NYSE$PBA

Pembina Pipeline Corp · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Pembina Pipeline Q4 2024: record C$1.25B adjusted EBITDA, C$572M earnings, C$922M operating cash flow

Pembina Pipeline reported record fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 results. Q4 earnings were C$572 million with record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of C$1,254 million, up 21% year over year, and record adjusted cash flow from operating activities of C$922 million (C$1.59 per share). The Alliance/Aux Sable acquisition and higher contributions from equity-accounted investees drove Facilities segment strength, while Pipelines earnings declined 21% due to a prior-year Nipisi impairment reversal. Full-year earnings were C$1,874 million on record adjusted EBITDA of C$4,408 million. Total volumes averaged 4,016 mboe/d in Q4 versus 3,752 mboe/d a year earlier. Management guided 2025 adjusted EBITDA of C$4.2–C$4.5 billion.

  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA hit a record C$1,254 million, up 21% year over year.
  • Q4 earnings were C$572 million; adjusted operating cash flow was C$922 million (C$1.59/share).
  • Full-year adjusted EBITDA reached a record C$4,408 million on earnings of C$1,874 million.
  • Volumes averaged 4,016 mboe/d in Q4, up from 3,752 mboe/d in the prior-year quarter.
  • 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance is C$4.2–C$4.5 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

C$1.5B

Previous: C$1.81B-17.2%
EPS (adj)

C$0.66

Previous: C$0.89-25.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

C$1.25B

No prior period
Adjusted cash flow from operating activities

C$922M

No prior period
Total volumes

4.0K

No prior period
Full-year adjusted EBITDA

C$4.41B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-C$160M

Previous: -C$125M-28.0%
Net Income

C$572M

Previous: C$489M+17.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Pembina · Revenue · Quarterly

C$1.5B

Q4 2024-17.2%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 7 of 12 quarters(58%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Pembina · C$2.37B total across 3 segments · Q1 2026

  • Marketing & New Ventures
    C$1.2B
  • Pipelines
    C$861M
  • Facilities
    C$308M

Forward guidance

Pembina expects 2025 adjusted EBITDA in the range of C$4.2–C$4.5 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Alliance/Aux Sable acquisition contributed to record EBITDA.
  • Facilities and marketing segments showed strong earnings growth.

Headwinds

  • Pipelines Q4 earnings declined due to tough comparison from 2023 Nipisi impairment reversal.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

33 / 59 earnings

Positive

+6.9%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-9.8%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%+5.0%+8.6%
Q3 2025-2.9%-0.2%+3.6%
Q2 2025+0.2%-3.2%+3.1%
Q1 2025-6.1%-5.7%-4.7%
Q4 2024+6.9%+3.7%+9.8%
Q2 2024+1.0%-0.6%+5.6%
Q4 2023+1.3%+2.0%+1.5%
Q3 2023+4.0%+3.1%+9.4%
Q2 2023+0.6%+0.7%+2.0%
Q1 2023+3.2%+3.9%+1.6%
Q4 2022+0.7%-0.2%-7.1%
Q3 2022+4.1%+4.2%+9.8%
Q2 2022-5.0%-2.3%-5.0%
Q1 2022+0.8%-4.7%+6.1%
Q4 2021+1.6%+5.2%+15.8%
Q3 2021+3.0%+5.0%-10.6%
Q2 2021-1.6%-1.1%-4.5%
Q1 2021-1.5%-0.8%+0.0%
Q4 2020-9.8%-7.5%+2.6%
Q3 2020-4.7%+9.4%+23.4%
Q2 2020-1.7%+3.9%-3.8%
Q1 2020+3.8%+6.7%+25.8%
Q4 2019-4.7%-5.2%-54.6%
Q3 2019+1.2%+1.1%-0.5%
Q2 2019+2.3%+0.7%+1.0%
Q1 2019-0.2%-1.3%+0.5%
Q4 2018-0.8%-0.4%+0.7%
Q3 2018+2.3%+7.4%+4.2%
Q2 2018+2.1%-0.5%-4.8%
Q1 2018+6.6%+7.4%+8.8%
Q4 2017+3.0%+1.4%-5.5%
Q3 2017+3.4%+6.4%+4.4%
Q2 2017-0.7%-1.5%-5.5%
Q1 2017+1.0%+1.0%+3.0%
Q4 2016+0.2%-0.2%-2.1%
Q3 2016-0.9%+1.1%+1.4%
Q2 2016+0.7%+2.3%+4.8%
Q1 2016-2.3%
Q4 2015+3.0%
Q3 2015-2.3%
Q2 2015-1.6%
Q1 2015-1.7%
Q4 2014+0.9%
Q3 2014-0.1%
Q2 2014+2.8%
Q1 2014-0.1%
Q4 2013-0.8%
Q3 2013-0.4%
Q2 2013+1.2%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2012+2.9%
Q3 2012-0.0%
Q2 2012-1.2%
Q1 2012+2.3%
Q4 2011+1.5%
Q3 2011-4.4%
Q2 2011+1.2%
Q1 2011+1.9%
Q4 2010+0.0%
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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