NYSE$LEA

Lear Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fourth quarter and full year 2022 results and provided full year 2023 outlook.

Lear Corporation reported a 10% increase in sales to $5.4 billion for the fourth quarter of 2022, with sales growth over market of 7 percentage points. Net income was $118 million, and adjusted net income was $168 million. The company's cash flow exceeded the high end of its guidance range, reflecting early benefits from its Lear Forward plan.

  • Sales increased 10% to $5.4 billion, compared to $4.9 billion in the fourth quarter of 2021.
  • Sales growth over market of 7 percentage points, with E-Systems at 8 percentage points and Seating at 7 percentage points.
  • Net income of $118 million and adjusted net income of $168 million, compared to $22 million and $74 million, respectively, in the fourth quarter of 2021.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities of $537 million and free cash flow of $342 million, compared to $167 million and $(13) million, respectively, in the fourth quarter of 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.37B

Previous: $4.88B+10.1%
EPS (adj)

$2.81

Previous: $1.22+130.3%
Capital Expenditures

$195M

Previous: $180M+8.7%
Free Cash Flow

$342M

Previous: -$12.7M+2792.1%
Net Income

$118M

Previous: $21.5M+446.5%
Operating Income

$265M

Previous: $64.7M+309.3%
Gross Profit

$467M

Previous: $271M+72.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.11B

Previous: $1.32B-15.4%
Total Assets

$13.8B

Previous: $13.4B+3.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$52M

Previous: $60.3M-13.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Lear · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.37B

Q4 2022+10.1%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lear · $5.37B total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Seating
    $4.04B+10.9%
  • E-Systems
    $1.33B+7.7%

Forward guidance

Lear provided its financial outlook for the full year 2023, assuming global industry production will be 1% higher than in 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales: $21,200 - $22,200 million
  • Core Operating Earnings: $875 - $1,075 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $1,475 - $1,675 million
  • Operating Cash Flow: $1,075 - $1,225 million
  • Free Cash Flow: $375 - $525 million

Headwinds

  • Restructuring Costs: ≈$100 million
  • Capital Spending: ≈$700 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

34 / 64 earnings

Positive

+11.9%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.1%+8.2%+12.5%
Q4 2025+10.7%+16.4%+0.5%
Q3 2025+4.5%+5.4%+3.7%
Q1 2025-2.8%+2.5%-1.2%
Q3 2024-6.0%-5.1%-6.7%
Q2 2024+4.2%+4.0%+0.3%
Q1 2024-9.4%-7.3%-9.8%
Q4 2023-1.5%+0.3%+5.8%
Q3 2023-1.3%+0.1%+3.5%
Q2 2023-1.8%-1.1%-6.9%
Q1 2023-2.5%-4.7%-2.6%
Q4 2022-5.6%-5.3%-4.6%
Q3 2022-7.1%-1.6%+1.5%
Q2 2022+3.2%-5.5%-8.3%
Q1 2022+5.8%+0.9%+8.9%
Q4 2021+1.2%-5.9%-19.0%
Q3 2021+1.8%+1.1%-0.3%
Q2 2021-2.6%+0.1%-5.9%
Q1 2021-0.8%-6.8%+4.8%
Q4 2020-2.8%+1.1%+10.3%
Q3 2020-1.5%-1.1%+17.4%
Q2 2020+3.1%+0.4%+7.2%
Q1 2020+11.9%-0.3%+33.5%
Q4 2019-3.1%-5.4%-15.2%
Q3 2019+1.6%-1.6%-2.0%
Q2 2019-3.3%-5.0%-20.2%
Q1 2019-2.3%-2.8%-14.2%
Q4 2018+5.9%+3.2%+4.4%
Q3 2018-6.0%-4.8%+0.6%
Q2 2018-3.2%-0.8%-9.6%
Q1 2018-0.1%-0.4%+5.4%
Q4 2017+1.8%+0.8%-1.3%
Q3 2017+1.4%-0.9%+1.4%
Q2 2017+3.2%+1.5%-1.0%
Q1 2017+1.2%+1.2%+4.7%
Q4 2016-3.9%-3.3%-3.8%
Q3 2016+6.1%+7.6%+13.6%
Q2 2016-2.6%-6.3%-0.8%
Q1 2016-0.6%
Q4 2015+1.8%
Q3 2015+1.2%
Q2 2015+0.7%
Q1 2015-1.5%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014+3.2%
Q2 2014+2.9%
Q1 2014-2.8%
Q4 2013-6.3%
Q3 2013+1.2%
Q2 2013+2.6%
Q1 2013+5.4%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012+3.9%
Q2 2012+6.0%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q4 2009-1.9%
Q4 2011-1.9%
Q3 2011-4.6%
Q3 2010-4.6%
Q2 2011-5.6%
Q1 2011+4.8%
Q1 2010+4.8%
Q4 2010+4.8%
Q2 2010+4.8%

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