NYSE$OGS

ONE Gas Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ONE Gas reported first quarter earnings, declared dividend and affirmed financial guidance.

ONE Gas announced first quarter 2020 financial results with a net income of $91.7 million, or $1.72 per diluted share. The company affirmed its 2020 financial guidance, expecting net income in the range of $186 million to $198 million, or $3.44 to $3.68 per diluted share.

  • First quarter net income was $91.7 million, or $1.72 per diluted share, compared with $93.7 million, or $1.76 per diluted share, in the first quarter 2019.
  • Actual heating degree days across the company's service areas were 4,714 in the first quarter 2020, 10% warmer than normal and 19% warmer than the same period last year.
  • Delivered natural gas sales volumes for the first quarter 2020 were 16% lower compared with the first quarter 2019, primarily as a result of the warmer weather.
  • The board of directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.54 per share, or $2.16 per share on an annualized basis, payable on June 1, 2020, to shareholders of record at the close of business on May 13, 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$528M

Previous: $661M-20.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.72

Previous: $1.76-2.3%
Total customers

2.2M

Previous: 2.2M+0.8%
Actual heating degree days

4.7K

Previous: 5.8K-19.2%
Capital Expenditures

$114M

Previous: $83.3M+36.3%
Free Cash Flow

$69.2M

Previous: $39M+77.5%
Net Income

$91.7M

Previous: $93.7M-2.1%
Operating Income

$133M

Previous: $128M+4.4%
Gross Profit

$197M

Previous: $188M+5.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$11.1M

Previous: $19.6M-43.6%
Total Assets

$5.67B

Previous: $5.52B+2.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.26M

Previous: $1.95M+15.7%

Revenue & EPS history

ONE Gas · Revenue · Quarterly

$528M

Q1 2020-20.1%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ONE Gas · $295M total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • Natural gas sales
    $261M
  • Transportation revenues
    $34.2M

Forward guidance

ONE Gas affirmed its 2020 financial guidance, with net income expected to be in the range of $186 million to $198 million, or $3.44 to $3.68 per diluted share. Management expects a negative impact to earnings from lower revenues and net incremental expenses, including bad debt expenses, associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.

Headwinds

  • Management expects a negative impact to earnings from lower revenues and net incremental expenses, including bad debt expenses, associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

31 / 52 earnings

Positive

+6.7%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-4.1%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.3%-4.2%-12.9%
Q4 2025+1.8%+1.7%-0.1%
Q3 2025+0.1%+0.9%-3.4%
Q1 2025+3.6%-1.5%-6.2%
Q4 2024-0.2%+3.1%+0.9%
Q3 2024+0.7%+4.7%+7.0%
Q1 2024-0.9%-2.0%-6.1%
Q4 2023+0.2%-3.7%+3.1%
Q3 2023-1.8%+1.1%-4.3%
Q2 2023-1.6%-2.3%-6.8%
Q1 2023+1.8%+4.9%+5.2%
Q4 2022+0.5%+1.2%-3.6%
Q3 2022+3.7%+4.8%+12.6%
Q2 2022-2.3%-5.1%-7.9%
Q1 2022-1.6%+0.9%+2.8%
Q4 2021+0.3%+7.4%+12.3%
Q3 2021+2.0%+2.9%-4.2%
Q2 2021+1.5%+0.6%-1.3%
Q1 2021-0.9%-2.6%-7.0%
Q4 2020-4.1%-1.5%+7.4%
Q3 2020+6.7%+2.9%+14.6%
Q2 2020+0.2%-2.0%-4.7%
Q1 2020-2.7%-9.6%-5.5%
Q4 2019-1.7%-3.1%-29.7%
Q3 2019-2.0%-2.1%-4.7%
Q2 2019+1.0%+0.2%-1.2%
Q1 2019+0.6%+0.8%-1.9%
Q4 2018+0.6%+2.4%+6.1%
Q3 2018+1.1%-3.0%+4.1%
Q2 2018+2.2%+1.2%+4.5%
Q1 2018+3.2%+5.4%+7.3%
Q4 2017-3.1%-2.2%-6.1%
Q3 2017+0.7%-0.0%+2.3%
Q2 2017+1.6%+1.4%+2.9%
Q1 2017+1.0%+0.7%+2.6%
Q4 2016+2.4%+1.9%+4.6%
Q3 2016-1.4%-2.6%+0.3%
Q2 2016-1.5%-2.2%-5.7%
Q1 2016+2.5%
Q4 2015+0.5%
Q3 2015-0.8%
Q2 2015+3.0%
Q1 2015+1.7%
Q4 2012-0.2%
Q4 2014-0.2%
Q3 2014+1.9%
Q3 2013+1.9%
Q4 2013-3.2%
Q2 2014-3.2%
Q2 2013-3.2%
Q1 2013+0.7%
Q1 2014+2.9%
Q2 2012

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