NYSE$KIM

Kimco Realty Corp · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Kimco's fourth quarter results for 2019 showed increased net income and same-property NOI growth, with record-high portfolio and anchor occupancy rates.

Kimco Realty Corp. reported a net income available to common shareholders of $92.8 million, or $0.22 per diluted share, for Q4 2019, compared to $73.6 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, for the same period in 2018. Same-property NOI grew by 2.7%. The company achieved record-high pro-rata anchor occupancy rate of 98.9% and maintained a record-high pro-rata portfolio occupancy rate of 96.4%.

  • Net income available to common shareholders was $92.8 million, or $0.22 per diluted share.
  • Same-property NOI increased by 2.7%.
  • Pro-rata portfolio occupancy rate was maintained at a record-high of 96.4%.
  • Pro-rata anchor occupancy rate reached a record-high of 98.9%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$296M

Previous: $284M+4.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.37

Previous: $0.35+5.7%
Same Property NOI Growth

2.7%

No prior period
Pro-Rata Anchor Occupancy

98.9%

No prior period
Net Income

$110M

Previous: $69.5M+58.4%
Operating Income

$137M

Previous: $111M+22.6%
Gross Profit

$205M

Previous: $203M+1.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$124M

Previous: $144M-13.7%
Total Assets

$11B

Previous: $11B-0.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.18M

Previous: $3.77M+37.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Kimco · Revenue · Quarterly

$296M

Q4 2019+4.2%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Kimco · $296M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Rental Properties, Net
    $292M
  • Management and Other Fee Income
    $4.32M

Forward guidance

Kimco provided its full year 2020 outlook, including net income per share between $0.80 and $0.84 and NAREIT FFO per share between $1.46 and $1.50.

Tailwinds

  • Net Income available to common shareholders (per diluted share): $0.80 to $0.84
  • NAREIT FFO (per diluted share): $1.46 to $1.50
  • Same-property NOI: 1.50% to 2.00%
  • Dispositions (Blended cap rates: 7.0% to 7.5%): $200 million to $300 million
  • Acquisitions (Blended cap rates: 5.0% to 6.0%): $100 million to $200 million

Headwinds

  • Projections involve numerous assumptions such as rental income (including assumptions on percentage rent).
  • Projections involve interest rates.
  • Projections involve tenant defaults.
  • Projections involve occupancy rates.
  • Projections involve selling prices of properties held for disposition, expenses (including salaries and employee costs), insurance costs and numerous other factors.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

37 / 72 earnings

Positive

+11.0%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-11.8%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-0.4%+1.9%
Q4 2025+1.5%+5.3%+4.2%
Q3 2025-2.0%-4.5%-3.5%
Q1 2025+4.9%+3.2%+6.4%
Q4 2024-0.1%-0.5%-4.4%
Q3 2024-0.8%+2.6%+6.5%
Q2 2024+0.9%+0.0%+7.0%
Q1 2024+3.2%+2.6%+4.6%
Q4 2023-0.4%-3.3%-3.4%
Q3 2023+3.0%+9.5%+14.2%
Q2 2023-2.7%-2.7%-9.6%
Q1 2023+2.8%-0.7%-3.2%
Q4 2022-2.2%-3.3%-15.3%
Q3 2022+3.0%+5.0%+10.8%
Q2 2022+2.8%-0.6%+1.0%
Q1 2022+0.4%-0.8%-5.9%
Q4 2021-3.0%-3.9%-4.0%
Q3 2021-0.4%+0.0%-2.3%
Q2 2021+2.7%+0.0%+5.5%
Q1 2021+0.5%+1.0%+2.0%
Q4 2020+2.3%+0.0%+11.7%
Q3 2020-4.4%+31.8%+45.5%
Q2 2020+5.5%+8.3%+10.7%
Q1 2020+0.4%-12.8%+51.4%
Q4 2019-5.0%-3.1%-13.5%
Q3 2019-0.5%-0.7%+0.2%
Q2 2019-0.3%+3.0%-3.5%
Q1 2019+4.6%+3.2%+0.0%
Q4 2018-1.0%+0.5%-0.1%
Q3 2018+4.3%+9.3%+3.4%
Q2 2018-4.1%-0.1%+2.6%
Q1 2018+11.0%+11.6%+13.2%
Q4 2017+6.6%+6.9%+2.0%
Q3 2017-2.1%-1.6%+0.4%
Q2 2017+6.9%+2.6%+0.9%
Q1 2017-4.8%-5.9%-17.0%
Q4 2016+1.1%-1.1%-4.8%
Q3 2016-3.5%-5.1%-3.3%
Q2 2016+1.9%+2.9%-5.4%
Q1 2016-0.5%
Q4 2015+1.6%
Q3 2015-0.8%
Q2 2015+0.7%
Q1 2015+1.6%
Q4 2014-3.5%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014-2.4%
Q1 2014+0.2%
Q4 2013+1.5%
Q3 2013+0.2%
Q2 2013-0.3%
Q1 2013+1.6%
Q4 2012+1.0%
Q3 2012-0.6%
Q2 2012+2.2%
Q1 2012-1.2%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q3 2011-1.3%
Q2 2011-11.8%
Q1 2011-0.4%
Q4 2010-2.0%
Q3 2010-3.3%
Q2 2010-0.4%
Q1 2009+8.6%
Q1 2010-1.9%
Q4 2007+0.9%
Q4 2009+0.9%
Q3 2008-4.2%
Q3 2009-4.2%
Q2 2008+5.9%
Q4 2008+5.9%
Q2 2009+5.9%

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