NYSE$AIG

American International Group Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

AIG reported net income attributable to AIG common shareholders of $922 million, or $1.03 per diluted common share, for the fourth quarter of 2019.

AIG's Q4 2019 results showed significant improvement compared to the prior-year quarter, driven by favorable underwriting in General Insurance, reduced catastrophe losses, and increased net investment income. Net income attributable to AIG common shareholders was $922 million, or $1.03 per diluted common share.

  • Net income attributable to AIG common shareholders was $922 million, or $1.03 per diluted common share.
  • Adjusted after-tax income attributable to AIG common shareholders was $919 million, or $1.03 per diluted common share.
  • General Insurance underwriting income was $12 million with a combined ratio of 99.8.
  • Life and Retirement adjusted pre-tax income increased 35% to $839 million compared to the prior-year quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$11.8B

Previous: $12.6B-5.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.03

Previous: -$0.63+263.5%
Underwriting income

$12M

No prior period
Accident year combined ratio, as adjusted

95.8%

No prior period
Net Income

$922M

Previous: -$622M+248.2%
Operating Income

$778M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$40.2B

Previous: $38.2B+5.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$7.6B

Previous: $3.36B+126.3%
Total Assets

$525B

Previous: $492B+6.7%

Revenue & EPS history

AIG · Revenue · Quarterly

$11.8B

Q4 2019-5.9%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

AIG is focused on executing its strategy to become a leading insurance franchise and top-performing company, aiming for a 10% Adjusted ROCE by the end of 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Continued work as part of the turnaround of General Insurance.
  • AIG 200 will be a top priority, focusing on long-term strategic positioning and operational excellence.
  • Confidence in the path AIG is on and excitement about the future.
  • Entered 2020 with great momentum.
  • Agreement to sell a majority stake in Fortitude Re, scheduled to close mid-year, subject to regulatory approvals.

Headwinds

  • Continued headwinds from low interest rates.
  • Tightening credit spreads.
  • Slightly higher general operating expenses from investments in the business.
  • Lower Fixed Annuity sales.
  • Slightly higher group surrenders.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

40 / 69 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q1 2010

Best reaction

-11.0%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.1%+3.9%-0.7%
Q4 2025+4.6%+4.4%+2.3%
Q3 2025-5.4%-4.7%-4.6%
Q2 2025+2.0%+4.3%+3.4%
Q1 2025+3.2%+1.1%+4.7%
Q4 2024+1.2%-2.1%+9.5%
Q3 2024-0.4%-0.2%+0.3%
Q2 2024-5.2%-11.2%-2.5%
Q1 2024+3.7%+6.2%+4.7%
Q4 2023-0.8%+0.4%+8.8%
Q3 2023+5.0%+4.3%+7.6%
Q2 2023+1.6%+0.7%-2.9%
Q1 2023+4.8%+3.4%+7.5%
Q4 2022+1.0%-1.1%-23.2%
Q3 2022+0.5%+1.6%+10.7%
Q2 2022+3.3%+10.8%+3.6%
Q1 2022+8.3%+5.4%-1.5%
Q4 2021+1.7%+2.2%+1.1%
Q3 2021-3.5%-3.8%-12.7%
Q2 2021+8.2%+12.8%+17.0%
Q1 2021+4.7%+3.1%+9.3%
Q4 2020+4.5%+2.9%+15.5%
Q3 2020+5.0%+21.0%+28.8%
Q2 2020-7.5%-4.6%-7.2%
Q1 2020+4.9%+15.7%+39.1%
Q4 2019-10.7%-9.7%-47.5%
Q3 2019+3.7%+4.8%-0.6%
Q2 2019+4.5%+1.3%+0.9%
Q1 2019+6.8%+9.6%+13.9%
Q4 2018-8.3%-3.4%+0.5%
Q3 2018+5.3%+7.7%+5.6%
Q2 2018-2.4%-3.6%-3.3%
Q1 2018-7.8%-5.4%-5.4%
Q4 2017-0.4%-1.7%-6.4%
Q3 2017-4.1%-3.9%-7.4%
Q2 2017+0.9%-0.8%-7.3%
Q1 2017+1.9%+0.6%+4.4%
Q4 2016-8.0%-5.5%-4.9%
Q3 2016-4.2%-2.3%+5.1%
Q2 2016+7.2%+9.0%+9.6%
Q1 2016+0.2%
Q4 2015+1.0%
Q3 2015-3.3%
Q2 2015-2.8%
Q1 2015+1.9%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014-0.3%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014-3.5%
Q4 2013-0.1%
Q3 2013-7.1%
Q2 2013+6.2%
Q1 2013+8.1%
Q4 2012+2.3%
Q3 2012-6.4%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012-5.6%
Q4 2011+2.7%
Q3 2011-1.2%
Q2 2011-11.0%
Q1 2011-3.0%
Q4 2010-3.7%
Q3 2010-0.2%
Q2 2010+4.4%
Q1 2010+11.5%
Q3 2008-7.9%
Q3 2009-7.9%
Q2 2009+5.5%
Q2 2008+5.5%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro