NYSE$BUR

Burford Capital Ltd · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · Before market open

Briefing

Burford Capital Ltd reported lower fourth quarter 2025 results with reduced capital provision income and a net loss driven by unrealized fair value adjustments and higher finance costs.

In Q4 2025, Burford generated lower revenues compared to the prior year period, with capital provision income declining due to fewer large realizations and higher unrealized losses. The company reported a net loss and negative operating income for the quarter.

  • Total revenues were 33412000, down from 93025000 in Q4 2024.
  • Capital provision income was 41065000 on a consolidated basis.
  • Net loss was 50000000 for Q4 2025.
  • Operating loss before other expenses reflected fair value reductions and lower realizations.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$33.4M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

-$0.17

No prior period
Net Income

-$50M

No prior period
Operating Income

-$12.7M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Burford Capital Ltd · Revenue · Quarterly

$33.4M

Q4 2025
Beat estimate in 1 of 3 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company highlighted continued portfolio growth, strong new business commitments and expectations for future monetization of YPF-related assets, while acknowledging litigation duration risk and fair value volatility.

Tailwinds

  • New definitive commitments increased 39% year over year.
  • Modeled realizations grew to 5200000000.
  • Cash receipts remained strong at 530000000 for FY25.
  • Portfolio base expanded 20% year over year.
  • YPF-related assets positioned for potential significant recovery.

Headwinds

  • Unrealized fair value losses impacted quarterly earnings.
  • Extended case durations reduced near-term income.
  • Finance costs increased year over year.
  • Realizations were lower than prior year due to fewer large wins.
  • Net loss reported for Q4 2025.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 5 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

-1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-10.3%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

4 / 6 earnings

Positive

+1.7%

Q2 2025

Best reaction

-11.1%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.4%-12.4%
Q4 2025-11.1%-10.8%-56.8%
Q3 2025+0.2%-4.1%+2.7%
Q2 2025+1.7%+8.0%+4.5%
Q1 2025+1.3%+3.2%-3.7%
Q4 2024+0.2%+2.8%+1.8%

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