NYSE$CFG

Citizens Financial Group Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Citizens Financial Group reported a decrease in net income and EPS due to a CECL-related reserve build tied to COVID-19 impacts, while experiencing record noninterest income and a strong CET1 ratio.

Citizens Financial Group's first quarter results were impacted by a significant CECL provision build due to COVID-19, although underlying performance remained strong. The company reported a net income of $34 million, or $0.03 per share. The company's CET1 ratio remained strong at 9.4% and tangible book value per share increased by 8% year over year.

  • Net income was $34 million, with EPS at $0.03, impacted by a CECL-related reserve build of $463 million due to COVID-19.
  • Underlying net income was $59 million, with EPS at $0.09, excluding notable items.
  • CET1 ratio remained strong at 9.4%.
  • Record noninterest income increased 16% year over year, driven by mortgage and wealth management.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.66B

Previous: $1.59B+4.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.03

Previous: $0.93-96.8%
Efficiency Ratio

61.1%

No prior period
Underlying Efficiency

59.1%

No prior period
Loan-to-Deposit Ratio

95.5%

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$34M

Previous: $439M-92.3%
Net Income

$34M

Previous: $439M-92.3%
Operating Income

$274M

Previous: $693M-60.5%
Gross Profit

$1.06B

Previous: $1.5B-29.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.44B

Previous: $1.09B+31.7%
Total Assets

$177B

Previous: $161B+9.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Citizens · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.66B

Q1 2020+4.3%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Citizens · $1.5B total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Consumer Banking
    $864M
  • Commercial Banking
    $636M

Forward guidance

Citizens Financial Group is focused on serving the needs of its customers and communities and is financially strong. The company will cease stock repurchases through December 31, 2020 to ensure capital remains strong.

Tailwinds

  • Citizens remains financially strong.
  • The company is focused on serving the needs of its customers, colleagues and communities.
  • The TOP 6 program is on track, with a target of approximately $300-$325 million in pre-tax run-rate benefit by year-end 2021.
  • The company is continuing to fund its major strategic initiatives.
  • Citizens is considering new opportunities arising from the current environment in an effort to drive higher customer and revenue growth coming out of the crisis.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19’s effect on the economy.
  • Some Q2 saves will be deferred until later in the year, to be offset by other expense actions.
  • The Company will cease stock repurchases through December 31, 2020.
  • The company recorded a $463 million reserve build under CECL tied to COVID-19 impacts.
  • Capital markets fees and foreign exchange and interest rate products reflect good underlying business performance, partially offset by COVID-19 impacts.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

69%

35 / 51 earnings

Positive

+18.1%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-8.2%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%+0.2%-6.7%
Q4 2025+7.1%+0.2%-6.7%
Q3 2025-0.2%-2.9%-0.2%
Q2 2025+1.4%-0.3%+6.7%
Q1 2025-1.8%-4.5%+15.8%
Q3 2024-3.1%-5.6%+7.6%
Q2 2024+2.9%+4.5%+4.1%
Q1 2024+1.5%+6.6%+14.7%
Q4 2023+1.3%+6.3%+1.2%
Q3 2023-8.2%-13.0%+2.5%
Q2 2023+7.2%+10.4%-4.8%
Q1 2023-4.5%-6.0%-14.0%
Q4 2022-2.0%-1.1%+2.6%
Q3 2022-2.8%+6.6%+9.4%
Q2 2022+1.1%+0.0%+6.9%
Q1 2022+7.5%+1.5%-8.6%
Q4 2021-6.3%-8.2%-4.3%
Q3 2021+0.7%+2.5%+1.0%
Q2 2021+6.8%+5.9%+1.7%
Q1 2021-0.2%-1.4%+13.0%
Q4 2020-4.7%-6.8%+4.1%
Q3 2020-4.5%-1.3%+13.8%
Q2 2020-3.1%+0.2%+1.8%
Q1 2020+18.1%+13.9%+15.9%
Q4 2019+1.3%+1.4%-2.3%
Q3 2019+1.6%+2.8%+8.5%
Q2 2019+5.7%+8.7%-6.4%
Q1 2019+2.0%+3.1%-0.7%
Q4 2018+3.8%+3.1%+8.3%
Q3 2018+2.4%+0.3%+3.8%
Q2 2018-0.3%-1.8%+0.1%
Q1 2018+1.6%+1.6%-0.7%
Q4 2017+4.5%+3.5%+0.4%
Q3 2017+2.9%+1.6%+2.0%
Q2 2017+0.6%-0.2%-6.2%
Q1 2017+2.0%+6.5%+1.0%
Q4 2016+3.3%+8.0%+9.0%
Q3 2016+3.1%+5.2%+25.1%
Q2 2016+2.3%+5.5%+10.6%
Q1 2016+1.1%
Q4 2015-7.2%
Q3 2015+3.2%
Q2 2014+2.0%
Q2 2015-3.3%
Q1 2014+0.5%
Q1 2015+2.4%
Q4 2013+0.2%
Q4 2014+1.9%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q4 2012+0.8%
Q3 2014+0.4%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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