NYSE$PCG

PG&E Corp · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Recorded GAAP earnings and non-GAAP core earnings, and adjusted 2021 EPS guidance.

PG&E Corporation reported Q4 2020 GAAP earnings of $0.09 per share and non-GAAP core earnings of $0.21 per share. The company adjusted its 2021 EPS guidance for GAAP losses to a range of $0.52 to $0.38 and reaffirmed non-GAAP core earnings guidance of $0.95 to $1.05 per share. A 10 percent non-GAAP core earnings per share growth guidance was introduced over its five-year plan.

  • Recorded GAAP earnings of $0.09 per share for the fourth-quarter of 2020.
  • Non-GAAP core earnings were $0.21 per share for the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • 2021 EPS guidance for GAAP losses was adjusted to the range of $0.52 to $0.38.
  • Non-GAAP core earnings of $0.95 to $1.05 per share were reaffirmed for 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.75B

Previous: $4.74B+0.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.21

Previous: $0.68-69.1%
Capital Expenditures

$2.22B

Previous: $2.12B+4.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$2.13B

Previous: -$1.37B-55.0%
Net Income

$200M

Previous: -$3.62B+105.5%
Operating Income

$1.76B

Previous: -$10.1B+117.4%
Gross Profit

$1.49B

Previous: $1.45B+3.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$484M

Previous: $1.57B-69.2%
Total Assets

$97.9B

Previous: $85.2B+14.9%

Revenue & EPS history

PG&E · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.75B

Q4 2020+0.1%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PG&E · $5.89B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Electric Revenue
    $4.51B+15.7%
  • Natural Gas Revenue
    $1.38B-7.9%

Forward guidance

PG&E Corporation is adjusting 2021 GAAP loss guidance in the range of $0.52 to $0.38 per share, which includes non-core items. On a non-GAAP basis, the guidance range for projected 2021 non-GAAP core earnings is $0.95 to $1.05 per share. PG&E is also rolling forward its five-year plan and introducing non-GAAP core earnings per share growth guidance of 10 percent.

Tailwinds

  • PG&E Corporation is adjusting 2021 GAAP loss guidance in the range of $0.52 to $0.38 per share.
  • PG&E is adjusting 2021 non-core items guidance to approximately $3.1 billion after-tax.
  • On a non-GAAP basis, the guidance range for projected 2021 non-GAAP core earnings is $0.95 to $1.05 per share.
  • PG&E is also rolling forward its five-year plan
  • Introducing non-GAAP core earnings per share growth guidance of 10 percent.

Headwinds

  • Factors affecting non-GAAP core earnings include net below-the-line and spend above authorized of up to $100 million after-tax
  • Unrecoverable interest expense of $300 million to $325 million after-tax.
  • Guidance is based on various assumptions and forecasts
  • Those relating to authorized revenues, future expenses, capital expenditures, rate base, equity issuances
  • The potential securitization of certain wildfire-related costs for the 2017 Northern California wildfires, and certain other factors.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

33 / 73 earnings

Positive

+8.1%

Q4 2019

Best reaction

-9.5%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.3%-3.7%-2.2%
Q4 2025+2.7%+5.4%+6.1%
Q3 2025-2.4%-2.8%-5.5%
Q2 2025+0.0%+8.2%+9.0%
Q1 2025-0.8%-1.1%-2.8%
Q4 2024-1.1%-3.8%+4.7%
Q3 2024+1.7%+4.6%+0.4%
Q2 2024-1.2%+0.4%+3.0%
Q1 2024+0.2%+0.6%+8.6%
Q4 2023+1.5%-1.1%-2.2%
Q3 2023-2.2%+0.8%+11.4%
Q2 2023-1.3%-3.1%-6.7%
Q1 2023-0.1%-0.1%-3.7%
Q4 2022+1.7%+0.6%+0.8%
Q3 2022+0.5%+0.9%+1.3%
Q2 2022+0.7%+2.2%+15.8%
Q1 2022+1.3%+1.8%-1.1%
Q4 2021-8.5%-7.3%-12.4%
Q3 2021-2.2%+0.4%+1.3%
Q2 2021-3.9%-1.7%-0.3%
Q1 2021+4.9%+4.9%-6.0%
Q4 2020-7.9%-4.6%+5.8%
Q3 2020-1.4%-0.3%+31.2%
Q2 2020+1.6%-1.7%-0.8%
Q1 2020+3.4%+8.0%+11.5%
Q4 2019+8.1%+10.6%-51.2%
Q3 2019-6.4%+2.0%+39.5%
Q2 2019-9.5%-13.9%-44.9%
Q1 2019-1.0%-3.2%-21.2%
Q4 2018+0.6%+2.9%+0.0%
Q3 2018+2.4%-15.9%-43.6%
Q2 2018+1.1%+0.2%-0.4%
Q1 2018-2.2%-6.8%-7.8%
Q4 2017+2.9%+2.2%+9.9%
Q3 2017-0.8%-1.6%-5.4%
Q2 2017-0.7%+0.5%+3.2%
Q1 2017+0.5%+1.0%+3.7%
Q4 2016+1.6%+2.7%+5.8%
Q3 2016+1.5%-1.3%-3.2%
Q2 2016-0.0%+0.6%-2.9%
Q1 2016+0.2%
Q4 2015+0.1%
Q3 2015-3.2%
Q2 2015-0.2%
Q1 2015+0.6%
Q4 2014-1.0%
Q3 2014+4.2%
Q2 2014-1.8%
Q1 2014-2.3%
Q4 2013+2.3%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2013+0.0%
Q1 2013-0.9%
Q4 2012-2.6%
Q3 2012+1.2%
Q2 2012-3.0%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q2 2011+2.1%
Q4 2011+2.1%
Q3 2011-3.5%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q2 2010-1.3%
Q4 2007-1.3%
Q4 2010-1.3%
Q3 2010+1.5%
Q1 2009+2.2%
Q1 2010+2.2%
Q4 2009-1.2%
Q3 2008-1.6%
Q3 2009-1.6%
Q4 2008-0.3%
Q2 2008-0.3%
Q2 2009-0.3%

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