NYSE$CHE

Chemed Corp · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Chemed reported mixed Q4 2020 results with revenue increase and EPS growth.

Chemed Corporation reported a 2.1% increase in revenue to $533 million. GAAP diluted EPS increased by 75.8% to $6.96, and adjusted diluted EPS increased by 21.6% to $5.13. VITAS segment revenue declined by 2.3%, while Roto-Rooter's revenue increased by 10.2%.

  • Consolidated revenue increased by 2.1% to $533 million.
  • GAAP diluted EPS increased by 75.8% to $6.96.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS increased by 21.6% to $5.13.
  • Roto-Rooter revenue increased by 10.2% to $201 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$533M

Previous: $522M+2.1%
EPS (adj)

$5.13

Previous: $4.22+21.6%
Average Daily Census

18.7K

Previous: 19.3K-2.8%
VITAS Admissions

18.0K

Previous: 17.5K+2.8%
Capital Expenditures

$16.2M

Previous: $13.3M+21.8%
Free Cash Flow

$70.7M

Previous: $50.3M+40.5%
Net Income

$114M

Previous: $65.6M+73.5%
Operating Income

$143M

Previous: $77.5M+85.0%
Gross Profit

$198M

Previous: $175M+13.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$163M

Previous: $6.2M+2529.0%
Total Assets

$1.43B

Previous: $1.27B+13.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Chemed · Revenue · Quarterly

$533M

Q4 2020+2.1%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Chemed · $533M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • VITAS Healthcare
    $332M-2.4%
  • Roto-Rooter
    $201M+10.4%

Forward guidance

Chemed provided guidance for the full year 2021, anticipating challenges due to the COVID-19 pandemic. VITAS is expected to experience a revenue decline and ADC decrease, while Roto-Rooter is forecasted to achieve revenue growth. Full-year adjusted earnings per diluted share are estimated to be in the range of $17.00 to $17.50.

Tailwinds

  • Roto-Rooter is forecasted to achieve full-year 2021 revenue growth of 5% to 6%.
  • Roto-Rooter’s Adjusted EBITDA margin for 2021 is estimated to be 26.0%.
  • Full-year 2021 adjusted earnings per diluted share, excluding certain items, is estimated to be in the range of $17.00 to $17.50.
  • This 2021 guidance assumes an effective corporate tax rate on adjusted earnings of 24.7%.
  • Chemed’s 2020 reported adjusted earnings per diluted share was $18.08.

Headwinds

  • VITAS 2021 revenue, prior to Medicare Cap, is estimated to decline approximately 4.0% when compared to the prior year.
  • Average Daily Census in 2021 is estimated to decline approximately 5.0%.
  • Full-year Adjusted EBITDA margin, prior to Medicare Cap, is estimated to be 19.4%.
  • The guidance anticipates continued weak occupancy and corresponding weak referrals from senior housing for the first half of 2021.
  • We are currently estimating $10 million for Medicare Cap billing limitations in calendar year 2021.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

36 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.0%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-14.8%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%-0.1%+4.0%
Q4 2025-14.8%-9.1%-21.0%
Q3 2025+6.0%+0.4%+0.1%
Q1 2025-6.6%-1.8%-2.7%
Q4 2024+7.4%+7.7%+11.0%
Q3 2024-12.0%-12.7%-6.2%
Q2 2024-0.1%+2.4%+5.7%
Q1 2024-7.0%-8.1%-9.9%
Q4 2023+5.1%+2.6%+7.3%
Q3 2023+9.3%+10.9%+14.4%
Q2 2023-8.1%-8.0%-10.8%
Q1 2023-3.7%-2.2%-4.1%
Q4 2022+3.3%+1.7%+1.9%
Q3 2022+3.2%+4.1%+12.6%
Q2 2022-6.8%-9.2%-8.3%
Q1 2022-1.4%-1.0%+0.8%
Q4 2021+5.1%+5.8%+3.8%
Q3 2021+9.2%+9.0%+9.4%
Q2 2021-4.4%-0.4%-2.4%
Q1 2021+1.5%+2.3%+6.1%
Q4 2020-0.8%-6.7%-3.9%
Q3 2020+1.2%+3.5%+0.2%
Q2 2020+9.0%+10.3%+12.2%
Q1 2020-3.9%-6.5%+5.6%
Q4 2019+3.2%-1.2%-23.1%
Q3 2019-1.7%+0.6%+5.9%
Q2 2019+3.7%+8.1%+13.9%
Q1 2019-0.6%+0.7%+0.3%
Q4 2018+1.3%+2.8%+1.9%
Q3 2018+6.2%+6.6%+7.6%
Q2 2018+0.4%-2.5%+0.1%
Q1 2018+3.0%+3.3%+13.4%
Q4 2017+2.4%+2.1%+12.9%
Q3 2017+9.1%+5.0%+12.7%
Q2 2017-1.1%-2.3%-6.3%
Q1 2017+10.0%+9.4%+9.0%
Q4 2016+1.9%+2.0%+9.1%
Q3 2016-0.3%+1.8%+6.3%
Q2 2016+5.0%+3.0%-7.9%
Q1 2016-6.7%
Q4 2015-5.6%
Q3 2015+13.0%
Q2 2015+5.1%
Q1 2015-4.7%
Q4 2014+7.5%
Q3 2014-1.2%
Q2 2014+4.3%
Q1 2014-3.3%
Q4 2013+10.5%
Q3 2013-5.2%
Q2 2013-7.3%
Q1 2013+3.4%
Q4 2012+4.9%
Q3 2012-2.0%
Q2 2012+5.1%
Q1 2012+2.9%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+1.5%
Q2 2011-5.8%
Q1 2010-2.6%
Q1 2011+1.8%
Q4 2008-1.6%
Q4 2010-1.6%
Q3 2009+1.4%
Q3 2010+1.4%
Q2 2010-0.9%
Q2 2009-0.9%
Q4 2009-0.9%

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