NYSE$NOV

NOV Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fourth quarter and Full Year 2020 results.

NOV Inc. reported fourth quarter 2020 revenues of $1.33 billion, a decrease of four percent compared to the third quarter of 2020 and a decrease of 42 percent compared to the fourth quarter of 2019. Net loss for the fourth quarter of 2020 was $347 million, or -26.1 percent of sales.

  • Generated $700 million in free cash flow.
  • Reduced annual fixed costs by several hundred million dollars.
  • Launched new products in both oil and gas and renewables.
  • Rising oilfield activity and revenues in North America were not enough to offset the declines in international and offshore markets.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.33B

Previous: $2.28B-41.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.29

Previous: $0.13-323.1%
Capital Expenditures

$53M

Previous: $67M-20.9%
Free Cash Flow

$133M

Previous: $406M-67.2%
Net Income

-$348M

Previous: -$385M+9.6%
Operating Income

-$301M

Previous: -$349M+13.8%
Gross Profit

-$66M

Previous: $376M-117.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.69B

Previous: $1.17B+44.5%
Total Assets

$9.93B

Previous: $13.1B-24.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$105M

Previous: $130M-19.2%

Revenue & EPS history

NOV · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.33B

Q4 2020-41.8%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NOV · $1.56B total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Energy Products & Services
    $804M+20.7%
  • Energy Equipment
    $753M+17.8%

Forward guidance

While we expect the next two quarters will remain challenging, steadily improving commodity prices, rising North American drilling activity, encouraging news from global vaccination efforts, gradually reopening economies, and increasing interest in offshore wind energy should lead to rising orders for NOV as the year progresses. We are optimistic that the petroleum industry will realize a meaningful recovery in the second half of the year.

Tailwinds

  • Steadily improving commodity prices
  • Rising North American drilling activity
  • Encouraging news from global vaccination efforts
  • Gradually reopening economies
  • Increasing interest in offshore wind energy

Headwinds

  • Next two quarters will remain challenging

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

30 / 72 earnings

Positive

+14.3%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-11.8%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%+3.0%+7.1%
Q4 2025+0.8%+3.0%+7.1%
Q3 2025+7.1%+4.7%+8.2%
Q1 2025-2.0%+0.2%+0.3%
Q4 2024+12.7%+9.3%+2.6%
Q3 2024+2.9%+0.5%+8.7%
Q2 2024+8.8%+12.1%-1.4%
Q1 2024+0.2%-1.8%-3.1%
Q4 2023-9.7%-10.2%-12.4%
Q3 2023+0.8%+2.6%-2.0%
Q2 2023-1.8%+6.4%+6.6%
Q1 2023-9.0%-8.1%-17.3%
Q4 2022+0.0%+3.3%-3.0%
Q3 2022-3.8%+0.3%-1.0%
Q2 2022+11.1%+18.4%+22.5%
Q1 2022-2.2%+0.6%+8.6%
Q4 2021-7.4%-10.2%+4.7%
Q3 2021-0.1%-4.4%-12.2%
Q2 2021-3.4%-3.1%-8.4%
Q1 2021+10.4%+10.9%+20.5%
Q4 2020-1.8%-13.5%-20.6%
Q3 2020-6.5%-8.6%+48.0%
Q2 2020-9.3%-9.7%-6.5%
Q1 2020-2.1%-2.7%+10.3%
Q4 2019+8.7%+4.9%-29.5%
Q3 2019+14.3%+11.0%+9.3%
Q2 2019+6.0%+1.7%-11.7%
Q1 2019+3.4%-1.3%-15.5%
Q4 2018-5.2%-4.5%-14.3%
Q3 2018-2.6%+0.8%-14.2%
Q2 2018+10.8%+14.9%+5.8%
Q1 2018+1.5%+0.6%+7.8%
Q4 2017-0.8%-7.3%+2.3%
Q3 2017-1.2%+1.7%-5.3%
Q2 2017-0.7%-4.4%-8.5%
Q1 2017-2.3%-4.4%-8.5%
Q4 2016+4.7%+5.2%+0.6%
Q3 2016-6.8%-11.2%-0.6%
Q2 2016+3.5%+2.0%+10.5%
Q1 2016+13.7%
Q4 2015-6.8%
Q3 2015+1.4%
Q2 2015+5.4%
Q1 2015-3.2%
Q4 2014-7.2%
Q3 2014-0.1%
Q2 2014-3.5%
Q1 2014-6.4%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013+4.8%
Q2 2013-1.4%
Q1 2013-1.9%
Q4 2012-5.4%
Q3 2012-2.9%
Q2 2012+9.4%
Q1 2012-1.6%
Q4 2011-1.3%
Q3 2011-2.3%
Q2 2011-11.8%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2007-2.4%
Q4 2010-2.4%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q2 2010-1.0%
Q1 2009+0.8%
Q1 2010+2.8%
Q4 2009+1.1%
Q3 2008+4.9%
Q3 2009+4.9%
Q2 2009-1.1%
Q2 2008-1.1%
Q4 2008-1.1%

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