NYSE$CNH

CNH Industrial NV · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Delivered record results in the first year as a pure play in Agriculture and Construction with a strong fourth quarter.

CNH Industrial delivered a strong fourth quarter contributing to record full year revenue and income. Sharp execution and improving supply chain management generated $1.6B of full year industrial free cash flow.

  • Consolidated revenues of $6,943 million (up 26.7% compared to Q4 2021 for continuing operations)
  • Net income of $592 million, Adjusted Net Income of $486 million, with diluted EPS of $0.43 and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.36
  • Adjusted EBIT of Industrial Activities of $680 million (up $302 million compared to Q4 2021)
  • Net cash provided by operating activities of $1,443 million and Industrial Free Cash Flow of $2,049 million

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.94B

Previous: $9.07B-23.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.36

Previous: $0.25+44.0%
Industrial Net Sales

$6.35B

Previous: $4.99B+27.2%
Adj EBIT Industrial

$680M

Previous: $378M+79.9%
Adj EBIT Margin Ind.

10.7%

Previous: 7.6%+40.8%
Adjusted Net Income

$486M

Previous: $425M+14.4%
Industrial Free Cash Flow

$2.05B

Previous: $1.23B+67.3%
Agri Adj EBIT Margin

13.1%

No prior period
Constr Adj EBIT Margin

3.5%

No prior period
Retail Loan Originations

$9.96B

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$2.05B

No prior period
Net Income

$592M

Previous: $302M+96.0%
Operating Income

$725M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$1.97B

Previous: $1.96B+0.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.38B

Previous: $5.04B-13.2%
Total Assets

$39.4B

Previous: $49.4B-20.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$87M

Previous: $90M-3.3%

Revenue & EPS history

CNH Industrial · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.94B

Q4 2022-23.5%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CNH Industrial · $6.93B total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Agriculture
    $5.37B+29.4%
  • Construction
    $983M+16.5%
  • Financial Services
    $577M+20.7%

Forward guidance

The Company is providing the following 2023 outlook for its Industrial Activities:

Tailwinds

  • Net sales up between 6% and 10% year on year including currency translation effects
  • SG&A up, no more than 5% vs 2022
  • Free Cash Flow of Industrial Activities between $1.3bn and $1.5bn
  • R&D expenses and capital expenditures at around $1.6bn

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.0%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

27 / 54 earnings

Positive

+8.6%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-10.0%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.3%+2.4%+1.3%
Q4 2025+2.7%+2.4%-20.9%
Q3 2025-5.9%+0.7%-8.0%
Q1 2025+7.4%+7.0%+8.1%
Q3 2024-7.9%-11.4%+3.5%
Q2 2024-0.6%-4.1%+1.7%
Q1 2024+1.3%+5.0%-6.8%
Q4 2023+4.5%+2.8%+4.4%
Q3 2023-9.6%-12.2%-3.7%
Q2 2023-6.0%-5.7%-14.9%
Q1 2023+5.9%+4.3%+0.0%
Q4 2022-10.0%-10.1%-4.9%
Q3 2022+6.5%+14.7%+20.5%
Q2 2022+2.5%+1.9%+1.6%
Q1 2022+3.4%-0.3%+5.5%
Q4 2021+8.6%+8.8%-0.3%
Q3 2021-1.0%-2.4%-6.2%
Q2 2021+0.1%-0.5%+1.1%
Q1 2021+7.9%+11.1%+18.3%
Q4 2020+2.9%+4.6%+9.5%
Q3 2020+8.6%+10.8%+33.2%
Q2 2020-9.7%-2.7%+6.0%
Q1 2020-6.9%-3.3%+30.8%
Q4 2019-7.2%-3.1%-11.0%
Q3 2019-4.7%-2.9%-9.0%
Q2 2019-4.8%-8.9%+1.5%
Q1 2019-5.5%-6.6%-13.4%
Q4 2018+2.3%+4.4%+2.3%
Q3 2018-3.8%-8.8%-10.2%
Q2 2018+8.6%+10.2%+10.6%
Q4 2017-2.4%-0.5%-6.1%
Q1 2018+4.6%+4.2%+5.4%
Q3 2017+8.0%+7.6%+7.4%
Q2 2017-1.0%-0.6%-4.4%
Q1 2017+2.8%+2.4%+5.8%
Q4 2016-2.0%+2.0%+3.4%
Q3 2016-3.9%-6.9%+10.8%
Q2 2016-0.8%+0.9%+4.7%
Q1 2016+3.7%
Q4 2015+6.2%
Q3 2015+2.0%
Q2 2015-1.9%
Q1 2015-0.4%
Q4 2014+3.9%
Q3 2014+0.4%
Q2 2014-1.3%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q1 2014-5.9%
Q4 2013-5.7%
Q3 2013-7.6%
Q2 2013+2.1%
Q1 2013-9.4%
Q4 2012-0.7%
Q3 2012+0.3%

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