NYSE$CAT

Caterpillar · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Caterpillar reported Q1 2025 sales and revenues of $14.2B with profit of $2.0B and diluted EPS of $4.20.

Total sales and revenues fell 10% to $14.2 billion as lower volume and unfavorable price realization weighed on Machinery, Energy & Transportation. Profit of consolidated companies was $2.0 billion versus $2.9 billion a year ago; diluted EPS was $4.20. Dealer inventory changes and softer end-market demand drove the year-over-year decline.

  • Q1 sales and revenues $14.2B (-10% YoY).
  • Profit of consolidated companies $2.0B; diluted EPS $4.20.
  • Volume and price realization pressured all three primary segments.
  • Management expects Q2 2025 sales similar to Q2 2024 with mixed segment trends.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$14.2B

Previous: $15.8B-9.8%
EPS (adj)

$4.20

Previous: $5.75-27.0%
Adjusted Op. Margin

18.3%

No prior period
Cash to Shareholders

$4.3B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$710M

Previous: -$500M-42.0%
Net Income

$2B

Previous: $2.85B-29.8%
Operating Income

$2.58B

Previous: $3.52B-26.7%
Gross Profit

$4.96B

Previous: $6.14B-19.2%
R&D Expense

$480M

Previous: $520M-7.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Caterpillar · Revenue · Quarterly

$14.2B

Q1 2025-9.8%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Caterpillar · $18.2B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Construction Industries
    $7B+11.5%
  • Power & Energy
    $6.86B+10.9%
  • Resource Industries
    $3.35B+8.6%
  • Financial Products
    $979M+19.5%

Forward guidance

Industrial outlook ties to end-market demand, pricing, and project backlog.

Tailwinds

  • Infrastructure and data-center related demand in select end markets.
  • Cost discipline and productivity initiatives.

Headwinds

  • Dealer inventory and macro uncertainty may pressure volumes.
  • Input costs and FX can affect margins.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

34 / 73 earnings

Positive

+11.6%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-12.7%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.7%+11.7%+7.8%
Q4 2025+2.8%+9.3%+15.5%
Q3 2025+11.6%+8.8%+9.8%
Q2 2025-1.5%-5.9%-2.6%
Q1 2025+0.6%+5.1%+13.2%
Q4 2024-4.6%-8.0%-12.5%
Q3 2024-2.9%-2.8%+4.8%
Q2 2024+2.8%+6.8%+5.3%
Q1 2024-5.5%-8.0%-4.0%
Q4 2023+2.4%+0.7%+6.5%
Q3 2023-4.3%-0.6%+3.5%
Q2 2023+8.4%+4.3%+6.0%
Q1 2023+1.2%-0.5%-2.0%
Q4 2022-4.6%-5.3%-3.6%
Q3 2022+11.4%+10.9%+19.7%
Q2 2022-6.2%-4.9%-6.4%
Q1 2022-1.6%-0.2%+1.5%
Q4 2021-5.0%-3.4%-11.8%
Q3 2021+4.0%+5.6%+1.3%
Q2 2021-3.5%-3.8%+0.1%
Q1 2021-1.8%+0.5%+3.8%
Q4 2020+0.2%+3.9%+17.1%
Q3 2020-7.4%-3.8%+7.0%
Q2 2020-3.6%-1.3%+5.0%
Q1 2020+4.2%-3.7%+4.8%
Q4 2019-4.1%+1.5%-8.2%
Q3 2019+0.1%+4.8%+7.6%
Q2 2019-2.5%-2.6%-17.4%
Q1 2019-4.2%-2.1%-13.5%
Q4 2018-7.5%-4.3%+2.0%
Q3 2018-12.7%-10.6%-3.8%
Q2 2018+0.9%-2.8%-0.5%
Q1 2018-5.7%-6.0%+2.4%
Q4 2017-0.8%-2.7%-3.5%
Q3 2017+3.9%+4.7%+4.8%
Q2 2017+4.9%+5.5%+6.1%
Q1 2017+8.1%+5.6%+8.5%
Q4 2016+0.9%-2.5%-2.7%
Q3 2016-2.2%-2.5%+11.9%
Q2 2016+6.9%+5.2%+5.3%
Q1 2016-2.4%
Q4 2015+6.7%
Q3 2015+3.0%
Q2 2015-4.6%
Q1 2015-0.3%
Q4 2014-7.0%
Q3 2014+5.1%
Q2 2014-3.3%
Q1 2014+1.3%
Q4 2013+7.3%
Q3 2013-5.2%
Q2 2013-4.0%
Q1 2013+4.6%
Q4 2012+3.2%
Q3 2012-0.3%
Q2 2012+2.3%
Q1 2012-3.7%
Q4 2011+1.6%
Q3 2011-1.0%
Q2 2011-5.5%
Q1 2011+2.3%
Q4 2008-5.5%
Q4 2010-5.5%
Q3 2010+4.6%
Q2 2010+1.9%
Q1 2010-2.0%
Q1 2009-2.0%
Q4 2009+0.4%
Q4 2007+0.4%
Q3 2008-3.1%
Q3 2009-3.1%
Q2 2008+1.9%
Q2 2009+1.9%

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