NYSE$ESRT

Empire State Realty Trust Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Empire State Realty Trust reported its fourth quarter and full year 2024 operational and financial results, showing an increase in net income per fully diluted share for the quarter and full year, alongside growth in Core FFO per fully diluted share for the full year.

Empire State Realty Trust reported a net income of $0.07 per share for Q4 2024 and $0.28 per share for the full year. Core FFO was $0.24 per share for Q4 2024 and $0.95 per share for the full year. The company signed 379 thousand rentable square feet of office leases in Q4 and 1.325 million rentable square feet for the full year, with Manhattan office blended leasing spreads at +10.8%.

  • Net Income per fully diluted share was $0.07 for the fourth quarter of 2024, an increase from $0.06 in the same period of 2023.
  • Core FFO per fully diluted share was $0.24 for the fourth quarter of 2024, a slight decrease from $0.25 in the same period of 2023.
  • The company signed approximately 379 thousand rentable square feet of office leases in the fourth quarter of 2024.
  • Manhattan office leased rate increased by 160bps year-over-year to 94.2%, marking the 12th consecutive quarter of positive commercial leased rate absorption.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$198M

Previous: $193M+2.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.24

Previous: $0.25-4.0%
Total commercial portfolio occupied

88.6%

No prior period
Total commercial portfolio leased

93.5%

No prior period
Office portfolio occupied

88.4%

No prior period
Office portfolio leased

93.5%

No prior period
Retail portfolio occupied

90.4%

No prior period
Retail portfolio leased

94.1%

No prior period
Total multifamily portfolio leased

98.5%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$29M

No prior period
Net Income

$18.8M

Previous: $15.8M+18.7%
Operating Income

$42.9M

Previous: $40.8M+5.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Empire State Realty Trust · Revenue · Quarterly

$198M

Q4 2024+2.4%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Empire State Realty Trust · $21.3M total across 3 segments · Q2 2022

  • Lease termination fees
    $18.9M+464.8%
  • Other revenue and fees
    $2.13M+263.5%
  • Third-party management and other fees
    $326K-0.3%

Forward guidance

Empire State Realty Trust provides 2025 guidance for Core FFO per fully diluted share, commercial occupancy, SS Property Cash NOI, and Observatory NOI, excluding significant future lease termination fee income or unannounced acquisitions/dispositions.

Tailwinds

  • Core FFO Per Fully Diluted Share is projected to be between $0.86 to $0.89 for 2025.
  • Commercial Occupancy at year-end is expected to be between 89% to 91%.
  • SS Property Cash NOI (excluding lease termination fees) is projected to range from -2.0% to +1.5%, with an expected y/y growth of ~0.5% to 4.0% relative to 2024 excluding one-time items.
  • Observatory NOI is guided to be between $97M to $102M for 2025.
  • Assumes positive revenue year-over-year growth for commercial properties.

Headwinds

  • 2025 FFO includes a net $0.04 year-over-year decline from changes in interest income, G&A, interest expense, transaction income, and non-cash adjustments.
  • Assumes a ~2.0% to 4.0% year-over-year increase in operating expenses and real estate taxes for SS Property Cash NOI.
  • Reflects average quarterly expenses of ~$9 to $10M for Observatory NOI.
  • Guidance does not include the impact of any significant future lease termination fee income.
  • Guidance does not include the impact of any unannounced acquisition, disposition or other capital markets activity.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

25 / 51 earnings

Positive

+8.6%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-6.8%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%-1.6%+2.0%
Q4 2025-3.0%-5.6%-20.5%
Q3 2025-5.8%-4.1%-7.7%
Q2 2025+0.4%-0.9%+6.9%
Q1 2025+2.3%+6.5%+10.1%
Q4 2024-2.9%-3.7%-11.5%
Q3 2024-2.0%-4.5%-5.5%
Q2 2024-5.2%-3.9%-6.3%
Q1 2024-3.8%-2.0%-4.7%
Q4 2023-2.5%+0.8%+0.7%
Q3 2023+4.8%+7.2%+11.6%
Q2 2023+7.1%+12.7%+1.6%
Q1 2023-0.5%+0.9%+0.7%
Q4 2022+2.5%-0.6%-23.3%
Q3 2022-2.0%+3.2%+7.6%
Q2 2022+8.6%+10.6%-4.6%
Q1 2022+0.2%-1.6%-6.3%
Q4 2021+3.0%+1.0%+5.1%
Q3 2021-6.8%-9.2%-10.3%
Q2 2021-2.0%-4.0%-11.3%
Q1 2021+1.1%+3.3%+4.9%
Q4 2020-3.3%+8.3%+14.6%
Q3 2020-4.8%-1.7%+67.8%
Q2 2020-1.5%-5.9%-5.8%
Q1 2020+0.1%+1.8%-12.1%
Q4 2019+1.0%-3.0%-41.7%
Q3 2019+1.8%-0.1%-3.3%
Q2 2019-3.0%-4.2%-8.6%
Q1 2019+1.1%+1.3%+3.7%
Q4 2018-1.1%+0.1%+1.5%
Q3 2018+0.7%+0.4%+2.7%
Q2 2018-0.7%-1.9%+4.7%
Q1 2018+2.1%+2.2%-2.9%
Q4 2017-3.0%-5.0%-10.1%
Q3 2017-0.2%-0.3%+1.0%
Q2 2017+3.5%+4.2%+2.0%
Q1 2017-3.2%-3.0%-3.5%
Q4 2016+1.3%+2.0%-2.7%
Q3 2016-2.4%-0.2%+2.6%
Q2 2016+1.8%+2.9%+1.4%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015+1.1%
Q3 2015+1.4%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q1 2015-0.4%
Q4 2014-0.2%
Q3 2014+0.0%
Q2 2014-1.0%
Q1 2014+3.2%
Q4 2013+1.9%
Q3 2013+3.9%
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010

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