Group
    $1.61B+4.2%
  • Consumer Brands Group
    $552M-2.4%

Forward guidance

The Company expects first quarter 2025 consolidated Net sales will be up or down a low-single digit percentage compared to the first quarter of 2024 with the Paint Stores Group at or above the high end of that range. For the full year 2025, we expect consolidated Net sales to be up a low-single digit percentage with the Paint Stores Group at or above the high end of that range. We expect adjusted diluted net income per share will be in the range of $11.65 to $12.05 per share, which represents 4.6% growth from 2024 at the mid-point.

Tailwinds

  • Expect full-year gross margin expansion driven by price-cost discipline and efficiency gains.
  • Will work to control spending tightly, and expect growth in SG&A to moderate to a low-single digit level.
  • Expect demand softness to persist in several end markets well into the second half of the year, if not into 2026.
  • Significant above-market growth opportunities in every one of our businesses.
  • Confidence in differentiated strategy that continues to deliver innovative and productive solutions.

Headwinds

  • Costs associated with the transition into new buildings in the year are expected to be $100 million, comprised of $80 million in SG&A and $20 million of interest.
  • Refinancing activity associated with managing 2024 and 2025 debt maturities is expected to increase interest expense by approximately $40 million.
  • Demand softness to persist in several end markets well into the second half of the year, if not into 2026.
  • Transition costs into new buildings are expected to be $100 million.
  • Refinancing activity associated with debt maturities is expected to increase interest expense by approximately $40 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

42 / 73 earnings

Positive

+12.6%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-10.3%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.5%-5.4%-9.4%
Q4 2025+0.2%+2.9%+3.7%
Q3 2025+5.5%+2.6%+2.2%
Q2 2025-0.9%-0.2%-2.4%
Q1 2025+4.8%+8.3%+7.1%
Q4 2024+1.4%-0.8%+0.5%
Q3 2024-5.0%-5.9%+0.4%
Q2 2024+3.0%+8.3%+11.0%
Q1 2024-1.8%-0.9%-2.0%
Q4 2023+0.3%+2.2%+7.0%
Q3 2023-0.0%-1.1%+15.1%
Q2 2023+4.8%+4.5%+0.5%
Q1 2023-3.2%+0.4%-4.2%
Q4 2022-7.5%-4.2%-10.5%
Q3 2022+3.9%+6.4%+17.6%
Q2 2022-4.4%-4.4%-7.3%
Q1 2022+12.6%+10.9%+9.7%
Q4 2021-1.7%-4.3%-14.0%
Q3 2021+2.5%+2.2%+5.9%
Q2 2021+0.7%+1.9%+5.9%
Q1 2021-0.2%+1.6%+6.0%
Q4 2020-3.6%-1.0%-5.2%
Q3 2020+1.2%+2.6%+9.1%
Q2 2020+3.5%+3.6%+7.4%
Q1 2020+5.4%+4.0%+16.7%
Q4 2019-5.6%-0.6%-12.5%
Q3 2019+2.4%+4.5%+3.3%
Q2 2019+10.2%+12.7%+15.2%
Q1 2019+1.3%+1.1%-4.7%
Q4 2018+2.9%+4.1%+7.7%
Q3 2018-4.5%-0.8%+7.0%
Q2 2018+3.7%+5.3%+4.3%
Q1 2018-3.9%-3.2%-0.3%
Q4 2017-1.3%-1.9%-7.3%
Q3 2017+1.5%+2.8%+1.0%
Q2 2017-2.1%-2.1%-8.5%
Q1 2017+4.2%+6.3%+6.7%
Q4 2016+7.7%+7.2%+10.3%
Q3 2016-10.3%-11.9%-2.0%
Q2 2016-5.9%-6.2%-7.8%
Q1 2016-0.3%
Q4 2015+1.4%
Q3 2015+8.1%
Q2 2015-5.7%
Q1 2015-2.3%
Q4 2014+0.1%
Q3 2014-1.7%
Q2 2014+5.2%
Q1 2014+2.9%
Q4 2013-3.1%
Q3 2013+3.1%
Q2 2013-5.6%
Q1 2013+4.8%
Q4 2012+0.9%
Q3 2012-8.0%
Q2 2012+3.1%
Q1 2012+1.0%
Q4 2011+1.1%
Q3 2011+2.9%
Q2 2011-2.2%
Q1 2011+1.4%
Q4 2010-3.5%
Q3 2010+1.4%
Q2 2010-0.4%
Q1 2009-0.3%
Q1 2010+1.9%
Q4 2009+0.3%
Q4 2007+0.3%
Q3 2008-2.0%
Q3 2009-2.0%
Q2 2009+3.9%
Q2 2008+3.9%
Q4 2008+3.9%

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