NYSE$CTRE

CareTrust REIT Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported solid growth and created additional shareholder value despite the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

CareTrust REIT reported a positive Q4 2020 with net income of $21.1 million, normalized FFO of $34.2 million, and normalized FAD of $35.7 million. The company collected 99.3% of contract rents in 2020 and experienced no rent leakage in connection with one operator change.

  • Net income was $21.1 million, or $0.22 per diluted share.
  • Normalized FFO was $34.2 million, or $0.36 per diluted share.
  • Normalized FAD was $35.7 million, or $0.37 per diluted share.
  • Net debt-to-normalized EBITDA was 3.3x.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$44.1M

Previous: $44.2M-0.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.36

Previous: $0.34+5.9%
Net Debt to Annualized Normalized Run Rate EBITDA

3.3

Previous: 3.3+0.0%
Quarterly dividend per common share

$0.25

Previous: $0.23+11.1%
Net Income

$21.1M

Previous: $20.7M+1.9%
Operating Income

$21.1M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$42.9M

Previous: $40.9M+4.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$18.9M

Previous: $20.3M-6.9%
Total Assets

$1.5B

Previous: $1.52B-1.0%

Revenue & EPS history

CareTrust REIT · Revenue · Quarterly

$44.1M

Q4 2020-0.2%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

CareTrust issued annual guidance for 2021, on a per-diluted weighted-average common share basis, for net income of approximately $0.84 to $0.86, normalized FFO of approximately $1.40 to $1.42, and normalized FAD of approximately $1.49 to $1.51.

Tailwinds

  • Includes all investments, dispositions and loan repayments made to date
  • Includes no new acquisitions, dispositions, new loans or loan repayments beyond those completed or announced to date
  • Includes no new debt incurrences or new equity issuances
  • Includes estimated 1.25% CPI-based rent escalators under CareTrust's long-term net leases
  • Based on a diluted weighted-average common share count of 95.6 million shares

Headwinds

  • Material changes in economic and other factors related to the COVID-19 pandemic and the government’s responses thereto could alter the outlook at any time
  • Does not contemplate future negative impacts, if any, that are related to the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Impacts are highly uncertain
  • Impacts cannot be predicted at this time
  • Guidance is based on estimates and assumptions

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

30 / 52 earnings

Positive

+11.7%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.7%+7.5%-3.9%
Q4 2025-0.3%+0.0%-0.3%
Q3 2025-1.2%+1.4%+4.7%
Q1 2025+0.8%+1.4%+1.5%
Q4 2024+3.7%+1.5%+11.1%
Q3 2024+4.8%+3.4%-4.5%
Q2 2024+1.6%+1.6%+10.8%
Q1 2024+0.2%-0.2%+2.6%
Q4 2023+9.0%+9.3%+12.7%
Q3 2023+3.5%+7.0%+5.2%
Q2 2023+0.3%+0.8%+0.3%
Q1 2023+1.7%+1.5%+0.6%
Q4 2022-0.6%+0.3%-6.6%
Q3 2022-1.9%+3.4%+5.2%
Q2 2022-1.2%+2.3%-0.6%
Q1 2022-0.5%-4.8%+5.6%
Q4 2021-6.3%-6.9%-3.7%
Q3 2021+0.1%-1.6%+7.3%
Q2 2021+2.7%-1.1%-2.0%
Q1 2021+2.9%+1.6%+3.4%
Q4 2020+0.1%-0.7%+3.0%
Q3 2020+0.9%+9.1%+16.3%
Q2 2020+4.0%+5.1%+7.7%
Q1 2020+11.7%+8.5%+27.5%
Q4 2019+2.2%+0.7%-44.8%
Q3 2019-8.6%-12.2%-4.7%
Q2 2019-0.7%-0.5%+6.4%
Q1 2019-1.5%+0.6%-1.9%
Q4 2018+1.4%+2.6%+9.2%
Q3 2018+8.1%+10.5%+12.9%
Q2 2018+0.7%+5.6%+9.1%
Q1 2018+7.6%+7.0%+18.1%
Q4 2017-9.4%-9.6%-8.3%
Q3 2017-4.4%-4.7%-9.8%
Q2 2017+0.5%-0.7%+6.3%
Q1 2017-3.0%-0.8%+8.0%
Q4 2016+2.3%+2.0%-1.5%
Q3 2016-3.6%+0.6%+6.7%
Q2 2016+4.4%+5.9%+11.2%
Q1 2016-0.7%
Q4 2015+2.4%
Q3 2015-5.4%
Q2 2015-8.4%
Q1 2014+7.6%
Q1 2015+7.6%
Q4 2014-2.6%
Q1 2013+1.6%
Q3 2014+7.5%
Q3 2013+7.5%
Q2 2014-6.8%
Q4 2013-6.8%
Q2 2013-6.8%
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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