NYSE$AVNT

Avient Corporation · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Avient's Q3 2023 earnings exceeded guidance due to favorable margins and reduced interest expense, offsetting lower sales, and the company updated its full-year adjusted EPS guidance while maintaining free cash flow expectations.

Avient Corporation reported third quarter sales of $754 million compared to $823 million in the prior year. Third quarter GAAP and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.06 and $0.57, respectively, compared to ($0.30) and $0.59 in the prior year. The company updated its full year sales and adjusted EPS guidance to $3.13 billion and $2.30, respectively, to reflect current projections as well as weaker foreign exchange. For the fourth quarter, the adjusted EPS guidance of $0.47 represents a 12% increase versus the prior year.

  • Adjusted EPS of $0.57 exceeds guidance of $0.56 as a result of favorable margins and reduced interest expense offsetting lower than projected sales.
  • Fourth quarter and full year adjusted EPS guidance updated to $0.47 and $2.30, respectively; full year free cash flow expectation maintained at $180 million.
  • Destocking appears to be nearing an end in many end markets; fourth quarter adjusted EPS projected to be 12% higher than prior year.
  • The company paid down $100 million of debt and refinanced its Term Loan during the third quarter, reducing the interest rate and extending certain maturities from 2026 to 2029.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$754M

Previous: $823M-8.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.57

Previous: $0.59-3.4%
Adjusted Gross Margin

31.2%

Previous: 23.7%+31.6%
Adjusted Operating Margin

10.0%

Previous: 9.8%+2.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$75M

Previous: -$55.1M-36.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$69.9M

Previous: -$65.4M-6.9%
Net Income

$5.1M

Previous: -$10.3M+149.5%
Operating Income

$34.3M

Previous: $40.6M-15.5%
Gross Profit

$195M

Previous: $195M-0.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$440M

Previous: $544M-19.3%
Total Assets

$5.79B

Previous: $6.31B-8.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.2M

Previous: $3.2M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Avient · Revenue · Quarterly

$754M

Q3 2023-8.5%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Avient · $754M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Color, Additives and Inks
    $487M-14.0%
  • Specialty Engineered Materials
    $268M+3.8%
  • Corporate
    -$700K

Forward guidance

The company updated its full year sales and adjusted EPS guidance to $3.13 billion and $2.30, respectively, to reflect current projections as well as weaker foreign exchange. For the fourth quarter, the adjusted EPS guidance of $0.47 represents a 12% increase versus the prior year.

Tailwinds

  • Fourth quarter adjusted EPS projected to be 12% higher than prior year.
  • Margin expansion is now more than offsetting weak demand conditions in Europe.
  • Earnings momentum is positive as we look ahead to next year.
  • The refinancing and debt reduction will result in $10 million of annual interest expense savings.
  • The company continues to generate strong cash flow from operations.

Headwinds

  • Weaker foreign exchange.
  • We are not seeing a recovery in demand as we had initially modeled for the fourth quarter.
  • Lower sales.
  • Certain end markets continued to perform relatively well, such as energy, transportation and defense, whereas demand in most other markets remained weak versus the prior year.
  • GAAP EPS includes special items primarily related to environmental costs and amortization expense.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+12.7%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-19.7%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.2%-6.8%-10.4%
Q4 2025+2.4%+5.3%-16.1%
Q3 2025-0.1%-5.3%-1.9%
Q1 2025+4.9%+8.2%+6.9%
Q4 2024+2.9%+5.9%-3.5%
Q3 2024-4.9%-0.7%+5.6%
Q2 2024+6.3%+9.5%+13.2%
Q1 2024+1.5%+2.3%+1.4%
Q4 2023+9.5%+7.8%+13.4%
Q3 2023+8.0%+3.4%+12.9%
Q2 2023-4.1%-2.5%-9.8%
Q1 2023-3.0%+1.6%+3.4%
Q4 2022+8.8%+11.0%-1.7%
Q3 2022-19.7%-16.2%+1.9%
Q2 2022-1.0%-1.2%+7.9%
Q1 2022+11.0%+8.1%-2.6%
Q4 2021+8.8%+8.0%+0.7%
Q3 2021+0.7%+2.8%+7.3%
Q2 2021-2.6%-5.3%+7.7%
Q1 2021+3.6%+5.9%+3.5%
Q4 2020-0.5%+4.5%+16.4%
Q3 2020-3.6%+1.5%+15.3%
Q2 2020-2.2%-1.0%+0.8%
Q1 2020+1.8%+8.9%+22.6%
Q4 2019+5.1%-2.1%-28.0%
Q3 2019+3.0%+1.6%-0.3%
Q2 2019+1.0%+3.8%-3.9%
Q1 2019-7.5%-8.9%-15.4%
Q4 2018+1.2%+0.1%+1.3%
Q3 2018-12.5%-11.6%-6.2%
Q2 2018-2.4%-1.1%-3.7%
Q1 2018-2.1%-6.4%-3.3%
Q4 2017-4.9%-4.5%-7.2%
Q3 2017+7.7%+6.4%+8.0%
Q2 2017-5.5%-6.0%-7.3%
Q1 2017+4.9%+3.5%+0.9%
Q4 2016+3.2%+4.6%+3.5%
Q3 2016-5.6%-6.3%+5.5%
Q2 2016-5.5%-5.1%-9.3%
Q1 2016+12.7%
Q4 2015-1.7%
Q3 2015+0.1%
Q2 2015-10.6%
Q1 2015+1.8%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+0.7%
Q1 2014-1.1%
Q4 2013+6.2%
Q3 2013+0.9%
Q2 2013+5.4%
Q1 2013+5.1%
Q4 2012-3.5%
Q3 2012+8.1%
Q2 2012-0.9%
Q1 2012+2.7%
Q4 2011-2.7%
Q4 2009-2.7%
Q3 2010-12.6%
Q3 2011-12.6%
Q2 2011-8.7%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q1 2010+0.9%
Q2 2010+0.9%
Q1 2011+0.9%

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