NYSE$PBF

PBF Energy Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

PBF Energy faced a challenging Q4 2024 with a significant decline in revenue and widening losses. Lower refining margins, inventory adjustments, and operational disruptions, including a fire at the Martinez refinery, heavily impacted results.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$7.35B

Previous: $9.14B-19.6%
EPS (adj)

-$2.82

Previous: -$0.41-587.8%
Total Production (bpd)

871.1K

No prior period
Crude Oil and Feedstocks Throughput (bpd)

862.0K

No prior period
Consolidated Gross Margin

-$308.50

No prior period
Gross Refining Margin

$418.60

No prior period
Refinery Operating Expense per barrel of throughput

$7.94

No prior period
Effective RIN Basket Price

$4.05

No prior period
Natural Gas Price (MMBTU)

$2.98

No prior period
Total Debt

$1.46K

No prior period
Total Equity

$5.68K

No prior period
Total Debt to Capitalization Ratio

20.0%

No prior period
Net Debt to Capitalization Ratio

14.0%

No prior period
Net Income

-$289M

Previous: -$48.4M-497.7%
Operating Income

-$383M

Previous: -$53.3M-618.9%
Gross Profit

-$309M

Previous: $52.1M-692.1%

Revenue & EPS history

PBF Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$7.35B

Q4 2024-19.6%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PBF Energy · $10.9B total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Refining
    $10.8B+31.6%
  • Logistics
    $96.9M+8.5%

Forward guidance

PBF Energy expects continued operational challenges in Q1 2025, with planned maintenance and a temporary shutdown at the Martinez refinery. Market conditions remain tight, but the company aims to capitalize on refining margin improvements.

Tailwinds

  • Strong balance sheet provides financial flexibility.
  • Strategic maintenance investments expected to enhance reliability.
  • Expected improvement in refining margins over the cycle.
  • Renewable diesel production continues despite planned catalyst change.
  • Share repurchase program demonstrates commitment to shareholder value.

Headwinds

  • Fire at Martinez refinery leads to temporary shutdown.
  • Lower refining margins impacting profitability.
  • Reduced renewable diesel production in Q1 due to maintenance.
  • Uncertainty in cost estimates for Martinez repairs.
  • Challenging market conditions with demand fluctuations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.8%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

31 / 53 earnings

Positive

+17.8%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-12.8%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.5%+7.1%-5.7%
Q4 2025-5.9%-5.1%+21.6%
Q3 2025+0.8%+3.5%+1.1%
Q1 2025-3.0%+9.1%+10.9%
Q4 2024-12.8%-10.1%-22.1%
Q3 2024-2.6%+0.0%+9.2%
Q2 2024-11.2%-11.8%-16.4%
Q1 2024-0.6%-2.2%-11.2%
Q4 2023-7.8%-11.1%+8.4%
Q3 2023-4.6%-8.8%-6.4%
Q2 2023-4.6%-1.6%+3.6%
Q1 2023+4.0%+12.9%+18.3%
Q4 2022+0.1%+5.9%-3.3%
Q3 2022+2.2%+4.0%+1.9%
Q2 2022+7.1%+7.0%+17.9%
Q1 2022+6.3%+11.3%+20.4%
Q4 2021-2.3%-3.8%+27.5%
Q3 2021-0.6%-0.6%-16.8%
Q2 2021-3.2%-1.3%+15.2%
Q1 2021-0.8%+9.9%+12.9%
Q4 2020+10.6%+21.7%+92.9%
Q3 2020+9.4%+18.5%+85.2%
Q2 2020+11.9%+11.4%+11.6%
Q1 2020+17.8%+20.5%+27.0%
Q4 2019+0.6%-5.7%-44.6%
Q3 2019+6.3%+3.7%-2.6%
Q2 2019-12.3%-16.7%-15.1%
Q1 2019-1.6%+0.4%-21.4%
Q4 2018-2.9%-2.4%-9.8%
Q3 2018+6.2%+5.2%-4.8%
Q2 2018+5.8%+10.6%+13.0%
Q1 2018+1.6%+2.3%+25.6%
Q4 2017+1.6%-2.5%+6.1%
Q3 2017+3.0%+6.5%+6.4%
Q2 2017+0.3%-2.8%+6.3%
Q1 2017-2.2%+2.2%-8.2%
Q4 2016-1.3%+1.0%-10.8%
Q3 2016+4.1%+7.9%+20.4%
Q2 2016+2.7%+10.1%+1.0%
Q1 2016-8.8%
Q4 2015+3.0%
Q3 2015+6.2%
Q2 2015+5.7%
Q1 2015-1.3%
Q4 2014+6.2%
Q3 2014+6.7%
Q2 2014-5.6%
Q1 2014+9.6%
Q4 2013+6.2%
Q3 2013+3.1%
Q2 2013+0.5%
Q1 2013-3.3%
Q4 2012+1.0%
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011

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