NYSE$BKSY

Blacksky Technology Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Blacksky reported a revenue increase of 6% year-over-year, driven by growth in imagery and software analytical services. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2024 guidance and is preparing for the launch of its first Gen-3 satellite.

BlackSky reported a 6% increase in revenue for Q3 2024, reaching $22.5 million. The company secured new contracts valued up to $780 million year-to-date and is progressing with the launch of its first Gen-3 satellite. They are maintaining full year 2024 revenue guidance of $102 million to $118 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance of $8 million to $16 million.

  • Revenue increased by 6% year-over-year to $22.5 million.
  • Imagery and software analytical services revenue grew by 13% year-over-year.
  • The company secured new awards valued up to $780 million year-to-date.
  • The first Gen-3 satellite is completing final pre-ship testing.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$22.5M

Previous: $21.3M+6.1%
EPS

-$0.66

Previous: -$0.96+31.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$700K

Previous: -$400K+275.0%
Cost of Sales %

29.0%

Previous: 32.0%-9.4%
Cash Operating Expenses

$15.6M

Previous: $15.4M+1.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$12.3M

Previous: -$7.53M-63.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$24.9M

Previous: -$15.8M-57.5%
Net Income

-$12.6M

Previous: $700K-1898.7%
Operating Income

-$13.2M

Previous: -$14.5M+8.9%
Gross Profit

$630K

Previous: $14.5M-95.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$56.2M

Previous: $32.1M+74.7%
Total Assets

$245M

Previous: $213M+15.3%
R&D Expense

$43K

Previous: $133K-67.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.52M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Blacksky · Revenue · Quarterly

$22.5M

Q3 2024+6.1%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Blacksky · $21.3M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Space-based Intelligence & AI
    $15.3M+2.1%
  • Mission Solutions
    $6M+208.6%

Forward guidance

BlackSky maintains its outlook for full year 2024 revenue of between $102 million and $118 million, and full year 2024 adjusted EBITDA of between $8 million and $16 million. The Company maintains its expectations for full year 2024 capital expenditures of between $55 million and $65 million, primarily driven by investments in its Gen-3 satellites.

Tailwinds

  • Ramping up revenues from recent contract awards
  • Working on sizable new and expansion contracts
  • Full year 2024 revenue outlook between $102 million and $118 million
  • Full year 2024 adjusted EBITDA outlook between $8 million and $16 million
  • Full year 2024 capital expenditures between $55 million and $65 million

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty surrounding the timing of close and start of revenue recognition
  • Long and unpredictable sales cycles
  • Customer demand may vary
  • Ability to estimate resources for fixed-price contracts
  • Expenses and other operational and liquidity needs

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-2.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

17%

4 / 24 earnings

Positive

+31.5%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-24.2%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-20.6%-0.7%-14.2%
Q4 2025-0.2%+12.5%+15.4%
Q3 2025-11.5%-14.4%-2.6%
Q1 2025+31.5%+35.5%+47.6%
Q4 2024-24.2%-31.1%-48.4%
Q3 2024+6.3%-6.3%+42.1%
Q2 2024+11.5%+10.4%-16.7%
Q1 2024-4.7%-8.7%-18.1%
Q4 2023-13.4%-7.9%-17.1%
Q3 2023-1.7%-3.3%+11.7%
Q2 2023-10.9%-14.7%-31.0%
Q1 2023+6.0%+10.3%+47.0%
Q4 2022-11.9%-24.4%-28.5%
Q3 2022-5.0%-4.4%+16.1%
Q2 2022-0.8%-1.2%-17.3%
Q1 2022-1.7%+4.2%+76.5%
Q4 2021-6.6%-2.3%-30.2%
Q3 2021-7.9%-5.9%-21.8%
Q2 2021-0.1%+0.4%-0.4%
Q1 2021+0.0%+0.0%+0.4%
Q4 2020-0.5%-1.1%-3.4%
Q3 2020-0.2%-0.2%+2.0%
Q1 2020-1.3%-0.5%+0.7%
Q2 2020+0.0%+0.1%-1.9%
Q3 2019

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