NYSE$AIR

Aar Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

AAR Corp's Q4 2022 earnings were reported, revealing an increase in sales and earnings compared to the prior year.

AAR Corp reported a 9% increase in consolidated sales for Q4 2022, reaching $476.1 million, and income from continuing operations increased to $23.9 million, or $0.66 per diluted share. The company's adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations were $0.72, compared to $0.47 in the prior year. Sales to commercial customers increased by 28%, while sales to government customers decreased by 13%.

  • Consolidated fourth quarter sales increased 9% over the prior year’s quarter.
  • Consolidated sales to commercial customers increased 28% over the prior year’s quarter, primarily due to further recovery in the commercial market from the impact of COVID-19.
  • Consolidated sales to government customers decreased 13%, due to the wind down of activities in Afghanistan, and natural completion of other government programs.
  • Adjusted operating margin increased from 5.2% to 7.0%, as a result of the actions to improve operating efficiency as well as the recovery in commercial sales.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$476M

Previous: $438M+8.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.72

Previous: $0.47+53.2%
Operating Margin

6.6%

Previous: 4.7%+40.4%
Capital Expenditures

$7.1M

Previous: $2.7M+163.0%
Free Cash Flow

$33M

Previous: $19.9M+65.8%
Net Income

$23.9M

Previous: $14.7M+62.6%
Operating Income

$31.4M

Previous: $20.6M+52.4%
Gross Profit

$90M

Previous: $71.8M+25.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$40.2M

Previous: $51.8M-22.4%
Total Assets

$1.57B

Previous: $1.54B+2.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.4M

Previous: $2.4M+0.0%

Revenue & EPS history

AAR Corp · Revenue · Quarterly

$476M

Q4 2022+8.8%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

AAR Corp · $54.3M total across 1 segment · Q4 2020

  • Expeditionary Services
    $54.3M

Forward guidance

AAR Corp anticipates growth in new parts distribution due to recent contract awards, continued demand for used material, and largely full hangars throughout the year. The government new business pipeline remains strong, and the company will identify strategic areas to deploy capital to drive growth and margin expansion.

Tailwinds

  • Expect growth in new parts distribution as a result of recent contract awards.
  • Demand for used material continues to create opportunities for our trading activities.
  • Hangars are expected to remain largely full throughout the year.
  • The government new business pipeline remains strong.
  • Will continue to identify strategic areas to deploy capital, organically and inorganically, to drive continued growth and margin expansion.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

39 / 68 earnings

Positive

+24.5%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-16.4%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-3.1%+2.5%
Q2 2026+0.9%+9.8%+26.4%
Q1 2026+4.3%+12.2%+10.4%
Q4 2025+2.0%+9.8%+2.7%
Q3 2025-16.4%-15.7%-22.7%
Q2 2025+8.0%+9.0%+9.5%
Q1 2025-4.7%-6.6%-11.2%
Q4 2024-13.2%-8.8%-14.9%
Q3 2024-6.6%-6.8%-0.4%
Q2 2024-10.4%-10.1%-17.1%
Q1 2024-1.1%-2.9%-5.4%
Q4 2023+0.6%+2.7%+0.6%
Q3 2023+6.6%+5.4%+5.1%
Q2 2023-3.3%-3.8%+7.7%
Q1 2023-9.3%-10.1%+9.7%
Q4 2022-8.2%-6.1%+3.4%
Q3 2022+9.1%+10.3%+7.2%
Q2 2022+7.5%+8.7%+15.4%
Q1 2022+1.7%-0.3%+8.1%
Q4 2021+9.1%+6.3%-6.2%
Q3 2021-2.1%+3.1%-4.2%
Q2 2021+2.6%+4.6%+11.4%
Q1 2021+11.8%+9.3%+17.7%
Q4 2020+4.5%-1.1%+5.8%
Q3 2020+24.5%+36.2%+25.4%
Q2 2020+14.9%+6.2%+1.4%
Q1 2020-5.9%-6.2%-7.4%
Q4 2019+9.6%+5.9%+5.3%
Q3 2019-5.6%-7.3%-6.3%
Q2 2019-1.6%-9.0%-6.0%
Q1 2019+8.1%+6.4%+1.0%
Q4 2018-10.5%-5.1%-3.1%
Q3 2018+2.1%-2.1%+6.1%
Q2 2018-6.6%-6.7%-2.9%
Q1 2018+6.4%+1.1%+5.3%
Q4 2017+5.6%+6.7%+0.1%
Q3 2017+0.5%-0.3%+1.1%
Q2 2017-9.0%-9.1%-14.8%
Q1 2017+5.8%+4.7%+12.5%
Q4 2016-5.3%-2.8%-1.3%
Q3 2016+3.7%
Q2 2016+5.2%
Q1 2016-11.6%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-6.8%
Q2 2015-3.3%
Q1 2015-11.5%
Q4 2014+7.4%
Q3 2014-7.4%
Q2 2014-4.4%
Q1 2014-8.2%
Q4 2013-0.9%
Q3 2013+8.1%
Q2 2013+18.0%
Q1 2013-5.6%
Q4 2012+9.7%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012+1.1%
Q1 2012-2.6%
Q4 2009+2.2%
Q4 2011+2.2%
Q3 2011+0.3%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q2 2010+0.4%
Q2 2011+0.4%
Q1 2010+4.3%
Q4 2010+4.3%
Q1 2011+4.3%

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