NYSE$CDP

COPT Defense Properties · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced financial and operating results for the fourth quarter and full year, demonstrating resilience amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, with solid leasing activity and strategic capital transactions.

COPT reported a strong year despite COVID-19 challenges, with operations minimally impacted, as evidenced by a 99.7% rent collection rate. The company exceeded guidance for both fourth quarter and full-year FFO per share, adjusted for comparability. A record 1.8 million square feet of fully leased developments were placed in service, and the company executed 1 million square feet of new development leasing.

  • EPS of $0.87 for 2020 exceeded high end of guidance by 8 cents; FFO per share, as adjusted for comparability, of $2.12 represented 4.4% growth over 2019 results and exceeded high end of guidance by 2 cents.
  • Same-property cash NOI increased 1.6% during the year.
  • Core portfolio was 94.3% occupied and 95.0% leased.
  • Record 1.8 million SF of 99% leased developments were placed into service during 2020, with 1.5 million SF of active developments being 84% leased.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$140M

Previous: $132M+5.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.56

Previous: $0.50+12.0%
Same Property Cash NOI Growth

1.6%

Previous: 6.2%-74.2%
Adjusted EBITDA Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio

4.1

No prior period
Net Debt to In-Place Adjusted EBITDA Ratio

6.2

No prior period
Net Income

$83.5M

Previous: $44.9M+86.2%
Operating Income

$40.8M

Previous: $44.3M-7.9%
Gross Profit

$74.9M

Previous: $82.3M-9.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$18.4M

Previous: $14.7M+24.7%
Total Assets

$4.08B

Previous: $3.85B+5.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.75M

Previous: $1.74M+0.9%

Revenue & EPS history

COPT · Revenue · Quarterly

$140M

Q4 2020+5.8%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 2 of 2 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company expects incremental NOI from developments placed in service to drive solid FFO per share growth in 2021. The $2.19 midpoint of the 2021 initial guidance is a penny higher than the midpoint implied by the growth guideposts provided last October and reflects the ongoing strength of operations.

Tailwinds

  • Incremental NOI from developments placed in service.
  • Solid FFO per share growth.
  • Ongoing strength of operations.
  • Strong leasing activity.
  • High rent collection rate.

Headwinds

  • Challenges presented by the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Potential risks described in Item 1A of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019 and subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q.
  • Decrease in cash rents on renewed space.
  • Fluctuations in the real estate market.
  • Uncertainties in the economic outlook.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

42 / 69 earnings

Positive

+6.2%

Q2 2019

Best reaction

-6.4%

Q1 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.7%-4.1%+0.5%
Q4 2025+1.4%+1.2%+0.2%
Q3 2025+3.8%+5.4%+12.5%
Q2 2025+0.3%+1.0%+10.3%
Q1 2025-4.2%-0.5%+3.0%
Q4 2024-0.8%-5.5%-8.7%
Q3 2024+0.7%-1.1%+1.7%
Q2 2024+2.9%+2.2%+4.3%
Q1 2024+3.0%+4.4%+4.8%
Q4 2023+4.3%+4.4%+8.0%
Q3 2023+0.2%-0.5%+5.9%
Q2 2023-0.8%-1.5%-4.2%
Q1 2023+4.8%+5.9%+2.1%
Q4 2022-1.4%-0.6%-9.9%
Q3 2022+3.1%+4.4%+8.2%
Q2 2022+4.3%+1.0%-2.4%
Q1 2022-2.1%-1.8%+0.5%
Q4 2021+0.4%+0.5%+11.8%
Q3 2021-0.4%-0.2%-4.4%
Q2 2021-0.2%-3.4%-3.4%
Q1 2021-0.3%+1.5%-1.9%
Q4 2020+0.9%+1.2%-2.0%
Q3 2020+2.3%+6.0%+24.2%
Q2 2020-0.6%+2.0%-6.0%
Q1 2020-6.4%-7.0%-6.6%
Q4 2019-2.9%-2.4%-7.7%
Q3 2019-2.5%-0.5%-1.9%
Q2 2019+6.2%+3.2%+5.4%
Q1 2019+0.9%+1.7%-0.2%
Q4 2018+1.8%+2.7%+4.4%
Q3 2018-6.3%-8.7%-14.1%
Q2 2018+2.4%+1.9%+4.1%
Q1 2018+2.4%+2.7%+3.1%
Q4 2017+1.3%-2.0%+1.2%
Q3 2017+3.2%+2.5%+0.3%
Q2 2017-1.0%-2.8%-3.0%
Q1 2017+0.4%+1.1%-0.1%
Q4 2016+3.0%+2.9%+2.4%
Q3 2016-3.2%-4.3%+6.5%
Q2 2016+1.2%-0.4%-4.1%
Q1 2016+0.0%
Q4 2015+3.1%
Q3 2015-3.1%
Q2 2015-3.5%
Q1 2015-4.6%
Q4 2014+0.8%
Q3 2014+2.0%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2013+3.6%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013-4.6%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+0.4%
Q3 2012-3.0%
Q2 2012+0.4%
Q1 2012+0.5%
Q4 2008+0.3%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q3 2011-5.2%
Q2 2011-1.2%
Q1 2010-1.4%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010+0.5%
Q3 2010+1.0%
Q4 2009+1.0%
Q3 2009+1.0%
Q2 2009+3.5%
Q2 2010+3.5%

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