NYSE$INVH

Invitation Homes Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Invitation Homes reported solid results in Q3 2022, driven by strong lease rate growth, low turnover, and high resident satisfaction.

Invitation Homes reported strong Q3 2022 results, with total revenues increasing 11.6% year-over-year to $569 million and net income available to common stockholders increasing 14.4% to $79 million. Core FFO per share increased 9.5% to $0.42, and AFFO per share increased 8.2% to $0.34. Same Store NOI increased 8.6% year-over-year.

  • Total revenues increased 11.6% year-over-year to $569 million.
  • Net income available to common stockholders increased 14.4% year-over-year to $79 million.
  • Core FFO per share increased 9.5% year-over-year to $0.42.
  • Same Store NOI increased 8.6% year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$569M

Previous: $510M+11.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.42

Previous: $0.38+10.5%
Average Occupancy

97.5%

Previous: 98.1%-0.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$614M

Previous: -$796M+22.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$535M

Previous: -$727M+26.4%
Net Income

$79.2M

Previous: $69.2M+14.5%
Operating Income

$302M

Previous: $283M+6.7%
Gross Profit

$343M

Previous: $307M+11.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$300M

Previous: $570M-47.3%
Total Assets

$18.7B

Previous: $18.3B+2.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$7.93M

Previous: $6.05M+31.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Invitation Homes · Revenue · Quarterly

$569M

Q3 2022+11.6%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Invitation Homes · $515M total across 1 segment · Q3 2022

  • Rental and Other Property Income
    $515M+1.3%

Forward guidance

The Company's updated 2022 guidance reflects higher expectations for property taxes and bad debt compared to pre-COVID averages.

Tailwinds

  • Core FFO per share — diluted: $1.63 - $1.67
  • AFFO per share — diluted: $1.38 - $1.42
  • Same Store Core Revenues growth: 8.75% - 9.25%
  • Same Store Core Operating Expenses growth: 8.75% - 9.25%
  • Same Store NOI growth: 8.75% - 9.25%

Headwinds

  • Property taxes are approximately three percent higher than previous expectations.
  • Anticipated increase in tax bills on the Company's homes in Florida and Georgia based on recent assessments that are up nearly 30 percent over prior year in these states.
  • Bad debt will remain somewhat elevated compared to pre-COVID averages.
  • It continues to take longer to address residents who are not current with their rent.
  • The Company has also revised its assumptions for annual 2022 acquisitions of $1.1 billion and dispositions of $250 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

13 / 36 earnings

Positive

+5.5%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-9.0%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.4%+2.1%+4.1%
Q4 2025-3.9%-4.4%-9.1%
Q3 2025+3.5%+4.2%+2.7%
Q1 2025+2.7%+2.1%-1.4%
Q4 2024+5.5%+7.3%+9.2%
Q3 2024-5.4%-4.3%+3.1%
Q2 2024-9.0%-6.1%-0.9%
Q1 2024-1.4%-0.5%-1.6%
Q4 2023-1.7%-0.6%+6.0%
Q3 2023-6.6%-5.9%+7.2%
Q2 2023-1.9%-0.1%-5.1%
Q1 2023+0.8%+3.1%+1.5%
Q4 2022-1.4%-1.3%-7.8%
Q3 2022-8.6%-6.7%-6.6%
Q2 2022+5.5%+5.2%+1.8%
Q1 2022-1.9%-8.6%-8.3%
Q4 2021-2.3%-6.7%-1.7%
Q3 2021+1.1%+0.4%+0.5%
Q2 2021-0.1%-0.2%-0.5%
Q1 2021+2.4%+2.4%+7.0%
Q4 2020-2.1%-3.3%+0.3%
Q3 2020-2.3%-1.4%+2.5%
Q2 2020-0.5%+1.3%-1.6%
Q1 2020+4.7%+7.7%+21.9%
Q4 2019-2.4%-3.6%-43.2%
Q3 2019-1.0%+0.2%-1.4%
Q2 2019-0.4%+0.4%+4.9%
Q1 2019-1.1%+0.6%+5.7%
Q4 2018+2.6%+3.1%+4.0%
Q3 2018-0.9%+2.3%+0.0%
Q2 2018-0.9%-3.9%-0.8%
Q1 2018-5.7%-7.2%-6.5%
Q4 2017+2.0%+3.2%+3.0%
Q3 2017+0.4%+1.6%+1.9%
Q2 2017+4.4%+9.3%+6.4%
Q1 2017+0.6%-1.4%-1.2%
Q4 2015

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