NYSE$BLSH

Bullish · Q2 2025 earnings

Q2 2025 earnings ·

Briefing

Bullish reported a Q2 2025 net loss of $6 million, with subscription revenue surpassing transaction revenue for the first time.

Bullish saw strong growth in its subscriptions and services revenue, outpacing transaction revenues, though it posted a net loss of $6 million. Adjusted EBITDA was positive at $8.1 million.

  • Subscriptions and services revenue reached $31.9 million, exceeding transaction revenue.
  • Adjusted net loss was $6 million for the quarter.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $8.1 million with a 14% margin.
  • Operating expenses remained nearly flat QoQ at $48.9 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$57M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

-$0.06

No prior period
Net Income

-$6M

No prior period
Operating Income

$8.1M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Bullish · Revenue · Quarterly

$57M

Q2 2025
Beat estimate in 2 of 2 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Bullish · $76.5M total across 2 segments · Q3 2025

  • Subscription, services and other (within adjusted revenue)
    $49.8M
  • Adjusted transaction revenue
    $26.7M

Forward guidance

Bullish expects a rebound in Q3 2025 with significantly improved adjusted EBITDA and net income, driven by higher subscriptions and lower operating expenses.

Tailwinds

  • Guiding $76M–$69M in adjusted revenue for Q3 2025.
  • Adjusted EBITDA projected to rise to $25M–$28M.
  • Net income expected to turn positive: $12M–$17M.
  • Strong subscription momentum projected to continue.
  • Lower adjusted operating expenses expected: $44M–$48M.

Headwinds

  • Trading volume projected to decline to $133B–$142B.
  • Adjusted transaction revenue expected to remain below Q1 levels.
  • Lower spot market activity compared to Q1 2025.
  • Perpetual volume continues to trail spot.
  • Ongoing margin pressures in trading revenue segments.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 2 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

-3.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+12.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+19.3%

Avg return

30 days after

25%

1 / 4 earnings

Positive

+5.8%

Q2 2025

Best reaction

-8.5%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-5.7%-13.3%
Q4 2025-8.5%+17.8%+28.5%
Q3 2025-3.6%+9.9%+18.1%
Q2 2025+5.8%+34.5%+11.1%

Discussion

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