NASDAQ$WBA

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Walgreens reported adjusted EPS growth despite facing challenges from lower COVID-19 demand and consumer spending uncertainty. The company revised its full-year guidance and initiated actions to improve profitability, including raising the cost savings program target.

Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) reported an 8.6% increase in sales to $35.4 billion for the third quarter of fiscal year 2023. Adjusted EPS increased by 3.3% to $1.00. However, the company revised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $4.00 - $4.05 due to consumer market trends and lower COVID-19 demand. WBA is taking immediate actions to improve profitability, including raising its Transformational Cost Management Program target to $4.1 billion.

  • Third quarter sales increased 8.6 percent year-over-year to $35.4 billion, and up 8.9 percent on a constant currency basis.
  • Adjusted EPS increased 3.3 percent to $1.00, up 3.6 percent on a constant currency basis reflecting a 19.5 percent headwind from significantly lower COVID-19 vaccine and testing volumes.
  • Revised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $4.00 to $4.05 from $4.45 to $4.65, to reflect consumer and category conditions, lower COVID-19 contribution, and a more cautious macroeconomic forward view.
  • Raising Transformational Cost Management Program target from $3.5 billion to $4.1 billion in total savings.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$35.4B

Previous: $32.6B+8.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.00

Previous: $0.96+4.2%
Capital Expenditures

$525M

Previous: $371M+41.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$444M

Previous: $1.3B-134.2%
Net Income

$118M

Previous: $289M-59.2%
Operating Income

-$477M

Previous: -$320M-49.1%
Gross Profit

$6.59B

Previous: $6.57B+0.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$871M

Previous: $2.29B-61.9%
Total Assets

$98.6B

Previous: $92.8B+6.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$55M

Previous: $96M-42.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Walgreens · Revenue · Quarterly

$35.4B

Q3 2023+8.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Walgreens · $7.76B total across 2 segments · Q4 2023

  • International
    $5.78B
  • U.S. Healthcare
    $1.97B+217.0%

Forward guidance

Walgreens Boots Alliance expects adjusted EPS of $4.00 to $4.05 for the full fiscal year 2023, reflecting challenging consumer and macroeconomic conditions, and lower COVID-19 vaccine and testing volumes. Preliminary expectations for fiscal year 2024 include low- to mid-single digit adjusted operating income growth.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted operating income growth is expected to accelerate in the fourth quarter from 0.6 percent in the third quarter.
  • U.S. Healthcare and U.S. Retail Pharmacy performance more than offsetting headwinds from lower sale and leaseback program benefits.
  • U.S. Healthcare and U.S. Retail Pharmacy performance more than offsetting headwinds from lower COVID-19 contribution.
  • U.S. Healthcare and U.S. Retail Pharmacy performance more than offsetting headwinds from the sale of holdings in AmerisourceBergen.
  • Raising the Transformational Cost Management Program target from $3.5 billion to $4.1 billion in cumulative savings by fiscal 2024; expecting cost savings of $800 million in fiscal 2024

Headwinds

  • Challenging consumer and macroeconomic conditions.
  • Lower COVID-19 vaccine and testing volumes.
  • The fourth quarter is expected to be negatively impacted by a higher effective tax rate.
  • Shifting U.S. consumer spending with heightened macro pressures.
  • Impact of a weaker respiratory season for both U.S. Retail Pharmacy and U.S. Healthcare.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 16 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

33 / 62 earnings

Positive

+29.1%

Q1 2025

Best reaction

-22.7%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025
Q3 2025+0.4%+1.5%+2.7%
Q2 2025-1.1%+0.5%+4.1%
Q1 2025+29.1%+36.1%+10.0%
Q4 2024+23.0%+18.7%-2.0%
Q3 2024-22.7%-26.0%-24.5%
Q2 2024-7.0%-10.9%-15.7%
Q1 2024-2.2%-0.6%-11.4%
Q4 2023+2.9%+2.1%-7.3%
Q3 2023-7.9%-10.2%-3.0%
Q2 2023+3.7%+5.0%+6.6%
Q1 2023-2.3%-2.1%-1.1%
Q4 2022+4.1%+3.8%+29.4%
Q3 2022-5.7%-5.7%-2.9%
Q2 2022-7.6%-8.4%-10.6%
Q1 2022-0.3%+0.6%-10.0%
Q4 2021+3.5%+1.5%+4.8%
Q3 2021-8.4%
Q2 2021+3.3%
Q1 2021+5.1%
Q4 2020+4.2%
Q3 2020-5.1%
Q2 2020-5.4%
Q1 2020-7.8%
Q4 2019+1.5%
Q3 2019+4.4%
Q2 2019-13.6%
Q1 2019-8.2%
Q4 2018+1.6%
Q3 2018-9.4%
Q2 2018-0.7%
Q1 2018-3.4%
Q4 2017-0.3%
Q3 2017+1.6%
Q2 2017-1.0%
Q1 2017+0.1%
Q4 2016+5.7%
Q3 2016-3.6%
Q2 2016-3.0%
Q1 2016+1.8%
Q4 2015-11.9%
Q3 2015+8.4%
Q1 2014+4.9%
Q2 2015+4.9%
Q4 2013+4.9%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014-0.9%
Q3 2014+0.6%
Q2 2014+1.0%
Q3 2013-1.0%
Q2 2013+0.4%
Q1 2013+1.6%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q3 2012-3.2%
Q2 2012-1.9%
Q1 2012+4.1%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q3 2011-0.9%
Q2 2011+1.8%
Q1 2010+2.5%
Q4 2010+1.8%
Q3 2010-0.1%
Q2 2009+0.5%

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