NYSE$HASI

Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2020.

Hannon Armstrong delivered strong results for Q4 2020, with distributable earnings per share above guidance and significant growth in the investment pipeline and portfolio. The company issued new three-year guidance of 7% to 10% compound annual growth in distributable earnings per share.

  • Delivered $1.10 GAAP EPS on a fully diluted basis in 2020.
  • Delivered $1.55 Distributable (Core Pre-CECL) EPS on a fully diluted basis in 2020, representing 11% year-on-year growth.
  • Grew balance sheet portfolio 38% year-on-year to $2900000000 and managed assets 16% to $7200000000 as of the end of 2020.
  • Increased dividend to $0.35 per share for the first quarter of 2021

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$24.5M

Previous: $21.9M+11.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.37

Previous: $0.40-7.5%
Quarterly Dividend Per Share

$0.35

Previous: $0.34+2.9%
Net Income

$25M

Previous: $46.1M-45.7%
Operating Income

$19.4M

Previous: $9.58M+102.3%
Gross Profit

$48.9M

Previous: $38.3M+27.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$286M

Previous: $6.21M+4511.0%
Total Assets

$3.46B

Previous: $2.39B+44.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.18M

Previous: $3.78M+37.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Hannon Armstrong · Revenue · Quarterly

$24.5M

Q4 2020+11.8%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Hannon Armstrong · $43.9M total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • Interest and Rental Income
    $30.5M
  • Gain on Sale of Assets
    $13.3M

Forward guidance

The Company expects that annual distributable earnings per share will grow at a compounded annual rate of 7% to 10% from 2021 to 2023, relative to the 2020 baseline of $1.55 per share, which is equivalent to a 2023 midpoint of $1.98 per share. The Company also expects that annual dividends per share will grow at a compound annual rate of 3% to 5% from 2021 to 2023, relative to the 2020 baseline of $1.36 per share, which is equivalent to a 2023 midpoint of $1.53 per share.

Tailwinds

  • Yield on its existing Portfolio
  • Yield on incremental Portfolio investments, inclusive of the Company’s existing pipeline
  • The volume and profitability of securitization transactions
  • Amount, timing, and costs of debt and equity capital to fund new investments
  • Changes in costs and expenses reflective of the Company’s forecasted operations

Headwinds

  • The ongoing impact of COVID-19 and the speed and efficacy of vaccine distribution on economic conditions
  • The general interest rate and market environment
  • The regulatory environment
  • The dynamics of the markets in which we operate
  • The judgment of the Company’s management team

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

35 / 52 earnings

Positive

+23.1%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-11.9%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.8%-4.6%-9.2%
Q4 2025+10.8%+5.4%-1.2%
Q3 2025+12.4%+18.8%+17.1%
Q1 2025+0.2%+6.3%-1.4%
Q4 2024+0.3%+3.6%+4.1%
Q3 2024-11.3%-16.6%-3.5%
Q2 2024-5.0%-8.0%-1.2%
Q1 2024+16.8%+23.1%+22.0%
Q4 2023+7.2%+6.0%-0.1%
Q3 2023+23.1%+14.3%+43.6%
Q2 2023+2.0%-9.1%-3.8%
Q1 2023+1.0%-4.2%-4.1%
Q4 2022-5.2%-11.1%-33.8%
Q3 2022+7.1%+10.9%+23.9%
Q2 2022+5.9%+15.3%+0.3%
Q1 2022+5.6%-3.0%-3.4%
Q4 2021+6.3%+3.6%+10.4%
Q3 2021-0.2%-0.1%-11.0%
Q2 2021+0.6%+4.1%+4.3%
Q1 2021-7.9%-7.2%-7.1%
Q4 2020+3.2%-5.1%-13.1%
Q3 2020+10.3%+11.5%+23.6%
Q2 2020+3.7%+2.3%+9.5%
Q1 2020+6.9%+1.0%+8.2%
Q4 2019+3.5%+0.8%-53.9%
Q3 2019+1.2%+0.6%-0.5%
Q2 2019+0.2%-1.2%+0.7%
Q1 2019+2.4%+4.0%-2.6%
Q4 2018+1.8%+5.9%+6.7%
Q3 2018+5.5%+9.6%+10.1%
Q2 2018+0.4%+1.9%+11.2%
Q1 2018-3.6%-2.3%-6.1%
Q4 2017-11.9%-10.9%-10.3%
Q3 2017-3.1%-1.7%-0.6%
Q2 2017+1.8%+4.3%-0.3%
Q1 2017-1.8%-0.5%-0.2%
Q4 2016+3.2%+3.1%+1.0%
Q3 2016-7.1%-8.5%-13.3%
Q2 2016+2.3%+2.7%+11.3%
Q1 2016+2.6%
Q4 2015+1.2%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015-6.5%
Q1 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014+4.5%
Q3 2014-1.2%
Q2 2014+6.4%
Q1 2014+1.6%
Q4 2013-1.8%
Q3 2013-5.6%
Q2 2013+0.8%
Q1 2013+0.9%
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011

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