NYSE$ELV

Elevance Health Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Anthem reported strong Q4 2020 results, demonstrating growth across all businesses despite pandemic uncertainties.

Anthem, Inc. reported a solid fourth quarter in 2020, marked by a 16.2% increase in operating revenue to $31.5 billion, driven by growth in Medicaid and Medicare, as well as pharmacy product revenue and the return of the health insurance tax. GAAP net income per share was $2.19, with an adjusted net income per share of $2.54. Medical enrollment reached 42.9 million members, a 4.7% increase year-over-year.

  • Operating revenue increased by 16.2% to $31.5 billion, driven by growth in Medicaid and Medicare, pharmacy product revenue, and the return of the health insurance tax.
  • GAAP net income was $2.19 per share, and adjusted net income was $2.54 per share.
  • Medical enrollment totaled approximately 42.9 million members, an increase of 4.7% from the prior year.
  • Operating cash flow was $3.8 billion, an increase of $2.5 billion compared to the prior year quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$31.5B

Previous: $27.1B+16.2%
EPS (adj)

$2.54

Previous: $3.88-34.5%
Total Medical Membership

42.9M

Previous: 41.0M+4.7%
Capital Expenditures

$278M

Previous: $351M-20.8%
Free Cash Flow

$3.54B

Previous: $976M+262.2%
Net Income

$551M

Previous: $934M-41.0%
Operating Income

$605M

Previous: $1.1B-44.9%
Gross Profit

$7.74B

Previous: $6.02B+28.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.74B

Previous: $4.94B+16.3%
Total Assets

$86.6B

Previous: $77.5B+11.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$69M

Previous: $68M+1.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Elevance Health · Revenue · Quarterly

$31.5B

Q4 2020+16.2%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Elevance Health · $62B total across 4 segments · Q2 2026

  • Health Benefits
    $42.7B—
  • CarelonRx
    $11.3B—
  • Carelon Services
    $7.98B—
  • Corporate & Other
    $6M—

Forward guidance

Anthem anticipates GAAP net income to exceed $23.51 per share for the full year 2021, which includes approximately $0.99 per share of net unfavorable items. Adjusted net income is expected to be greater than $24.50 per share. Medical membership is projected to be in the range of 44.1 to 44.7 million, and operating revenue is expected to be approximately $135.1 billion.

Tailwinds

  • GAAP net income is expected to be greater than $23.51 per share.
  • Adjusted net income is expected to be greater than $24.50 per share.
  • Medical membership is expected to be in the range of 44.1 - 44.7 million.
  • Operating revenue is expected to be approximately $135.1 billion.
  • Operating cash flow is expected to be greater than $5.7 billion.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted net income guidance includes a net negative headwind of $0.50-$0.70 due to the Consolidated Appropriations Act and COVID-19 related impacts on the Medicare business.
  • Benefit expense ratio is expected to be in the range of 88.0% plus or minus 50 basis points.
  • SG&A ratio is expected to be 10.8% plus or minus 50 basis points.
  • Interest expense is expected to be $785 million.
  • Effective tax rate is expected to be between 20.0 - 22.0%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

25 / 46 earnings

Positive

+11.1%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-15.0%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026———
Q1 2026+2.3%+8.5%+20.3%
Q4 2025+5.1%+5.9%-0.9%
Q3 2025-1.1%-3.3%-11.3%
Q2 2025+0.3%+6.0%+5.9%
Q1 2025+2.1%+3.7%-5.5%
Q4 2024+2.9%+3.8%-1.4%
Q3 2024-15.0%-15.5%-19.4%
Q2 2024-8.7%-8.9%-1.7%
Q1 2024+4.1%+4.7%+7.6%
Q4 2023+1.8%+3.0%+8.9%
Q3 2023-0.6%-3.0%-0.6%
Q2 2023+7.2%+6.2%+4.3%
Q1 2023-5.8%-4.2%-5.2%
Q4 2022+3.6%+2.2%-0.1%
Q3 2022+2.0%+10.1%+3.6%
Q2 2022-7.6%-5.3%+1.2%
Q1 2022+1.1%-2.0%-4.7%
Q4 2021-0.8%+0.4%+3.3%
Q3 2021+9.3%+10.4%+5.5%
Q2 2021-1.4%-2.9%-3.1%
Q1 2021-0.5%-1.1%+3.7%
Q4 2020-3.8%-6.4%-3.0%
Q3 2020-8.6%-6.9%+4.7%
Q2 2020+4.5%+2.1%+4.5%
Q1 2020+4.7%+1.0%+9.7%
Q4 2019-8.4%-8.2%-11.4%
Q3 2019-0.3%+2.9%+12.1%
Q2 2019-2.9%-1.4%-13.9%
Q1 2019+2.1%+6.2%+10.6%
Q4 2018+11.1%+11.6%+12.8%
Q3 2018+0.2%+1.4%+9.3%
Q2 2018+0.4%+2.5%+7.8%
Q1 2018+5.3%+4.9%+3.3%
Q4 2017+0.2%-5.3%-4.3%
Q3 2017+6.0%+7.3%+12.9%
Q2 2017-3.7%-2.3%+1.1%
Q1 2017+3.4%+3.9%+6.2%
Q4 2016+2.3%+1.7%+7.7%
Q3 2016+2.2%+5.2%+23.6%
Q2 2016-3.4%-7.3%-9.2%
Q1 2016-2.1%——
Q4 2015-8.2%——
Q3 2015-2.3%——
Q2 2015+0.4%——
Q1 2015-2.1%——
Q4 2014-0.5%——
Q3 2014———
Q2 2014———
Q1 2014———
Q4 2013———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———
Q4 2011———
Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———
Q3 2011———
Q2 2011———
Q1 2011———
Q4 2010———
Q3 2010———
Q2 2010———
Q1 2009———
Q1 2010———
Q4 2007———
Q4 2009———
Q3 2009———
Q3 2008———
Q2 2009———
Q4 2008———
Q2 2008———

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