NYSE$AMG

Affiliated Managers Group · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

AMG reported EPS of $0.46 and Economic EPS of $4.52 in fourth quarter

AMG reported Economic earnings per share of $4.52 and year-over-year EBITDA growth of 5%, reflecting strong Affiliate investment performance and related performance fees. Net client cash flows of ($11.3) billion were driven primarily by certain quantitative strategies and seasonal client redemptions.

  • AMG reported Economic earnings per share of $4.52.
  • Year-over-year EBITDA growth was 5%.
  • Net client cash flows were ($11.3) billion.
  • The company repurchased $110 million in common stock during the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$556M

Previous: $564M-1.6%
EPS (adj)

$4.52

Previous: $3.53+28.0%
Total AUM

$723B

Previous: $736B-1.8%
Average AUM

$720B

Previous: $776B-7.2%
Aggregate Fees

$1.42B

Previous: $1.23B+15.1%
Capital Expenditures

$3.2M

Previous: $5.2M-38.5%
Net Income

$22.5M

Previous: -$151M+114.9%
Operating Income

$94.3M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$556M

Previous: $565M-1.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$27.5M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

AMG · Revenue · Quarterly

$556M

Q4 2019-1.6%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Looking ahead, we are well-positioned to generate growth over time, given our Affiliates’ strong long-term performance records — particularly in fundamental and relative value strategies — along with their business momentum in growing areas such as private markets, wealth management, and fixed income.

Tailwinds

  • Affiliates’ strong long-term performance records
  • Business momentum in growing areas
  • Investment in growth opportunities
  • Advancing discussions with prospective Affiliates
  • Commitment to returning excess capital to shareholders

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

32 / 68 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-15.1%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.6%-1.6%+9.8%
Q4 2025+6.8%+4.8%-11.7%
Q3 2025+8.3%+9.0%+14.1%
Q1 2025+3.3%+4.1%+4.0%
Q4 2024+0.2%-5.2%-12.5%
Q3 2024-8.3%-4.6%-4.0%
Q2 2024+4.4%-4.2%-3.3%
Q1 2024-3.0%-1.7%-1.2%
Q4 2023+3.0%+4.2%+6.2%
Q3 2023+1.7%+3.5%+6.7%
Q2 2023-13.5%-14.2%-18.6%
Q1 2023-0.8%-1.9%-3.7%
Q4 2022-3.8%-6.0%-11.0%
Q3 2022+16.0%+24.2%+27.5%
Q2 2022+1.5%+2.7%+0.8%
Q1 2022+3.6%+2.7%+4.7%
Q4 2021+0.4%-2.8%-11.0%
Q3 2021+12.1%+10.8%-0.3%
Q2 2021-5.2%-4.6%+4.0%
Q1 2021+1.1%+7.7%+3.2%
Q4 2020+26.4%+31.6%+25.3%
Q3 2020-3.2%-5.1%+14.3%
Q2 2020-0.9%-2.1%+0.1%
Q1 2020+13.0%+7.8%+20.2%
Q4 2019+2.8%+2.1%-5.5%
Q3 2019+8.7%+6.2%+11.1%
Q2 2019-3.6%-9.9%-16.7%
Q1 2019-15.1%-14.8%-20.5%
Q4 2018+4.8%-0.1%+1.4%
Q3 2018-0.3%+1.1%-1.5%
Q2 2018+5.9%+0.7%-2.0%
Q1 2018-3.5%-4.9%-5.4%
Q4 2017-5.8%-8.6%-12.2%
Q3 2017-2.2%-2.8%+4.2%
Q2 2017+4.1%+1.1%-2.6%
Q1 2017-6.5%-6.6%-7.1%
Q4 2016+5.5%+9.5%+17.2%
Q3 2016-2.5%-4.0%+7.4%
Q2 2016-3.9%-0.3%-3.2%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015-7.4%
Q3 2015-6.3%
Q2 2015+0.1%
Q1 2015+1.2%
Q4 2014-2.2%
Q3 2014-3.9%
Q2 2014-0.5%
Q1 2014+10.3%
Q4 2013-0.1%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q2 2013+4.5%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012-0.3%
Q3 2012+5.8%
Q2 2012+2.2%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2011+2.0%
Q3 2011-0.6%
Q2 2011+2.7%
Q1 2010+0.0%
Q1 2011+2.2%
Q4 2008-2.1%
Q4 2010-2.1%
Q3 2009-0.1%
Q3 2010-0.1%
Q2 2009-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q2 2010-0.8%

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