NYSE$CNQ

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd · Q2 2025 earnings

Q2 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Canadian Natural Q2 2025: $2.5B net earnings, 1.42 MBOE/d production despite AOSP turnaround

Canadian Natural Resources reported Q2 2025 results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025 on August 7, 2025. Net earnings were $2.46 billion ($1.17 per diluted share), while adjusted net earnings from operations were $1.50 billion ($0.71 per share). Product sales totaled $9.68 billion and adjusted funds flow was $3.26 billion ($1.56 per share). Production averaged 1,420,358 BOE/d including 1,019,149 bbl/d of liquids and 2,407 MMcf/d of natural gas, up roughly 10% from Q2 2024 despite a planned AOSP turnaround that reduced volumes by about 120,000 BOE/d. The company returned approximately $1.6 billion to shareholders via $1.2 billion in dividends and $0.4 billion in share repurchases, and maintained approximately $4.8 billion of liquidity.

  • Net earnings of $2.46B ($1.17/sh) and adjusted net earnings from operations of $1.50B ($0.71/sh).
  • Product sales of $9.68B; adjusted funds flow of $3.26B ($1.56/sh) and operating cash flow of $3.11B.
  • Production averaged 1.42 MBOE/d (+10% YoY) despite AOSP turnaround; oil sands SCO averaged 463,808 bbl/d (+13%).
  • Returned ~$1.6B to shareholders: $1.2B dividends and $0.4B buybacks (~8.6M shares at $41.46 avg).
  • Closed Palliser Block acquisition in late June; subsequent Montney acquisition added ~32,000 BOE/d in July.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

C$9.68B

No prior period
EPS (adj)

C$0.71

No prior period
Crude oil and NGLs production (bbl/d)

1.0M

No prior period
Adjusted funds flow

C$3.26B

No prior period
Daily equivalent production (BOE/d)

1.4M

No prior period
Net Income

C$2.46B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

CNRL · Revenue · Quarterly

C$9.68B

Q2 2025
Beat estimate in 7 of 12 quarters(58%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CNRL · C$9.21B total across 2 segments · Q2 2025

  • Crude oil and NGLs product sales
    C$8.61B
  • Natural gas product sales
    C$600M

Forward guidance

Company targets similar 2025 shareholder returns as 2024 despite allocating only 60% of free cash flow to returns, and aims to reduce year-end 2025 net debt by approximately $2 billion from 2024 levels. Production and capital guidance to be updated upon closing of the AOSP swap targeted for Q3 2025.

Tailwinds

  • Strong post-turnaround oil sands utilization with July SCO ~602,000 bbl/d at 106% upgrader utilization
  • Accretive acquisitions and multilateral drilling program expanding production capacity

Headwinds

  • International E&P volumes down 60% due to Baobab FPSO life-extension project suspension

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2025

Historical avgQ2 2025

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.4%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

40 / 62 earnings

Positive

+15.0%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-9.1%

Q3 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%+2.8%+0.2%
Q3 2025-1.3%+1.6%+8.7%
Q2 2025-3.0%-4.6%-3.1%
Q4 2024+1.9%+12.0%+9.8%
Q1 2025+4.2%+12.0%+9.8%
Q1 2024-0.4%+2.0%+2.5%
Q4 2023+8.8%+7.7%+15.2%
Q3 2023+3.5%-1.4%+4.9%
Q2 2023+2.8%+2.9%+9.6%
Q1 2023+2.6%+1.5%-0.2%
Q4 2022+4.0%-0.4%-4.5%
Q3 2022+2.1%+1.5%+0.1%
Q2 2022-0.3%+1.1%+7.8%
Q1 2022-2.9%-11.0%+3.1%
Q4 2021-0.8%+3.6%+9.4%
Q3 2021+2.6%+2.6%-4.8%
Q2 2021+3.3%+4.7%+8.5%
Q1 2021+5.7%+3.1%+15.7%
Q4 2020+4.4%+2.7%+6.2%
Q3 2020-2.1%+24.2%+50.1%
Q2 2020+6.0%+9.4%+5.0%
Q1 2020+7.5%+10.3%+40.6%
Q4 2019-8.7%-35.2%-46.3%
Q3 2019+7.9%+8.0%+13.3%
Q2 2019-5.7%-6.2%-5.5%
Q1 2019+0.8%-0.8%-4.8%
Q4 2018+0.2%+2.2%+7.4%
Q3 2018+4.8%+9.2%-7.9%
Q2 2018-1.9%-4.0%-5.9%
Q1 2018-1.5%-5.0%-4.5%
Q4 2017-1.8%-1.7%+0.0%
Q3 2017+2.9%+3.3%+0.6%
Q2 2017+4.6%+4.9%+1.8%
Q1 2017-1.7%-2.2%-8.5%
Q4 2016+8.3%+6.8%+13.8%
Q3 2016-4.9%-3.0%+8.4%
Q2 2016+2.2%+4.1%+5.7%
Q1 2016-0.6%
Q4 2015+15.0%
Q3 2015+4.3%
Q2 2015+2.1%
Q1 2015-1.1%
Q4 2014+0.3%
Q3 2014+7.1%
Q2 2014+0.0%
Q1 2014-3.7%
Q4 2013+1.4%
Q3 2013+1.3%
Q2 2013+0.3%
Q1 2013+1.9%
Q4 2012+4.1%
Q3 2012+2.3%
Q2 2012-0.2%
Q1 2012+2.5%
Q4 2011+5.4%
Q3 2011-9.1%
Q2 2011+2.7%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q4 2010+1.7%
Q3 2010+5.3%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q1 2010+7.0%

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