NASDAQ$STRL

Sterling Infrastructure Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Sterling reported increased revenue and earnings, driven by strength in higher-margin service offerings.

Sterling reported revenue of $498.8 million for Q4 2024, representing a 3% increase over the prior year. Net income increased significantly to $113.2 million, or $3.64 per diluted share, driven by a one-time gain on the deconsolidation of a subsidiary. Adjusted net income was $45.5 million, or $1.46 per diluted share, reflecting a 12% increase. Gross margins improved to 21.4%, and adjusted EBITDA grew 11% to $76.4 million.

  • Revenue increased by 3% to $498.8 million.
  • Net income rose to $113.2 million, reflecting a 182% increase.
  • Adjusted net income increased 12% to $45.5 million.
  • Gross margins improved to 21.4%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$499M

Previous: $486M+2.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.46

Previous: $1.30+12.3%
EBITDA

$167M

Previous: $68.4M+144.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$83.4M

Previous: $68.9M+21.0%
Backlog

$1.69B

No prior period
Combined Backlog

$1.83B

No prior period
Net Income

$113M

Previous: $40.2M+181.8%
Operating Income

$62.3M

Previous: $55.8M+11.7%
Gross Profit

$107M

Previous: $91.8M+16.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Sterling · Revenue · Quarterly

$499M

Q4 2024+2.6%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Sterling anticipates strong performance in 2025 with 10% revenue growth and 18% adjusted net income growth.

Tailwinds

  • Expecting 10% revenue growth for 2025.
  • Anticipates 18% growth in adjusted net income.
  • Focus on higher-margin service offerings.
  • Strong demand for E-Infrastructure projects.
  • Improved gross margins projected to continue.

Headwinds

  • Shift away from low-bid heavy highway work may impact revenue.
  • Challenges in residential markets like Dallas-Fort Worth.
  • Continued impact from acquisition-related expenses.
  • High reliance on data center projects.
  • Potential slowdown in building solutions revenue.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.6%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

35 / 65 earnings

Positive

+52.2%

Q1 2026

Best reaction

-20.9%

Q1 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+52.2%+59.5%+87.5%
Q4 2025-5.4%-8.7%-7.7%
Q3 2025-2.8%-3.8%-15.4%
Q1 2025+3.2%+6.6%+17.1%
Q4 2024+5.4%+4.9%+0.2%
Q3 2024+10.9%+23.8%+24.5%
Q2 2024+1.2%-0.3%+4.3%
Q1 2024+20.6%+27.4%+15.2%
Q4 2023+22.1%+27.5%+30.3%
Q3 2023-17.5%-12.4%-12.0%
Q2 2023+23.9%+32.4%+31.3%
Q1 2023+9.0%+15.8%+24.8%
Q4 2022+1.1%+7.0%-0.1%
Q3 2022+9.8%+19.3%+20.2%
Q2 2022-3.3%-1.9%-1.6%
Q1 2022+2.4%+0.7%+8.0%
Q4 2021-3.1%-2.2%-4.1%
Q3 2021+3.1%+9.0%+4.3%
Q2 2021+2.0%+1.0%+4.5%
Q1 2021+11.4%+11.2%+13.0%
Q4 2020-17.9%-11.8%-3.0%
Q3 2020-0.2%-6.2%+9.6%
Q2 2020+6.1%+11.5%+10.7%
Q1 2020-5.1%-7.9%+16.2%
Q4 2019+7.5%-9.2%-32.9%
Q3 2019-0.1%-8.0%-14.2%
Q2 2019-9.3%-9.7%-8.1%
Q1 2019-12.7%-12.2%-4.0%
Q4 2018-1.6%-6.1%-11.8%
Q3 2018+1.7%+8.8%-3.8%
Q2 2018+7.7%+19.5%+11.6%
Q1 2018+17.8%+15.3%+16.8%
Q4 2017-4.4%+6.9%-5.5%
Q3 2017+15.5%+12.9%+10.9%
Q2 2017-17.9%-17.3%-3.3%
Q1 2017+7.2%+12.4%+6.8%
Q4 2016+7.9%+5.2%-3.4%
Q3 2016-16.0%-9.9%+8.5%
Q2 2016+1.4%+6.2%+10.8%
Q1 2016-17.7%
Q4 2015-3.9%
Q3 2015+12.1%
Q2 2015+14.6%
Q1 2015-20.9%
Q4 2014+35.3%
Q3 2014-8.6%
Q2 2014+0.0%
Q1 2014+10.9%
Q4 2013-3.5%
Q3 2013+1.3%
Q2 2013-0.5%
Q1 2013+3.7%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-7.0%
Q2 2012+1.1%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2009+4.0%
Q4 2011+4.0%
Q3 2011-7.8%
Q3 2010-7.8%
Q4 2010-9.0%
Q2 2010-9.0%
Q2 2011-9.0%
Q1 2011-4.3%
Q1 2010+8.7%

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