NYSE$KMT

Kennametal Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Kennametal reported Q4 2023 results with sales increasing 4 percent year-over-year and EPS of $0.45.

Kennametal's Q4 sales increased by 4% year-over-year to $550 million, driven by 7% organic growth. The company reported EPS of $0.45 and adjusted EPS of $0.51. They returned $114 million to shareholders in FY23 and generated $169 million in free operating cash flow.

  • Q4 sales increased 4 percent year-over-year to $550 million; 7 percent on an organic basis
  • Earnings per diluted share (EPS) of $0.45 and adjusted EPS of $0.51
  • Returned $114 million to shareholders in FY23; $49 million in share repurchases and $65 million in dividends
  • Strong cash from operations of $258 million and FOCF of $169 million

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$550M

Previous: $530M+3.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.51

Previous: $0.53-3.8%
Capital Expenditures

$23.3M

Previous: $36.8M-36.6%
Free Cash Flow

$169M

Previous: $85.4M+97.8%
Net Income

$37.7M

Previous: $42.8M-11.9%
Operating Income

$55.9M

Previous: $62.7M-10.7%
Gross Profit

$176M

Previous: $170M+3.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$106M

Previous: $85.6M+23.9%
Total Assets

$2.55B

Previous: $2.57B-1.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.89M

Previous: $2.96M+99.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Kennametal · Revenue · Quarterly

$550M

Q4 2023+3.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company’s expectations for the first quarter of fiscal 2024 and the full year are as follows:

Tailwinds

  • Sales expected to be $485 - $510 million
  • Adjusted ETR is expected to be approximately 5 percent
  • Adjusted EPS is expected to be $0.30 - $0.40
  • Sales expected to be $2.1 - $2.2 billion
  • Adjusted EPS is expected to be $1.75 - $2.15

Headwinds

  • foreign exchange anticipated to be flat compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2023
  • Interest expense is expected to be approximately $28 million
  • Adjusted ETR is expected to be approximately 24 percent
  • Capital spending expected to be approximately $100 - $110 million
  • Primary working capital as a percent of sales maintained at 30 - 32 percent throughout the year

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

39 / 67 earnings

Positive

+18.4%

Q3 2026

Best reaction

-10.8%

Q1 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+18.4%-1.2%-13.1%
Q2 2026+7.2%+13.8%+4.0%
Q1 2026+13.9%+22.4%+26.0%
Q3 2025+0.1%+10.6%+10.6%
Q2 2025-3.4%-5.6%-4.4%
Q1 2025+10.4%+13.2%+2.6%
Q4 2024+3.8%+1.4%+1.3%
Q3 2024+6.0%+5.0%-0.1%
Q2 2024-5.2%-0.8%+1.8%
Q1 2024+1.0%-0.4%+4.5%
Q4 2023-5.6%-9.8%-13.2%
Q3 2023+5.3%+3.7%-4.0%
Q2 2023-3.8%-6.0%-2.9%
Q1 2023-5.5%-7.8%+0.3%
Q4 2022-1.4%-2.3%-12.7%
Q3 2022+3.2%+1.3%+7.5%
Q2 2022-2.2%-3.3%-11.3%
Q1 2022+0.3%-3.0%-12.2%
Q4 2021+4.7%+0.7%+2.7%
Q3 2021+2.8%+4.1%-6.0%
Q2 2021-5.4%-5.6%+1.9%
Q1 2021-6.3%-3.7%+14.8%
Q4 2020-3.5%+8.6%+14.5%
Q3 2020+3.0%+4.5%+23.7%
Q2 2020-5.4%-5.1%-9.7%
Q1 2020+2.5%+3.9%+6.7%
Q4 2019-6.5%-10.4%-13.4%
Q3 2019-5.7%-12.4%-19.6%
Q2 2019-0.4%-3.9%-4.5%
Q1 2019+1.0%+2.2%+2.3%
Q4 2018+8.0%+2.2%+8.4%
Q3 2018+0.1%+5.9%+1.3%
Q2 2018-4.3%-7.7%-15.9%
Q1 2018+8.6%+5.1%+6.7%
Q4 2017-5.4%-2.0%-5.2%
Q3 2017+7.8%+5.7%-1.7%
Q2 2017+2.7%+5.8%+6.4%
Q1 2017-4.5%-3.9%+22.9%
Q4 2016+4.8%+10.5%+11.1%
Q3 2016+1.7%
Q2 2016+11.2%
Q1 2016-3.8%
Q4 2015-3.0%
Q3 2015+7.8%
Q2 2015+1.4%
Q1 2015-7.4%
Q4 2014-4.8%
Q3 2014+2.9%
Q2 2014-9.1%
Q1 2014+1.3%
Q4 2013+2.7%
Q3 2013+2.9%
Q2 2013-3.5%
Q1 2013-6.6%
Q4 2012+12.6%
Q3 2012-7.8%
Q2 2012-0.8%
Q1 2012-10.8%
Q4 2009+9.8%
Q4 2011+9.8%
Q3 2011+4.1%
Q3 2010+4.1%
Q2 2011-0.8%
Q2 2010+1.1%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q1 2010+1.1%
Q4 2010+1.1%

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