NYSE$ATIP

ATI Physical Therapy Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ATI Physical Therapy's financial performance improved with increased revenue and Adjusted EBITDA compared to Q3 2023. However, liquidity concerns remain.

ATI Physical Therapy reported a 7.1% increase in net revenue to $190.0 million for Q3 2024, compared to $177.5 million in Q3 2023. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 28.8% to $12.1 million. The company's liquidity position requires additional capital or financing to fund operations.

  • Net revenue increased by 7.1% year-over-year, reaching $190.0 million.
  • Visits per Day (VPD) increased by 6.1% to 24,860.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 28.8% to $12.1 million, with a margin of 6.4%.
  • The company is projecting Q4 revenue to be in the range of $182 million to $192 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$190M

Previous: $177M+7.1%
EPS (adj)

-$9.46

Previous: -$4.36-117.0%
Visits per Day

24.9K

Previous: 23.4K+6.1%
VPD per Clinic

28.3

Previous: 25.9+9.3%
Rate per Visit

$109.83

Previous: $109.90-0.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.62M

Previous: -$4.6M+21.3%
Net Income

-$32.9M

Previous: -$14.6M-125.3%
Operating Income

$1.13M

Previous: -$764K+247.8%
Gross Profit

$27.5M

Previous: $24.9M+10.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.28M

Previous: $2.28M-0.3%

Revenue & EPS history

ATI · Revenue · Quarterly

$190M

Q3 2024+7.1%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 7 of 14 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ATI · $177M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Net Patient Revenue
    $162M+14.0%
  • Other Revenue
    $15.2M+5.0%

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter of 2024, ATI expects net revenue to be in the range of $182 million to $192 million and Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $9 million to $14 million.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipates continued growth in patient visits through 2024.
  • Focus on commercial strategies.
  • Focus on people strategies.
  • Focus on operations strategies.
  • Projecting Q4 revenue between $182 million and $192 million

Headwinds

  • Liquidity position requires additional capital or financing.
  • Uncertainty regarding the company's ability to continue as a going concern.
  • Dependence on governmental and third-party private payors for reimbursement.
  • Competition in a rapidly changing industry.
  • Potential for adverse findings from inspections, reviews, audits, and investigations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 16 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-4.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-13.0%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

9 / 18 earnings

Positive

+50.0%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-43.8%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+4.5%+0.0%-5.6%
Q3 2024-43.8%-53.5%-81.8%
Q2 2024-7.3%-4.9%-8.6%
Q1 2024+1.1%-13.0%-27.9%
Q4 2023+7.9%+2.8%-13.0%
Q3 2023+4.7%-4.5%-9.5%
Q2 2023+2.0%+15.5%+20.1%
Q1 2023-0.3%-2.3%+1.9%
Q4 2022+50.0%+36.0%+8.8%
Q3 2022-37.2%-37.4%-73.4%
Q2 2022-7.1%-15.2%-5.4%
Q1 2022+2.7%-2.1%-10.6%
Q4 2021-9.2%-8.2%-4.6%
Q4 2019-9.2%-8.2%-4.6%
Q3 2021+27.6%+29.5%+19.2%
Q2 2021-6.3%-6.6%-12.4%
Q1 2021+0.1%
Q4 2020-0.5%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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