NYSE$ONTO

Onto Innovation Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fourth quarter and full year results for 2020.

Onto Innovation reported Q4 2020 revenue of $155.1 million, a 23% increase compared to the third quarter. GAAP net income was $19.9 million, or $0.40 per diluted share, while non-GAAP net income was $35.6 million, or $0.72 per diluted share. The company's cash and marketable securities increased by $33 million during the quarter.

  • Quarterly revenue increased 23% compared to the third quarter and exceeded management’s guidance.
  • Revenue from RF customers supporting the 5G ramp increased 100% over the third quarter.
  • Entered long-term operating model with fourth quarter Non-GAAP operating margin of 24%.
  • Cash and marketable securities increased $33 million in the fourth quarter and cash from operations was 21% of revenue in the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$155M

Previous: $121M+28.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.72

Previous: $0.41+75.6%
Gross Margin

49.0%

Previous: 33.0%+48.5%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin

54.0%

Previous: 51.0%+5.9%
Capital Expenditures

$438K

Previous: -$3.14M+113.9%
Free Cash Flow

$32.7M

Previous: $22.4M+45.8%
Net Income

$19.9M

Previous: -$17.8M+212.2%
Operating Income

$14.7M

Previous: -$23.4M+163.0%
Gross Profit

$75.3M

Previous: $39.6M+90.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$374M

Previous: $320M+16.7%
Total Assets

$1.47B

Previous: $1.45B+1.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.68M

Previous: $872K+436.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Onto Innovation · Revenue · Quarterly

$155M

Q4 2020+28.7%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company is currently anticipating revenue for the first quarter 2021 to be in the range of $155 million to $169 million. Within this revenue range the Company is expecting GAAP net income per diluted share to be in the range of $0.35 to $0.49 and non-GAAP net income per diluted share to be in the range of $0.62 to $0.76.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue for the first quarter 2021 to be in the range of $155 million to $169 million.
  • GAAP net income per diluted share to be in the range of $0.35 to $0.49.
  • Non-GAAP net income per diluted share to be in the range of $0.62 to $0.76.

Headwinds

  • Guidance assumes that the safety protocols in place continue to limit the impact of COVID-19 on our factories and our suppliers.
  • The upper end of this guidance is predicated on the approval of the Company’s application for a license to deliver an ordered product that was recently restricted from shipping to China.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

35 / 64 earnings

Positive

+17.6%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-30.2%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.0%-5.7%-17.0%
Q4 2025-4.1%-0.0%-11.2%
Q3 2025+5.8%+2.9%+19.5%
Q1 2025-30.2%-17.9%-24.2%
Q4 2024-11.2%-19.9%-36.9%
Q3 2024-15.1%-16.2%-20.8%
Q2 2024+17.6%+21.8%+8.1%
Q1 2024+8.8%+10.7%+5.4%
Q4 2023+13.6%+6.2%+16.8%
Q3 2023+9.6%+10.3%+12.5%
Q2 2023-7.2%-5.5%+8.5%
Q1 2023+3.8%+2.8%+29.0%
Q4 2022-1.7%-0.1%-2.0%
Q3 2022+0.3%+5.0%+19.9%
Q2 2022-7.0%-3.4%-17.8%
Q1 2022+7.0%-0.9%+14.8%
Q4 2021+2.9%-3.2%-11.6%
Q3 2021+10.1%+6.7%+10.2%
Q2 2021+8.8%+8.4%+9.6%
Q1 2021-0.3%-6.8%+4.4%
Q4 2020+2.5%+1.1%-4.2%
Q3 2020+8.6%+17.2%+38.9%
Q2 2020-1.7%-10.6%-18.1%
Q1 2020+0.9%+9.3%+13.0%
Q4 2019-6.4%-5.8%-23.2%
Q3 2019+3.3%+2.9%-2.0%
Q2 2019-13.7%
Q1 2019-1.3%
Q4 2018-0.9%
Q3 2018+3.9%
Q2 2018+5.9%
Q1 2018-3.8%
Q4 2017-0.5%
Q3 2017-0.9%
Q2 2017-0.4%
Q1 2017-2.2%
Q4 2016+3.5%
Q3 2016+1.1%
Q2 2016+0.6%
Q1 2016-2.2%
Q4 2015+2.0%
Q3 2015+13.3%
Q2 2015-13.0%
Q1 2015-0.6%
Q4 2014+1.4%
Q3 2014+4.1%
Q2 2014+3.9%
Q1 2014+0.3%
Q4 2013+0.8%
Q3 2013-1.2%
Q2 2013+3.0%
Q1 2013-2.0%
Q4 2012-1.7%
Q3 2012-3.7%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q1 2012+2.1%
Q4 2011+1.8%
Q4 2010+1.8%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2011+7.7%
Q1 2011+7.7%
Q3 2010-3.7%
Q2 2010+1.8%
Q1 2010-1.2%

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