NYSE$EGY

VAALCO Energy Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income for the fourth quarter of 2019.

VAALCO Energy, Inc. reported net income of $1.0 million, or $0.02 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2019. The company successfully drilled and brought the Etame 9H and Etame 11H wells on production at higher-than-expected initial flow rates in December 2019 and January 2020, respectively. They also reported unrestricted cash balance of $45.9 million as of December 31, 2019.

  • Produced 3,664 net revenue interest barrels of crude oil per day in Q4 2019.
  • Reported net income of $1.0 million ($0.02 per diluted share) in Q4 2019.
  • Successfully drilled and brought the Etame 9H and Etame 11H wells on production in December 2019 and January 2020.
  • Reported unrestricted cash balance of $45.9 million as of December 31, 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$21.9M

Previous: $27.6M-20.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: $0.32-71.9%
Average Realized Price

$65.80

No prior period
Production Expense per BOE

$30.70

No prior period
G&A Expense per BOE

$9.28

No prior period
Average Daily Sales Volume

3.5K

No prior period
Average Daily Production Volume

3.7K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$6.97M

Previous: $922K+655.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$9.55M

Previous: $214K-4560.3%
Net Income

$1.01M

Previous: $10.4M-90.3%
Operating Income

$7.78M

Previous: $15.2M-48.9%
Gross Profit

$10M

Previous: $16.1M-38.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$45.9M

Previous: $33.4M+37.6%
Total Assets

$212M

Previous: $166M+27.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$736K

Previous: -$1.48M+149.9%

Revenue & EPS history

VAALCO · Revenue · Quarterly

$21.9M

Q4 2019-20.6%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 2 of 8 quarters(25%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

VAALCO estimates full year 2020 NRI production to be between 4,400 and 5,000 BOPD. The company forecasts between $10 and $12 million in cash G&A expense for full year 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Full year 2020 NRI production is estimated to be between 4,400 and 5,000 BOPD.
  • NRI production during the first quarter of 2020 is forecasted between 4,700 and 5,000 BOPD.
  • Sales NRI volumes for 2020 are currently estimated to average 4,400 to 5,000 BOPD.
  • Production expense guidance (excluding workovers) for full year 2020 is $37 to $42 million or $21.00 to $25.00 per barrel of crude oil sales.
  • The company forecasts between $10 and $12 million in cash G&A expense for full year 2020.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty in the macro pricing environment.
  • Company is evaluating its capital expenditures for the balance of 2020.
  • Expects to incur approximately $1 – $3 million of asset integrity capital projects.
  • Company continues to manage all uses of cash in light of the ongoing economic conditions.
  • Operational cash flow breakeven is about $31 per barrel of crude oil sales while its corporate cash flow breakeven, excluding capital expenditures, is about $38.50 per barrel of crude oil sales.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

25 / 65 earnings

Positive

+41.4%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-25.5%

Q2 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+8.0%+6.4%-0.9%
Q4 2025-4.6%-0.2%+2.8%
Q3 2025-4.3%-2.5%-10.9%
Q1 2025-0.3%+3.8%+0.0%
Q4 2024+14.2%+6.3%-11.6%
Q3 2024-3.2%-6.2%-10.9%
Q2 2024+8.4%+2.8%-5.5%
Q1 2024-4.6%-2.2%-6.0%
Q4 2023+23.0%+35.2%+57.2%
Q3 2023-10.2%-7.2%+3.7%
Q2 2023+9.9%+13.1%-1.2%
Q1 2023-9.6%-13.2%-1.4%
Q4 2022-14.4%-15.6%-13.4%
Q3 2022-5.0%+3.7%-8.5%
Q2 2022+4.2%+0.6%-5.2%
Q1 2022+4.4%+1.4%+27.5%
Q4 2021-4.1%-19.6%+9.0%
Q3 2021+17.7%+21.1%-7.6%
Q2 2021-2.6%-10.7%-8.1%
Q1 2021-7.0%+3.7%+19.6%
Q4 2020-6.2%-9.5%-29.5%
Q3 2020+9.6%+26.9%+83.4%
Q2 2020-3.4%+1.7%-8.4%
Q1 2020-6.1%-3.7%+45.3%
Q4 2019-2.3%-27.7%-45.3%
Q3 2019+1.0%+0.0%+1.0%
Q2 2019+0.0%+6.5%+8.2%
Q1 2019-10.9%-25.1%-28.0%
Q4 2018-1.3%-4.3%+3.4%
Q3 2018+3.3%-7.5%-22.6%
Q2 2018-25.5%-12.3%-20.5%
Q1 2018+41.4%+36.0%+107.2%
Q4 2017-3.7%-6.3%-14.3%
Q3 2017-7.1%-3.9%-14.7%
Q2 2017-5.2%-10.0%-16.4%
Q1 2017+8.0%+15.3%-3.1%
Q4 2016-13.7%-11.6%+0.0%
Q3 2016-2.4%-1.9%+13.0%
Q2 2016+1.5%+2.9%+5.8%
Q1 2016-6.6%
Q4 2015+6.0%
Q3 2015-6.0%
Q2 2015+9.7%
Q1 2015-8.3%
Q4 2014-21.4%
Q3 2014-0.4%
Q2 2014+17.0%
Q1 2014-21.6%
Q4 2013+15.4%
Q3 2013+12.7%
Q2 2013+0.2%
Q1 2013-6.9%
Q4 2012-9.7%
Q4 2009-9.7%
Q3 2012-1.8%
Q2 2012-5.0%
Q1 2011-2.9%
Q1 2012-2.9%
Q4 2011+13.7%
Q3 2011-8.3%
Q3 2010-8.3%
Q2 2010+0.5%
Q2 2011+0.5%
Q4 2010+0.5%
Q1 2010+6.1%

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