NYSE$NBHC

National Bank Holdings Corporation · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

NBHC's solid performance during the fourth quarter contributed to record full year earnings.

National Bank Holdings Corporation reported a net income of $27.2 million, or $0.87 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2020. The company's performance was driven by an increase in PPP-related income from PPP loan forgiveness. The company's low cost transaction deposits grew 28.8% compared to the same period in the prior year.

  • Net income totaled $27.2 million, or $0.87 per diluted share.
  • Fully taxable equivalent net interest income totaled $49.8 million.
  • Total loans ended the quarter at $4.4 billion.
  • Average transaction deposits increased $172.1 million, or 15.3% annualized.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$81.9M

Previous: $70.7M+15.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.88

Previous: $0.62+41.9%
CET1 Capital Ratio

14.7%

No prior period
Net Income

$27.2M

Previous: $19.5M+39.2%
Operating Income

$33.5M

Previous: $23.4M+43.2%
Gross Profit

$81.9M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$606M

Previous: $110M+449.6%
Total Assets

$6.66B

Previous: $5.9B+13.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.27M

Previous: $1.54M-17.7%

Revenue & EPS history

NBHC · Revenue · Quarterly

$81.9M

Q4 2020+15.9%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

NBHC believes it is well positioned for growth in 2021 and will continue to execute its disciplined approach to pursuing growth opportunities while maintaining an intense focus on expense management.

Tailwinds

  • National recognition in Fortune’s 100 Fastest Growing Companies in 2020
  • Recognition among the top public companies for shareholder value creation
  • Strong Common Equity Tier 1 ratio of 14.70%
  • Sizable liquidity position
  • Disciplined approach to pursuing growth opportunities

Headwinds

  • The length of time that the government-mandated measures must remain in place to address COVID-19 is unknown.
  • The pandemic has already had a significantly negative impact to the U.S. labor market, consumer spending and business operations
  • It is not clear how quickly the vaccine can be widely deployed
  • It is not clear when government-mandated measures will be removed.
  • Economic challenges related to COVID-19

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.2%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

26 / 64 earnings

Positive

+9.3%

Q1 2019

Best reaction

-6.3%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.4%+2.5%-0.4%
Q4 2025-0.5%+1.4%-0.2%
Q3 2025+2.4%+0.5%-0.1%
Q1 2025-6.2%-2.1%-0.2%
Q4 2024-3.0%-1.5%-3.7%
Q3 2024+8.9%+8.7%+16.7%
Q2 2024-5.7%-6.6%-4.0%
Q1 2024-2.6%-4.9%+7.5%
Q4 2023+0.6%+2.9%-6.9%
Q3 2023+8.0%+7.4%+14.6%
Q2 2023-3.4%-3.2%-6.3%
Q1 2023-5.5%-8.2%-9.0%
Q4 2022-1.7%-1.6%-3.8%
Q3 2022+8.4%+9.0%+20.1%
Q2 2022+3.1%+2.3%+8.2%
Q1 2022+3.3%-0.4%+0.3%
Q4 2021+7.9%+6.5%+4.0%
Q3 2021+4.5%+6.4%+9.7%
Q2 2021-0.4%-1.0%+2.6%
Q1 2021+5.1%+5.1%+6.7%
Q4 2020+0.8%-4.2%+3.4%
Q3 2020+6.7%+5.0%+8.2%
Q2 2020+4.2%+1.9%+4.1%
Q1 2020+0.8%+13.0%+10.0%
Q4 2019-6.3%-8.2%-5.3%
Q3 2019-3.3%-5.0%-3.5%
Q2 2019+4.5%+8.7%-1.9%
Q1 2019+9.3%+9.9%+6.0%
Q4 2018-2.3%-2.4%+9.4%
Q3 2018-5.9%-4.6%+4.2%
Q2 2018+1.1%+2.4%+3.9%
Q1 2018+0.5%+2.5%+13.3%
Q4 2017-2.3%-3.3%-1.5%
Q3 2017-2.9%-7.5%-9.3%
Q2 2017-1.4%+1.2%-5.3%
Q1 2017-0.4%+2.3%-2.1%
Q4 2016+4.9%+2.5%+4.3%
Q3 2016+6.1%+5.7%+19.5%
Q2 2016-1.2%-1.6%+11.5%
Q1 2016-4.1%
Q4 2015+2.3%
Q3 2015+8.1%
Q2 2015-1.1%
Q1 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014-1.4%
Q2 2014+2.7%
Q1 2014-1.8%
Q4 2013-1.9%
Q3 2013+3.2%
Q2 2013-0.5%
Q1 2012+1.7%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.1%
Q2 2011-0.1%
Q4 2011-0.1%
Q4 2010-0.1%
Q2 2012-0.1%
Q3 2010-0.1%
Q2 2010-0.1%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2012-0.6%
Q3 2012-0.3%
Q3 2011-0.3%

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