NYSE$MSCI

MSCI Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

MSCI reported strong Q1 2021 results with revenue and adjusted EPS growth.

MSCI Inc. reported a strong first quarter 2021, with operating revenues up 14.8% to $478.4 million and diluted EPS up 36.4% to $2.36. The company saw growth in recurring subscription revenues and asset-based fees, and a retention rate of 96.3%.

  • Operating revenues increased by 14.8% to $478.4 million.
  • Recurring subscription revenues were up 10.9% and asset-based fees increased by 26.5%.
  • Diluted EPS rose by 36.4% to $2.36, and adjusted EPS increased by 29.5% to $2.46.
  • Retention Rate was strong at 96.3%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$478M

Previous: $417M+14.8%
EPS (adj)

$2.46

Previous: $1.90+29.5%
Retention Rate

96.3%

Previous: 95.0%+1.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$664K

Previous: -$3.61M+81.6%
Free Cash Flow

$196M

Previous: $145M+35.7%
Net Income

$197M

Previous: $148M+32.9%
Operating Income

$254M

Previous: $208M+22.4%
Gross Profit

$393M

Previous: $342M+14.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.75B

Previous: $1.07B+63.8%
Total Assets

$4.57B

Previous: $3.91B+16.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$18.9M

Previous: $15.2M+24.7%

Revenue & EPS history

MSCI · Revenue · Quarterly

$478M

Q1 2021+14.8%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

MSCI · $478M total across 4 segments · Q1 2021

  • Index
    $292M
  • Analytics
    $134M
  • Sustainability & Climate
    $34.8M
  • Private Assets
    $17.2M

Forward guidance

MSCI provided full-year 2021 guidance based on macroeconomic and capital market assumptions, which are subject to uncertainty related to equity markets and the COVID-19 pandemic.

Tailwinds

  • Operating Expense: $885 to $920 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA Expense: $795 to $825 million
  • Interest Expense: ~$150 million
  • Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities: $885 to $925 million
  • Free Cash Flow: $825 to $875 million

Headwinds

  • Effective Tax Rate: 15.0% to 18.0%
  • Depreciation & Amortization Expense: $90 to $95 million
  • Capital Expenditures: $50 to $60 million
  • Guidance is based on assumptions about macroeconomic and capital market factors.
  • Actual results could differ materially from our current guidance, including as a result of ongoing uncertainty related to the duration, magnitude and impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.0%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

41 / 68 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-15.9%

Q1 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.2%+4.5%+1.1%
Q4 2025+4.8%+7.4%-1.7%
Q3 2025+8.7%+7.6%+2.9%
Q2 2025-0.3%+0.1%+2.8%
Q1 2025+0.9%+0.4%+5.7%
Q4 2024-5.6%-7.3%-6.0%
Q3 2024-4.4%-2.9%+1.6%
Q2 2024+5.6%+6.8%+11.6%
Q1 2024-9.8%-7.3%-4.8%
Q4 2023+8.7%+7.6%+1.8%
Q3 2023-2.1%+3.3%+8.1%
Q2 2023+10.8%+9.5%+5.9%
Q1 2023-15.9%-11.4%-14.3%
Q4 2022+9.5%+12.0%+2.1%
Q3 2022+9.6%+15.1%+23.4%
Q2 2022+3.3%+9.8%+8.5%
Q1 2022-9.6%-8.9%-6.4%
Q4 2021+3.3%+10.8%+4.3%
Q3 2021-2.3%+2.0%-1.4%
Q2 2021+2.8%+3.5%+8.3%
Q1 2021-0.6%-0.3%-4.6%
Q4 2020+0.5%+8.1%+5.4%
Q3 2020-2.5%+0.1%+15.6%
Q2 2020-2.8%-4.6%-6.1%
Q1 2020+0.9%-3.5%-2.7%
Q4 2019+1.2%+6.7%+4.7%
Q3 2019+7.3%+4.1%+13.1%
Q2 2019-3.1%-5.7%+3.3%
Q1 2019+1.9%-0.4%-1.2%
Q4 2018+6.2%+7.2%+16.9%
Q3 2018-4.2%-1.7%+4.5%
Q2 2018+2.3%+6.0%+10.6%
Q1 2018+1.1%+3.2%+8.6%
Q4 2017+2.4%-0.2%+2.9%
Q3 2017+7.2%+7.1%+9.7%
Q2 2017+2.3%+1.6%+6.3%
Q1 2017-1.8%-3.7%+3.0%
Q4 2016+9.4%+10.6%+14.0%
Q3 2016-4.8%-4.5%-2.6%
Q2 2016+3.0%+1.5%+6.5%
Q1 2016-0.6%
Q4 2015-1.6%
Q3 2015+6.3%
Q2 2015+1.9%
Q1 2015-0.4%
Q4 2014+1.6%
Q3 2014-0.5%
Q2 2014-4.7%
Q1 2014-1.7%
Q4 2013-3.0%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2013+6.8%
Q1 2013-1.3%
Q4 2012-2.0%
Q3 2012-4.2%
Q2 2012-0.0%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q2 2011+0.9%
Q4 2011+0.9%
Q3 2011+1.3%
Q1 2011+2.8%
Q1 2010+2.8%
Q2 2010+1.9%
Q4 2008+1.9%
Q4 2010+1.9%
Q3 2010+2.0%
Q3 2009+2.0%
Q4 2009+2.0%

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