NYSE$KREF

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net loss due to unrealized Current Expected Credit Losses provision, but core earnings remained consistent with the previous year.

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $35.2 million, or ($0.61) per share, due to an unrealized CECL provision of $55.3 million. Core Earnings were $25.3 million, or $0.44 per share, consistent with the previous year. The company maintained a strong liquidity position with $369.9 million in cash and committed $352.5 million to new loans.

  • Net loss attributable to common stockholders was $35.2 million, or ($0.61) per share, impacted by a $55.3 million unrealized CECL provision.
  • Core Earnings were $25.3 million, or $0.44 per share, consistent with the same period in the previous year.
  • The company had a strong liquidity position with $369.9 million in cash and an additional $80.1 million of undrawn commitments.
  • Committed $352.5 million to new floating-rate senior and mezzanine loans and funded an additional $55.7 million for previously closed loans.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$32M

Previous: $29.9M+7.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.44

Previous: $0.44+0.0%
Weighted Avg LTV

66.0%

No prior period
Risk Rating

3

Previous: 2.9+3.4%
Non-MTM Financing

2900000000.0%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$34.6M

Previous: $24.2M-242.6%
Net Income

-$34.6M

Previous: $24.2M-242.6%
Operating Income

-$92M

Previous: $22.3M-512.4%
Gross Profit

-$32.9M

Previous: $29.9M-210.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$370M

Previous: $228M+61.9%
Total Assets

$5.46B

Previous: $5.09B+7.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.61M

Previous: $991K+62.2%

Revenue & EPS history

KKR · Revenue · Quarterly

$32M

Q1 2020+7%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 4 of 16 quarters(25%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

CEO Matt Salem expressed confidence in the company's conservative business strategy and durable financing, emphasizing the focus on institutional quality real estate in top-tier U.S. markets and strong sponsor capitalization amidst the broader market volatility.

Tailwinds

  • Company's first priority is the health and safety of all stakeholders.
  • Adapted to remote working and continue to be highly efficient.
  • Increased the frequency of communication with the Board of Directors, shareholders, borrowers, and lenders to ensure transparency.
  • Differentiated conservative business strategy will help the company navigate this challenging market environment.
  • Over $400 million of available liquidity including $370 million of cash at quarter end.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainties created by the COVID-19 pandemic, including the projected impact of COVID-19 on our business, financial performance and operating results.
  • Deterioration in the performance of the properties securing our investments that may cause deterioration in the performance of our investments and, potentially, principal losses to us.
  • Difficulty or delays in redeploying the proceeds from repayments of our existing investments.
  • Adverse changes in the real estate and real estate capital markets.
  • General volatility of the securities markets in which the Company participates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

29%

12 / 41 earnings

Positive

+15.3%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-14.0%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-9.1%-6.7%-3.7%
Q4 2025-3.7%-11.7%-12.2%
Q3 2025-1.3%+0.7%-3.9%
Q2 2025-0.5%+0.5%+3.3%
Q1 2025-3.7%-1.1%-3.3%
Q4 2024+9.7%+10.6%+6.3%
Q3 2024-3.1%-2.9%-4.8%
Q2 2024+14.3%+13.0%+11.3%
Q1 2024-0.7%-2.3%-2.8%
Q4 2023-14.0%-19.3%-16.0%
Q3 2023-1.0%-0.3%+16.3%
Q2 2023-3.1%-1.5%-9.6%
Q1 2023-8.7%-5.5%-1.4%
Q4 2022-4.6%-4.6%-18.0%
Q3 2022-1.8%+5.3%-2.2%
Q2 2022-0.2%+3.5%+3.2%
Q1 2022-2.7%-4.6%+0.4%
Q4 2021+0.0%-1.1%-6.3%
Q3 2021+2.2%-2.6%-3.3%
Q2 2021-0.2%+0.6%-1.0%
Q1 2021+2.5%+7.4%+7.4%
Q4 2020-1.4%-0.8%+1.6%
Q3 2020+0.2%-0.4%+9.7%
Q2 2020+0.8%+4.5%+9.5%
Q1 2020+15.3%+9.9%+13.7%
Q4 2019+0.5%+0.4%-53.6%
Q3 2019-0.6%-2.1%+0.1%
Q2 2019-0.8%-2.2%-5.6%
Q1 2019+0.4%+0.9%-1.9%
Q4 2018-0.3%-0.5%+0.3%
Q3 2018+0.7%+3.5%-1.9%
Q2 2018+0.3%-3.2%+1.8%
Q1 2018+1.1%+2.8%+2.1%
Q4 2017-1.8%-0.1%+1.6%
Q4 2015-1.8%-0.1%+1.6%
Q3 2016-1.8%-1.6%+3.5%
Q3 2017-1.8%-1.6%+3.5%
Q2 2017-2.3%-0.6%+3.1%
Q2 2016-2.3%-0.6%+3.1%
Q4 2016-0.4%-2.2%-2.4%
Q1 2017-0.4%-2.2%-2.4%
Q1 2016

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