NYSE$CNI

Canadian National Railway Co · Q2 2025 earnings

Q2 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

CN Railway Q2 operating ratio improves to 61.7% despite 1% revenue decline; EPS rises 7% to C$1.87

Canadian National Railway reported Q2 2025 revenues of C$4.27 billion, down 1% year over year, as revenue ton miles fell 1% amid trade and tariff uncertainty. Operating income rose 5% to C$1.64 billion with the operating ratio improving 2.3 points to 61.7%, reflecting tight cost control. Diluted EPS increased 7% to C$1.87; management cut 2025 adjusted EPS growth guidance to mid-to-high single digits and removed its 2024–2026 financial outlook.

  • Revenue declined 1% to C$4,272M; freight revenue fell 2% to C$4,090M on 1% lower RTMs.
  • Operating income rose 5% to C$1,638M; operating ratio improved 230 bps to 61.7%.
  • Diluted EPS was C$1.87 (+7%); net income was C$1,172M.
  • Grain and fertilizers revenue grew 13%; petroleum/chemicals and intermodal declined.
  • 2025 adjusted EPS growth guidance trimmed to mid-to-high single digits; 2024–2026 outlook removed.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

C$4.27B

Previous: C$3.16B+35.0%
EPS (adj)

C$1.87

Previous: C$1.35+38.5%
Operating ratio

61.7%

No prior period
Revenue ton miles (millions)

59.2B

No prior period
Free cash flow

C$922M

No prior period
Net Income

C$1.17B

Previous: C$814M+44.0%
Operating Income

C$1.64B

Previous: C$1.2B+37.0%

Revenue & EPS history

CNR · Revenue · Quarterly

C$4.27B

Q2 2025+35%vs Q2 2024
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CNR · C$2.65B total across 3 segments · Q2 2025

  • Intermodal
    C$1.01B
  • Grain and fertilizers
    C$834M
  • Petroleum and chemicals
    C$808M

Forward guidance

CN now expects 2025 adjusted diluted EPS growth in the mid-to-high single-digit range (down from prior 10–15%) and plans ~C$3.4B net capital investment; the 2024–2026 financial outlook was removed due to macro uncertainty.

Tailwinds

  • Operating ratio improvement demonstrates cost discipline in a challenging volume environment

Headwinds

  • Persistent trade and tariff volatility driving reduced RTM and EPS growth expectations

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2025

Historical avgQ2 2025

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

25 / 64 earnings

Positive

+6.0%

Q2 2010

Best reaction

-6.2%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025-4.1%-5.3%-4.4%
Q3 2024-0.2%-1.1%-2.7%
Q2 2024-5.2%-5.5%-6.1%
Q3 2023+0.5%-1.1%+7.7%
Q2 2023-0.2%+1.6%-6.1%
Q1 2023-3.7%-3.1%-8.0%
Q4 2022-4.4%-4.3%-6.1%
Q3 2022+5.2%+5.0%+11.4%
Q2 2022+4.4%+8.0%+7.6%
Q1 2022-2.5%-5.4%-9.5%
Q4 2021-2.3%-1.4%+0.2%
Q3 2021+5.9%+9.7%+4.7%
Q2 2021+2.7%+4.3%+4.9%
Q1 2021-0.8%-1.1%-1.0%
Q4 2020-6.2%-6.3%+2.5%
Q3 2020-5.5%-5.5%-1.6%
Q2 2020+1.2%+0.7%+9.5%
Q1 2020+4.4%+2.1%+9.1%
Q4 2019+1.3%+0.8%-7.7%
Q3 2019+0.9%+0.3%+1.8%
Q2 2019+3.1%+4.1%+0.8%
Q1 2019-1.9%-1.4%-5.6%
Q4 2018-0.5%-0.5%+2.6%
Q3 2018-2.9%-3.3%-0.0%
Q2 2018+4.9%+5.4%+2.8%
Q1 2018-0.7%+3.8%+11.5%
Q4 2017-0.5%-0.8%-3.3%
Q3 2017-0.4%-0.6%-2.7%
Q2 2017-2.2%-2.8%-2.3%
Q1 2017-2.2%-3.3%+2.2%
Q4 2016-0.4%+0.0%+1.3%
Q3 2016-3.8%-3.8%+0.7%
Q2 2016+0.0%-0.2%+2.6%
Q4 2015+3.4%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q3 2015-0.2%
Q2 2015+2.6%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q3 2014+1.9%
Q4 2014-2.1%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q1 2014+1.0%
Q4 2013+3.0%
Q3 2013+3.6%
Q2 2013-2.8%
Q1 2013-1.5%
Q4 2012-1.7%
Q3 2012-1.3%
Q2 2012+2.8%
Q1 2012+2.3%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q3 2011-0.4%
Q2 2011-3.3%
Q1 2011+2.4%
Q4 2009+0.7%
Q4 2010+0.7%
Q3 2010-4.0%
Q2 2010+6.0%
Q1 2010-2.9%
Q3 2008-3.0%
Q3 2009-3.0%
Q2 2008-1.6%
Q2 2009-1.6%
Q4 2008-1.6%

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