NYSE$RITM

New Residential Investment Corp · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

New Residential reported a profitable fourth quarter and ended the year in a strong financial position.

New Residential Investment Corp. reported a GAAP Net Income of $68.6 million, or $0.16 per diluted common share, and Core Earnings of $137.0 million, or $0.32 per diluted common share for the fourth quarter of 2020. The company's servicing portfolio grew to $297.8 billion in UPB. The company's MSR portfolio totaled approximately $537 billion UPB as of December 31, 2020.

  • GAAP Net Income of $68.6 million, or $0.16 per diluted common share
  • Core Earnings of $137.0 million, or $0.32 per diluted common share
  • Common Dividend of $82.9 million, or $0.20 per common share
  • Servicing portfolio grew to $297.8 billion in UPB

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$113M

Previous: $216M-47.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.32

Previous: $0.61-47.5%
Total Servicing UPB

$298B

Previous: $219B+35.7%
Origination Funded Production Volume

$23.9B

Previous: $10.6B+125.5%
Net Income

$102M

Previous: $230M-55.9%
Operating Income

$167M

Previous: $253M-34.0%
Gross Profit

$296M

Previous: $312M-5.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$945M

Previous: $529M+78.7%
Total Assets

$33.3B

Previous: $44.9B-25.9%

Revenue & EPS history

NRZ · Revenue · Quarterly

$113M

Q4 2020-47.5%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 5 of 16 quarters(31%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NRZ · $447M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Origination and Servicing
    $419M+2320.4%
  • Corporate Category
    $27.3M-26.9%

Forward guidance

New Residential anticipates continued strong performance, expecting Q1'21 Funded Origination Volume of approximately $23 billion to $25 billion UPB and an Estimated Q1'21 Servicing Portfolio UPB of approximately $300 billion UPB.

Tailwinds

  • Portfolio of MSRs will benefit from rising interest rates.
  • Mortgage company is poised to capture additional market share.
  • Mortgage company is poised to increase borrower retention.
  • Estimated Q1’21 Funded Origination Volume of approximately $23 billion to $25 billion UPB
  • Estimated Q1’21 Servicing Portfolio UPB of approximately $300 billion UPB

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

68%

38 / 56 earnings

Positive

+12.5%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-11.5%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.2%-3.3%-8.5%
Q4 2025+6.0%-0.6%-9.4%
Q3 2025+0.3%+0.5%+5.1%
Q1 2025+1.3%+7.5%+7.0%
Q4 2024+3.7%+3.1%+2.9%
Q3 2024+3.0%+0.1%+6.8%
Q2 2024-1.7%-6.6%+3.6%
Q1 2024-0.6%+0.9%-1.2%
Q4 2023-4.2%-1.7%+3.2%
Q3 2023+2.8%+4.2%+13.7%
Q2 2023-0.4%+2.3%+3.4%
Q1 2023+1.9%+2.9%+11.5%
Q4 2022+1.8%+3.6%-11.2%
Q3 2022-1.4%+0.8%+5.9%
Q2 2022-6.2%-9.1%-16.1%
Q1 2022+12.5%+6.6%+9.4%
Q4 2021+6.1%+3.7%+1.3%
Q3 2021+0.7%-0.3%-5.6%
Q2 2021+3.1%+2.6%+13.6%
Q1 2021-2.2%-2.4%+1.7%
Q4 2020-2.9%-3.8%+7.1%
Q3 2020-11.5%-14.1%+11.2%
Q2 2020-1.1%-1.5%-1.8%
Q1 2020+0.8%+8.9%+36.3%
Q4 2019+1.7%+2.7%-7.3%
Q3 2019-0.6%-0.3%-2.7%
Q2 2019+1.2%-0.9%-9.3%
Q1 2019-0.9%-0.8%-9.3%
Q4 2018+1.7%+1.9%+0.0%
Q3 2018-1.1%+0.5%-5.0%
Q2 2018-4.4%-3.8%-1.3%
Q1 2018+3.2%+4.3%+6.8%
Q4 2017+1.1%+1.5%+2.3%
Q3 2017+2.2%+3.8%+4.5%
Q2 2017+6.9%+4.9%+2.1%
Q1 2017+1.7%+0.4%-3.5%
Q4 2016+3.0%+3.1%+2.9%
Q3 2016+0.4%+3.0%+11.2%
Q2 2016+3.4%+4.2%+4.6%
Q1 2016+5.2%
Q4 2015+4.3%
Q3 2015-2.4%
Q2 2015+0.1%
Q1 2015+1.7%
Q4 2014+1.6%
Q3 2014+0.5%
Q2 2014+5.2%
Q1 2014-2.5%
Q4 2012+0.9%
Q4 2013+1.9%
Q3 2012+5.6%
Q3 2013-7.1%
Q2 2012-0.9%
Q1 2012+1.9%
Q2 2013+1.9%
Q1 2013+1.9%

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