NYSE$BWA

BorgWarner Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

BorgWarner's Q3 2024 performance reflected a decrease in net sales, but an increase in adjusted earnings per share due to strong operational performance, cost controls, and share repurchases.

BorgWarner reported a 5% decrease in net sales to $3,449 million for Q3 2024, primarily due to declining market production volumes. However, adjusted earnings per diluted share increased to $1.09, driven by strong operational performance, cost controls, customer recoveries, a lower effective tax rate, and share repurchases. The company increased its full-year adjusted operating margin and EPS guidance while reducing its net sales guidance.

  • Achieved an adjusted operating margin of 10.1% and a U.S. GAAP operating margin of 7.8%.
  • Generated net cash provided by operating activities of $356 million and free cash flow of $201 million.
  • Increased the midpoint of full-year adjusted operating margin guidance by 20 basis points and adjusted earnings per share guidance by approximately $0.18 or 4% per diluted share.
  • Completed the repurchase of $300 million of the Company’s outstanding shares during the third quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to $400 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.45B

Previous: $3.62B-4.8%
EPS

$1.04

Previous: $0.98+6.1%
Adjusted Operating Margin

10.1%

Previous: 9.6%+5.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$155M

Previous: -$104M-49.0%
Free Cash Flow

$234M

Previous: $50M+368.0%
Net Income

$234M

Previous: $50M+368.0%
Operating Income

$270M

Previous: $272M-0.7%
Gross Profit

$636M

Previous: $652M-2.5%
Total Assets

$15.1B

Previous: $14.1B+7.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$17M

Previous: $16M+6.3%

Revenue & EPS history

BorgWarner · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.45B

Q3 2024-4.8%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company has updated full year sales, margin, and EPS guidance. Net sales for 2024 are expected to be in the range of $14.0 billion to $14.2 billion. Adjusted operating margin is expected to be in the range of 9.8% to 10.0%. Adjusted net earnings are expected to be in the range of $4.15 to $4.30 per diluted share. Free cash flow is expected to be in the range of $475 million to $575 million.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales for 2024 are expected to be in the range of $14.0 billion to $14.2 billion.
  • The Company expects its 2024 eProduct sales to be approximately $2.4 billion, up from approximately $2.0 billion in 2023.
  • Adjusted operating margin is expected to be in the range of 9.8% to 10.0%.
  • Adjusted net earnings are expected to be in the range of $4.15 to $4.30 per diluted share.
  • Full-year operating cash flow is expected to be in the range of $1,325 million to $1,375 million, while free cash flow is expected to be in the range of $475 million to $575 million.

Headwinds

  • The Company reduced its full year mid-point net sales guidance by $150 million primarily due to a lower market production outlook.
  • The Company expects its weighted light and commercial vehicle markets to be in the range of down 3.5% to down 3% year-over-year in 2024, a decrease from the Company’s prior guidance of down 3% to down 2%.
  • The Company’s sales guidance implies a year-over-year decrease in organic sales of approximately (1.5)% to flat.
  • Foreign currencies are expected to result in a year-over-year decrease in sales of approximately $20 million.
  • Potential disruptions in the global economy caused by wars or other geopolitical conflicts.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

39 / 72 earnings

Positive

+22.5%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-11.1%

Q2 2008

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%+10.2%+26.9%
Q4 2025+22.5%+16.3%-6.3%
Q3 2025+3.2%+3.0%+0.5%
Q1 2025+4.7%+12.5%+11.4%
Q4 2024-3.0%-5.6%-4.4%
Q3 2024-0.3%+1.4%+2.3%
Q2 2024+4.9%-0.2%+5.0%
Q1 2024+10.9%+12.0%+8.5%
Q4 2023-6.0%-8.2%-5.3%
Q3 2023-10.1%-12.1%-8.5%
Q2 2023-10.9%-8.8%-11.1%
Q1 2023-4.0%-4.2%+2.6%
Q4 2022+3.6%+6.6%+2.8%
Q3 2022+3.5%+2.1%+15.6%
Q2 2022-0.5%-0.3%-4.0%
Q1 2022-0.1%-3.5%+3.0%
Q4 2021+5.8%+1.9%-10.3%
Q3 2021-1.0%-0.6%-6.7%
Q2 2021-5.8%-7.7%-12.6%
Q1 2021+7.7%+9.1%+12.3%
Q4 2020-3.9%+0.2%+15.2%
Q3 2020-4.6%-0.8%+7.8%
Q2 2020+4.1%+9.0%+13.2%
Q1 2020+3.3%+8.5%+38.3%
Q4 2019-1.5%-1.0%-26.0%
Q3 2019+11.2%+14.9%+7.2%
Q2 2019-7.8%-10.4%-27.3%
Q1 2019-2.4%-4.1%-18.2%
Q4 2018+3.8%+3.5%-6.4%
Q3 2018+6.3%+8.7%+10.3%
Q2 2018+4.1%+4.5%+0.9%
Q1 2018-6.2%-8.3%-2.7%
Q4 2017-4.3%-4.9%-6.3%
Q3 2017+2.3%+2.1%+2.4%
Q2 2017+2.3%-0.1%-3.7%
Q1 2017+3.0%-0.4%-0.2%
Q4 2016+2.9%+2.6%+3.3%
Q3 2016+0.7%-0.3%+0.8%
Q2 2016-3.0%-6.1%-1.6%
Q1 2016-7.0%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015-6.0%
Q2 2015-5.2%
Q1 2015-2.3%
Q4 2014+3.7%
Q3 2014+0.3%
Q2 2014-5.6%
Q1 2014-2.4%
Q4 2013+4.5%
Q3 2013-1.7%
Q2 2013+0.4%
Q1 2013+3.7%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2012+4.9%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2012-0.9%
Q4 2011+2.2%
Q3 2011-0.2%
Q2 2011+11.1%
Q1 2011+3.1%
Q4 2009+7.4%
Q4 2010+7.4%
Q3 2010+3.7%
Q2 2010+8.5%
Q1 2009+8.5%
Q1 2010+5.4%
Q4 2007+1.1%
Q3 2008-3.1%
Q3 2009-3.1%
Q4 2008-11.1%
Q2 2009-11.1%
Q2 2008-11.1%

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