NYSE$EQT

EQT Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year 2023, and provided guidance for 2024.

EQT's Q4 2023 production was 564 Bcfe, towards the high-end of guidance. They generated $236 million of free cash flow and retired all outstanding convertible notes. Capital expenditures were $539 million and cash operating expenses were $1.27 per Mcfe.

  • Fourth quarter production of 564 Bcfe, toward the high-end of guidance driven by continued operational efficiency gains and strong well performance
  • Capital expenditures of $539 million, near the low-end of guidance
  • Cash operating expenses of $1.27 per Mcfe, near the low-end of guidance, as lease operating expense continues to outperform expectations, reflecting benefits of EQT’s West Virginia water assets
  • Net cash provided by operating activities of $624 million; generated $236 million of free cash flow

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.37B

Previous: $1.32B+4.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.48

Previous: $0.42+14.3%
Total Sales Volume (Bcfe)

564

Previous: 459+22.9%
Average Realized Price ($/Mcfe)

$2.75

Previous: $2.87-4.2%
Capital Expenditures

$533M

Previous: $353M+51.0%
Net Income

$501M

Previous: $1.71B-70.7%
Operating Income

$723M

Previous: $1.15B-37.2%
Gross Profit

$220M

Previous: $1.59B-86.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.7M

Previous: $11.5M+1.4%

Revenue & EPS history

EQT · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.37B

Q4 2023+4.1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

In 2024, the Company expects total sales volume of 2,200 – 2,300 Bcfe and maintenance capital expenditures to total $1,950 – $2,050 million. The Company also plans to spend $200 – $300 million on strategic growth capital expenditures.

Tailwinds

  • Total sales volume of 2,200 – 2,300 Bcfe in 2024
  • Maintenance capital expenditures to total $1,950 – $2,050 million in 2024
  • Strategic growth capital expenditures of $200 – $300 million in 2024
  • Turn-in-line (TIL) 110 – 140 net wells in 2024
  • First quarter of 2024 total sales volume expected to be 525 – 575 Bcfe

Headwinds

  • Includes the impact of 10 – 15 Bcfe of lower sales volume due to non-operated midstream constraints in Q1 2024
  • Assumes Mountain Valley Pipeline in-service date during April 2024
  • Average differential ($/Mcf) ($0.70) – ($0.50) for full year 2024
  • Total per unit operating costs $1.37 – $1.49 for full year 2024
  • Maintenance Capital Expenditures $1,950 - $2,050 millions for full year 2024

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

47 / 73 earnings

Positive

+18.3%

Q4 2019

Best reaction

-19.6%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.1%+0.5%-0.9%
Q4 2025+1.5%+2.2%+12.0%
Q3 2025-4.0%-3.5%+2.4%
Q2 2025+1.5%-1.4%-2.1%
Q1 2025+0.4%+5.3%+14.5%
Q4 2024+0.9%-6.9%-1.7%
Q3 2024+3.4%-4.5%+21.4%
Q2 2024-1.6%-3.8%-7.8%
Q1 2024+3.8%+7.0%+5.1%
Q4 2023-5.6%-0.7%-3.3%
Q3 2023+0.7%-3.2%-4.0%
Q2 2023+4.6%+6.5%+5.0%
Q1 2023+5.8%+8.1%+13.8%
Q4 2022+2.4%+0.5%-5.5%
Q3 2022-1.3%+5.7%+8.7%
Q2 2022-6.2%-7.2%+9.0%
Q1 2022+4.2%+1.3%+24.4%
Q4 2021+2.3%+7.5%+27.5%
Q3 2021-8.3%-8.5%-6.8%
Q2 2021-8.0%-13.8%-8.4%
Q1 2021-7.5%+5.2%+7.7%
Q4 2020+2.5%-1.0%+3.4%
Q3 2020+8.9%+9.0%-0.7%
Q2 2020-2.5%+2.5%+10.7%
Q1 2020+2.6%-7.1%+10.3%
Q4 2019+18.3%+24.0%+39.1%
Q3 2019+6.7%+9.8%-11.8%
Q2 2019-10.1%-7.3%-35.0%
Q1 2019+1.2%-1.4%-6.4%
Q4 2018-1.5%-1.2%+1.0%
Q3 2018-19.6%-18.8%-17.8%
Q2 2018-10.1%-10.4%-7.7%
Q1 2018+6.4%+7.0%+7.0%
Q4 2017+8.3%+6.0%+4.0%
Q3 2017+4.0%+2.8%-5.3%
Q2 2017+3.3%-0.1%-4.5%
Q1 2017-9.0%-7.6%-11.3%
Q4 2016+7.1%+2.5%-2.5%
Q3 2016+2.6%+1.0%+9.0%
Q2 2016-0.8%-4.2%-2.4%
Q1 2016-3.2%
Q4 2015-1.8%
Q3 2015-6.5%
Q2 2015+2.6%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q4 2014+6.0%
Q3 2014+7.2%
Q2 2014+0.2%
Q1 2014-0.3%
Q4 2013+2.5%
Q3 2013-0.3%
Q2 2013+4.6%
Q1 2013+7.7%
Q4 2012+3.9%
Q3 2012+7.7%
Q2 2012+4.2%
Q1 2012+0.9%
Q4 2011+4.6%
Q3 2011-1.8%
Q2 2011+3.7%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010+0.8%
Q3 2010+1.8%
Q2 2010-3.0%
Q1 2009+0.0%
Q1 2010+2.4%
Q4 2009+2.0%
Q3 2009-1.0%
Q3 2008-1.0%
Q4 2008+1.8%
Q4 2007+1.8%
Q2 2008+1.8%
Q2 2009+1.8%

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