NYSE$AIV

Apartment Investment and Management Co · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced first quarter results for 2023 and provided highlights on recent activities.

Aimco reported strong first quarter results with revenue and NOI up 11.4% and 13.1% respectively over the prior year, driven by solid performance in stabilized operating properties and progress in development projects.

  • Stabilized operating properties saw revenue increase by 11.4%, expenses by 7.6%, and NOI by 13.1% year-over-year.
  • The Hamilton in Miami, Florida, was completed and is 90% leased at rental rates above initial projections.
  • The company invested approximately $6 million in planning and entitlement of future development opportunities.
  • Aimco repurchased 2.0 million shares of its common stock at a weighted average price of $7.27 per share in the first quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$44.3M

Previous: $50M-11.5%
EPS (adj)

-$0.06

Previous: $0.05-220.0%
Average Daily Occupancy

98.0%

Previous: 98.5%-0.5%
Avg Revenue per Home

$2.23K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$112M

Previous: -$97.1M-15.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$121M

Previous: -$89.1M-36.0%
Net Income

-$8.82M

Previous: $8.1M-208.9%
Operating Income

$2.09M

Previous: -$1.82M+215.0%
Gross Profit

$44.3M

Previous: $50M-11.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$166M

Previous: $109M+52.4%
Total Assets

$2.19B

Previous: $2.59B-15.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.52M

Previous: $2.67M+69.4%

Revenue & EPS history

AIMCO · Revenue · Quarterly

$44.3M

Q1 2023-11.5%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 5 of 8 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Aimco provided its 2023 full year forecast, including projections for net income (loss) per share, direct project costs, and operating property performance.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue growth before utility reimbursements is expected to be between 5.0% and 7.0%.
  • Net Operating Income growth is projected to be between 5.0% and 7.0%.
  • The company anticipates dispositions of $220 million.
  • Active projects remain on budget and on track to produce more than $55 million of annual NOI upon their stabilization.
  • Aimco maintains considerable optionality in regard to its development pipeline given the ability to extract value, and maximize risk adjusted returns, at various points in the pre-development process.

Headwinds

  • Net income (loss) per share – diluted is forecasted to be between $(0.33) and $(0.23).
  • Planning Costs are expected to be between $20 million and $25 million.
  • General and Administrative expenses are projected to be between $33 million and $35 million.
  • Interest Expense, net of capitalization is expected to be between $38 million and $41 million.
  • Operating Expense Growth, net of utility reimbursements is projected to be between 5.25% and 7.25%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

25 / 50 earnings

Positive

+11.0%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-9.7%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.4%-1.2%-31.8%
Q4 2025+3.2%-21.3%-29.2%
Q3 2025+6.0%+5.2%+6.7%
Q1 2025-1.5%-0.3%+4.3%
Q4 2024+0.1%+1.3%-3.1%
Q3 2024-1.6%-0.8%+0.0%
Q2 2024-2.6%-2.5%-0.7%
Q1 2024-1.2%-1.9%-3.5%
Q4 2023-6.9%-7.4%+1.9%
Q3 2023+1.3%-0.2%+12.3%
Q2 2023+0.9%+1.0%-7.3%
Q1 2023+3.4%+9.8%+12.0%
Q4 2022-3.2%-0.9%-9.2%
Q3 2022-3.5%+3.1%+7.9%
Q2 2022+8.4%+13.2%+14.7%
Q1 2022-9.7%-3.2%+4.0%
Q4 2021+2.5%+2.5%+2.5%
Q3 2021-0.4%+1.4%+0.3%
Q2 2021-1.5%-1.9%+2.4%
Q1 2021+4.2%+3.6%+5.9%
Q4 2020+11.0%+12.0%+22.4%
Q3 2020+5.6%-10.7%+1.9%
Q2 2020-5.8%-4.6%-5.5%
Q1 2020+5.0%-1.7%+17.2%
Q4 2019-0.6%+0.3%-9.8%
Q3 2019+1.2%-1.8%-1.5%
Q2 2019+1.4%+1.0%+2.9%
Q1 2019+1.4%-0.5%+1.2%
Q4 2018+0.6%+0.4%+0.4%
Q3 2018+1.1%+4.1%+9.4%
Q2 2018+2.4%+1.5%+2.4%
Q1 2018-0.2%-0.5%+1.3%
Q4 2017-3.1%-5.3%-8.2%
Q3 2017+1.5%+0.6%+2.4%
Q2 2017+3.1%+3.9%+4.3%
Q1 2017-2.5%-3.8%-3.7%
Q4 2016+2.8%+3.4%+5.0%
Q3 2016-0.6%+1.2%-4.8%
Q2 2016+5.0%+3.1%+1.2%
Q1 2016-0.4%
Q4 2015-6.6%
Q3 2015-4.4%
Q2 2015-1.4%
Q1 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014-2.7%
Q3 2014+4.4%
Q2 2014-2.2%
Q1 2014+1.7%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013-1.3%

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