NYSE$FDX

FedEx Corporation · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

FedEx's Q3 2021 earnings were marked by strong earnings growth and margin improvement, despite being significantly impacted by severe winter weather.

FedEx Corp. reported strong third-quarter results with revenue of $21.5 billion and diluted EPS of $3.30. The company's operating results were significantly impacted by severe winter weather, which reduced the quarter's operating income by an estimated $350 million. Continued strong earnings growth is expected in the fourth quarter.

  • Strong volume growth in U.S. domestic residential package and FedEx International Priority services.
  • Pricing initiatives across all transportation segments contributed to operating results.
  • Costs to support strong demand and expand services partially offset positive factors.
  • Severe winter weather reduced the quarter’s operating income by an estimated $350 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$21.5B

Previous: $17.5B+23.0%
EPS (adj)

$3.47

Previous: $1.41+146.1%
Free Cash Flow

$892M

Previous: $315M+183.2%
Net Income

$892M

Previous: $315M+183.2%
Operating Income

$1.01B

Previous: $411M+144.5%
Gross Profit

-$1.58B

Previous: -$1.56B-1.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$8.86B

Previous: $1.77B+401.5%
Total Assets

$82.8B

Previous: $70B+18.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$40M

Previous: $33M+21.2%

Revenue & EPS history

FedEx · Revenue · Quarterly

$21.5B

Q3 2021+23%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

FedEx is forecasting earnings of $16.80 to $17.40 per diluted share before the year-end MTM retirement plan accounting adjustment and debt refinancing costs that may be incurred. Capital spending is expected to be $5.7 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Continued recovery in U.S. industrial production and global trade
  • No additional COVID-19-related business restrictions
  • Current fuel price expectations
  • Earnings of $16.80 to $17.40 per diluted share before the year-end MTM retirement plan accounting adjustment and debt refinancing costs
  • ETR of 21% to 22% prior to the year-end MTM retirement plan accounting adjustment

Headwinds

  • Unable to forecast the fiscal 2021 year-end mark-to-market (MTM) retirement plan accounting adjustment
  • Unable to forecast certain debt refinancing costs
  • Forecasts assume no additional COVID-19-related business restrictions
  • Forecasts assume continued recovery in U.S. industrial production and global trade
  • Forecasts are based on current law and related regulations and guidance

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

31 / 72 earnings

Positive

+16.4%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-14.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+1.4%+0.4%+10.2%
Q2 2026-1.6%+3.1%+7.3%
Q1 2026+2.4%+3.2%+5.0%
Q4 2025-0.8%-2.1%-1.5%
Q3 2025-6.4%-1.0%-15.7%
Q2 2025+0.9%-0.5%+0.7%
Q1 2025-14.6%-10.4%-8.0%
Q4 2024+15.5%+16.9%+16.4%
Q3 2024+9.4%+11.2%+2.7%
Q2 2024-12.7%-12.0%-13.4%
Q1 2024+0.5%+4.7%-2.4%
Q4 2023-3.3%-0.5%+12.9%
Q3 2023+12.8%+12.6%+18.1%
Q2 2023+0.7%+4.2%+9.2%
Q1 2023-2.6%-5.4%-0.0%
Q4 2022+6.2%+4.8%-0.8%
Q3 2022-3.1%+0.3%-8.9%
Q2 2022+4.0%+4.6%+6.4%
Q1 2022-8.7%-9.6%-7.2%
Q4 2021-1.8%+0.2%-0.1%
Q3 2021+5.2%+0.4%+8.2%
Q2 2021-4.6%-5.4%-12.6%
Q1 2021+5.9%+2.7%+19.4%
Q4 2020+16.4%+15.6%+28.4%
Q3 2020+10.2%+22.7%+31.6%
Q2 2020-10.5%-9.7%-2.8%
Q1 2020-13.1%-14.3%-13.2%
Q4 2019-0.6%+2.0%+9.3%
Q3 2019-4.0%-4.6%+8.6%
Q2 2019-10.8%-13.3%-4.9%
Q1 2019-5.4%-3.2%-12.5%
Q4 2018-4.6%-8.3%-10.3%
Q3 2018-0.2%-8.1%+0.8%
Q2 2018+3.8%+3.4%+12.5%
Q1 2018+2.5%+2.3%+4.1%
Q4 2017+0.6%+2.1%+0.4%
Q3 2017+1.9%-2.2%-3.0%
Q2 2017-2.8%-2.9%-5.8%
Q1 2017+7.8%+8.1%+5.2%
Q4 2016-4.8%-8.5%-3.7%
Q3 2016+12.8%
Q2 2016+4.9%
Q1 2016-2.9%
Q4 2015-2.1%
Q3 2015-1.1%
Q2 2015+0.1%
Q1 2015+2.8%
Q4 2014+5.2%
Q3 2014-1.5%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q1 2014+5.6%
Q4 2013-3.8%
Q3 2013-9.4%
Q2 2013+1.0%
Q1 2013-2.7%
Q4 2012+3.2%
Q3 2012-3.6%
Q2 2012-1.3%
Q1 2012-0.8%
Q4 2011-0.9%
Q3 2011+2.2%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q1 2011+3.3%
Q4 2008-5.2%
Q4 2010-5.2%
Q3 2010-3.2%
Q3 2009-3.2%
Q2 2010+0.3%
Q2 2009-1.1%
Q1 2009-1.1%
Q1 2010-1.1%
Q4 2009-1.1%

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