NASDAQ$VXRT

Vaxart Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Vaxart reported first quarter 2024 financial results and provided a business update.

Vaxart announced positive topline results from its Phase 1 trial of an oral pill bivalent norovirus candidate focused on lactating mothers. They also anticipate initiating a Phase 2b study evaluating their XBB COVID-19 vaccine candidate as early as the second quarter of 2024.

  • Positive results from Phase 1 norovirus study in lactating mothers indicate the potential of Vaxart’s oral pill vaccine candidate to protect or reduce the effect of the disease in infants
  • Expects to initiate Phase 2b study evaluating Vaxart’s oral pill XBB COVID-19 vaccine against an approved mRNA vaccine comparator as early as the second quarter of 2024
  • Anticipates meeting with the FDA in mid-2024 to evaluate clinical data and discuss next steps for its norovirus program
  • Antibodies to norovirus rose on average 4.0 fold in response to the GI.1 virus strain and 6.0 fold in response to the GII.4 virus strain in the breastmilk of lactating mothers who received the Vaxart vaccine candidate in the high dose group.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.18M

Previous: $675K+223.1%
EPS

-$0.14

Previous: -$0.19+26.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$131K

Previous: -$1.24M+89.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$24.5M

Previous: -$26.4M+6.9%
Net Income

-$24.4M

Previous: -$25.1M+2.9%
Operating Income

-$24.1M

Previous: -$25.6M+5.9%
Gross Profit

$2.18M

Previous: -$402K+642.5%
R&D Expense

$19M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$4.12M

Previous: $2.65M+55.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Vaxart · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.18M

Q1 2024+223.1%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Vaxart anticipates initiating the Phase 2b trial as early as the second quarter of 2024 and meeting with the FDA in mid-2024 to evaluate clinical data and discuss next steps for its norovirus program.

Tailwinds

  • Positive results from Phase 1 norovirus study
  • Potential of oral pill vaccine to protect infants
  • Initiating Phase 2b study for XBB COVID-19 vaccine
  • Meeting with the FDA to evaluate norovirus program
  • Recent preclinical data suggests COVID-19 XBB construct showed a more robust immunogenic response

Headwinds

  • Uncertainties inherent in research and development
  • Risk of unfavorable new clinical data
  • Clinical trial data are subject to differing interpretations
  • Vaxart may not be able to obtain, maintain, and enforce necessary patent
  • Vaxart's capital resources may be inadequate

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.7%

Avg return

30 days after

37%

23 / 62 earnings

Positive

+22.7%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-23.1%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.4%-8.8%-19.5%
Q4 2025-13.0%-14.9%-14.9%
Q3 2025+11.6%+5.4%+0.0%
Q1 2025-0.7%+19.0%+66.7%
Q4 2024-9.1%-19.3%-40.4%
Q3 2024-12.8%-15.3%-18.1%
Q2 2024-2.7%+0.0%+48.3%
Q1 2024+22.7%+35.2%+7.0%
Q4 2023-4.4%+2.7%-19.5%
Q3 2023+8.4%+12.3%+12.3%
Q2 2023+1.3%-3.9%+9.2%
Q1 2023+0.0%+0.0%+44.8%
Q4 2022+0.0%-10.1%-16.5%
Q3 2022-11.9%+16.1%-20.3%
Q2 2022+3.4%+1.2%-31.1%
Q1 2022-9.6%-6.2%+5.1%
Q4 2021+18.9%+12.8%+13.9%
Q3 2021-8.0%-6.7%-12.9%
Q2 2021+5.4%+11.6%+4.9%
Q1 2021-18.7%-33.2%-31.7%
Q4 2020-2.6%-2.7%-18.4%
Q3 2020+10.0%+23.0%+61.4%
Q2 2020-4.9%+11.3%-49.0%
Q1 2020+1.1%-2.1%-20.7%
Q4 2019-23.1%-27.4%-15.0%
Q3 2019-2.9%-11.4%-8.6%
Q2 2019+21.1%+17.5%+22.8%
Q1 2019+8.5%+9.9%-8.5%
Q4 2018-9.5%-12.2%-25.3%
Q3 2018-15.8%-12.1%+0.7%
Q2 2018+0.6%-1.0%+0.3%
Q1 2018-5.3%-1.8%+1.8%
Q4 2017+4.8%+0.0%+9.5%
Q3 2017-2.0%+0.0%-6.0%
Q2 2017-1.7%-1.7%-46.6%
Q1 2017-8.3%-4.1%-33.2%
Q4 2016+0.0%+11.3%+12.0%
Q3 2016-3.1%
Q2 2016-15.2%
Q1 2016+7.6%
Q4 2015-4.6%
Q3 2015-3.1%
Q2 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014-0.8%
Q1 2015-0.8%
Q3 2014-6.3%
Q2 2014+0.2%
Q1 2014+1.5%
Q4 2013+1.5%
Q3 2013-0.8%
Q2 2013+2.6%
Q1 2013+0.6%
Q4 2012-1.8%
Q3 2012+1.1%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011-1.0%
Q2 2010-5.2%
Q2 2011-5.2%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q3 2010+0.2%
Q1 2010-7.0%

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