NYSE$O

Realty Income Corp · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Realty Income reported operating results for Q1 2021.

Realty Income announced operating results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2021. Net income per share was $0.26 and AFFO per share was $0.86. The company invested $1.03 billion in properties and properties under development or expansion, including $403.0 million in U.K. properties. They completed the early redemption on all $950.0 million in principal amount of outstanding notes due October 2022 and raised $670 million in net proceeds from a common stock public offering.

  • Net income per share was $0.26.
  • AFFO per share was $0.86.
  • Invested $1.03 billion in properties and properties under development or expansion, including $403.0 million in U.K. properties.
  • Portfolio occupancy was 98.0%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$443M

Previous: $414M+6.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.86

Previous: $0.88-2.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.03B

Previous: -$478M-115.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$932M

Previous: -$331M-181.4%
Net Income

$95.9M

Previous: $147M-34.7%
Operating Income

$387M

Previous: $385M+0.5%
Gross Profit

$414M

Previous: $414M-0.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$184M

Previous: $41.8M+340.1%
Total Assets

$21B

Previous: $18.8B+11.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.7M

Previous: $5.52M-33.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Realty Income · Revenue · Quarterly

$443M

Q1 2021+6.9%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

We estimate FFO per share for 2021 of $3.26 to $3.34, inclusive of a $0.13 per share loss due to the early redemption of our 3.250% notes due October 2022. We estimate AFFO per share for 2021 of $3.44 to $3.49, an increase of 1.5% to 2.9% over 2020 AFFO per share of $3.39.

Tailwinds

  • Net income per share $1.19 to $1.27
  • Real estate depreciation and impairments per share $2.13
  • Gains on sales of properties per share $(0.06)
  • FFO per share $3.26 to $3.34
  • AFFO per share $3.44 to $3.49

Headwinds

  • Same store rent growth 0.5% to 1.0%
  • Occupancy ~ 98%
  • Cash G&A expenses (% of revenues) ~ 4.5%
  • Property expenses (non-reimbursable) (% of revenues) 1.5% - 2.0%
  • Income tax expenses~ $20 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

25 / 65 earnings

Positive

+6.7%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-5.1%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%-2.5%-4.2%
Q4 2025+0.6%+1.6%-8.8%
Q3 2025-2.9%-2.3%+0.0%
Q2 2025+0.3%+1.3%+4.2%
Q1 2025-0.3%-0.4%-1.9%
Q4 2024-1.9%-0.5%-2.0%
Q3 2024-0.1%-2.3%-4.6%
Q2 2024+1.9%+2.1%+5.7%
Q1 2024-0.4%-0.5%-2.2%
Q4 2023+0.7%+1.2%+0.3%
Q3 2023-0.3%-1.6%+7.6%
Q2 2023-3.2%-1.1%-7.5%
Q1 2023+0.9%+2.2%-2.8%
Q4 2022-0.9%-1.7%-10.4%
Q3 2022-0.9%+1.5%+1.1%
Q2 2022-0.5%+0.6%-7.0%
Q1 2022-0.8%-4.6%-0.5%
Q4 2021-2.1%+1.2%+0.2%
Q3 2021+0.8%+0.5%-4.8%
Q2 2021+0.2%+0.5%+3.0%
Q1 2021-0.1%-1.5%+2.1%
Q4 2020+2.1%-1.4%+3.5%
Q3 2020+2.4%+0.2%+5.0%
Q2 2020+3.0%+4.4%+5.8%
Q1 2020+0.5%+5.9%+16.2%
Q4 2019+1.9%+2.2%-41.0%
Q3 2019-3.5%-5.9%-6.3%
Q2 2019-0.3%+3.8%+9.2%
Q1 2019+0.3%-0.1%+0.1%
Q4 2018-0.5%-0.7%+3.8%
Q3 2018-0.3%+0.1%+4.4%
Q2 2018+2.0%+3.3%+5.0%
Q1 2018+0.4%+0.6%+1.3%
Q4 2017-0.2%+2.4%-0.1%
Q3 2017-2.8%-1.4%+2.6%
Q2 2017+0.9%-0.6%+1.1%
Q1 2017-1.4%-2.9%-8.2%
Q4 2016+2.2%+2.6%-3.3%
Q3 2016-5.1%-4.9%-9.2%
Q2 2016+0.8%+2.9%-6.2%
Q1 2016-1.4%
Q4 2015+6.7%
Q3 2015-1.3%
Q2 2015+0.4%
Q1 2015-4.2%
Q4 2014+1.2%
Q3 2014+3.0%
Q2 2014-1.3%
Q1 2014-0.6%
Q4 2013+1.3%
Q3 2013-1.6%
Q2 2013-0.3%
Q1 2013+0.8%
Q4 2012-0.2%
Q3 2012-2.8%
Q2 2012-0.9%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2011-1.0%
Q3 2011-1.9%
Q2 2011-2.5%
Q1 2011-1.3%
Q4 2010-0.2%
Q3 2010-2.4%
Q2 2010-1.6%
Q1 2010-1.2%

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