NYSE$OEC

Orion SA · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Orion S.A. reported mixed results with increased net sales but decreased net income in Q4 2023.

Orion S.A. reported a slight increase in net sales but a decrease in net income for the fourth quarter of 2023. The company achieved record full-year Adjusted EBITDA, driven by improved contractual pricing, but demand cooled over the year. Management expects a gradual recovery of carbon black demand in 2024 and projects continued growth.

  • Net sales increased by $6.1 million, or 1.3% year over year, driven by higher volume.
  • Net income decreased by $7.3 million, or 59.8% year over year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by $1.4 million, or 2.1% year over year.
  • Volume increased by 11.1 kmt, or 5.2% year over year, primarily due to higher volume in the Specialty Carbon Black polymer market.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$468M

Previous: $462M+1.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.17

Previous: $0.26-34.6%
Total Volume (kmt)

226.2K

No prior period
Net Sales

$468M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$87.3M

No prior period
Income from Operations

$27.2M

No prior period
Net Income

$4.9M

No prior period
Adjusted Net Income

$9.8M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$66.6M

No prior period
Basic EPS

$0.08

No prior period
Diluted EPS

$0.08

No prior period
Adjusted Diluted EPS

$0.17

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$60.1M

Previous: $233M-125.8%
Operating Income

$27.20

Previous: $10.2M-100.0%
R&D Expense

$6.2M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$7.1M

Previous: $2.7M+163.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Orion · Revenue · Quarterly

$468M

Q4 2023+1.3%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Orion · $466M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Rubber Carbon Black
    $316M-15.4%
  • Specialty Carbon Black
    $150M-11.3%

Forward guidance

Orion projects an Adjusted EBITDA range of $340 million to $360 million and Adjusted Diluted EPS of $2.05 to $2.20 for full year 2024. Discretionary cash flow is expected to be approximately $160 million to $180 million.

Tailwinds

  • Projecting Adjusted EBITDA increase of 5 percent at the midpoint compared to 2023.
  • Projecting Adjusted Diluted EPS increase of 9 percent at the midpoint.
  • Expecting discretionary cash flow of approximately $160 million to $180 million in 2024.
  • Customers remain cautious but positive trends could affect results in 2024.
  • Looking forward to another year of notable growth.

Headwinds

  • Customers remain cautious.
  • Multiple positive trends are needed to affect results in 2024.
  • Uncertainty in the overall economic conditions.
  • Potential fluctuations in demand for products.
  • Possible negative impacts from geopolitical events.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

26 / 46 earnings

Positive

+10.0%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-27.4%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-12.3%-8.5%-18.0%
Q4 2025-19.8%-14.5%-26.9%
Q3 2025-8.4%-1.0%+1.6%
Q1 2025-10.6%-0.8%+0.5%
Q4 2024+3.3%-0.4%-8.3%
Q3 2024-5.9%+5.3%+7.9%
Q2 2024-27.4%-28.0%-24.2%
Q1 2024-0.0%+4.0%+5.3%
Q4 2023+1.6%+0.8%-1.6%
Q3 2023+4.5%+4.1%+20.6%
Q2 2023+5.5%+4.0%+4.8%
Q1 2023+6.7%-0.2%+11.2%
Q4 2022+10.0%+11.4%+10.7%
Q3 2022+6.2%+11.1%+20.7%
Q2 2022-8.0%-8.1%-3.8%
Q1 2022+1.7%+0.8%+22.6%
Q4 2021-9.5%-19.4%-18.7%
Q3 2021+0.8%-0.4%-10.8%
Q2 2021+1.4%+0.2%+3.9%
Q1 2021-1.1%-6.1%-7.4%
Q4 2020-2.0%+2.0%+19.1%
Q3 2020-6.2%+3.2%+14.0%
Q2 2020+9.4%+11.4%+15.7%
Q1 2020+4.9%-5.5%+54.9%
Q4 2019+6.9%-5.7%-54.6%
Q3 2019+8.9%+15.9%+8.1%
Q2 2019-20.8%-29.5%-28.6%
Q1 2019+4.9%+2.9%-11.2%
Q4 2018-19.3%-22.6%-27.5%
Q3 2018+8.2%+2.1%+1.2%
Q2 2018+8.0%+9.5%+10.3%
Q1 2018+0.0%+1.5%+19.8%
Q4 2017+1.3%-0.4%-8.9%
Q3 2017+0.6%+2.8%+2.8%
Q2 2017+2.6%-2.6%+3.8%
Q1 2017+0.5%-2.9%-7.4%
Q4 2016-1.0%-0.7%-9.3%
Q3 2016+3.4%+1.1%+0.8%
Q2 2016+7.0%+6.4%+13.1%
Q1 2016+9.1%
Q4 2015+1.8%
Q3 2015-6.7%
Q2 2015-0.7%
Q1 2015-0.3%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014-2.1%
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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